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This paper suggests that business cycles may be a manifestation of coupled real economy and stock market dynamics and describes a mechanism that can generate economic fluctuations consistent with observed business cycles. To this end, we…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-27 Dimitri Kroujiline , Maxim Gusev , Dmitry Ushanov , Sergey V. Sharov , Boris Govorkov

This paper is a short summary of the main results in the thesis [1]. Based on the P2P paradigm we construct a stochastic model for a live media streaming content delivery network. Starting from the behavior of the out degree process of each…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-31 Andrea Monsellato

Modelling is an essential procedure in analyzing and controlling a given logical dynamic system (LDS). It has been proved that deterministic LDS can be modeled as a linear-like system using algebraic state space representation. However, due…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-04 Changxi Li , Jun-e Feng , Daizhan Cheng , Xiao Zhang

Consider the problem of a central bank that wants to manage the exchange rate between its domestic currency and a foreign one. The central bank can purchase and sell the foreign currency, and each intervention on the exchange market leads…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-12-07 Giorgio Ferrari , Tiziano Vargiolu

We discuss a class of debt management problems in a stochastic environment model. We propose a model for the debt-to-GDP (Gross Domestic Product) ratio where the government interventions via fiscal policies affect the public debt and the…

General Economics · Economics 2021-07-23 Matteo Brachetta , Claudia Ceci

Behavioural finance offers a valuable framework for examining foreign exchange (FX) market dynamics, including puzzles such as excess volatility and fat-tailed distributions. Yet, when it comes to their interaction with the `real' side of…

General Economics · Economics 2025-08-05 Marwil J. Davila-Fernandez , Serena Sordi

We present new algorithms and fast implementations to find efficient approximations for modelling stochastic processes. For many numerical computations it is essential to develop finite approximations for stochastic processes. While the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-03 Kipngeno Benard Kirui , Georg Ch. Pflug , Alois Pichler

This paper is concerned with a data-driven technique for constructing finite Markov decision processes (MDPs) as finite abstractions of discrete-time stochastic control systems with unknown dynamics while providing formal closeness…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-30 Abolfazl Lavaei , Sadegh Soudjani , Emilio Frazzoli , Majid Zamani

We present analytical investigations of a multiplicative stochastic process that models a simple investor dynamics in a random environment. The dynamics of the investor's budget, $x(t)$, depends on the stochasticity of the return on…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Emeterio Navarro , Ruben Cantero , Joao Rodrigues , Frank Schweitzer

A model of open economics composed of producers and speculators is investigated by numerical simulations. The capital flows from the environment to the producers and from them to the speculators. The price fluctuations are suppressed by the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Frantisek Slanina , Yi-Cheng Zhang

Global oil price is an important factor in determining many economic variables in the world's economy. It is generally modeled as a stochastic process and have been studied through different techniques by comparing the historic time series…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-31 Sina Aghaei

We discuss the role of information entropy on the behaviour of random processes, and how this might take effect in the dynamics of financial market prices. We then go on to show how the Open Quantum Systems approach can be used as a more…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-01 Will Hicks

This paper presents an empirical study of spatial origin and destination effects of European regional FDI dyads. Recent regional studies primarily focus on locational determinants, but ignore bilateral origin- and intervening factors, as…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-29 Tamás Krisztin , Philipp Piribauer

Within the last two decades, Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) has been observed as one of the prime instruments in the process of restructuring the European economies in transition. Many scholars argue that FDI is expected to be a source of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-07 Olivera Kostoska , Pece Mitrevski

Proceeding from the concept of rational expectations, a new dynamic model of supply and demand in a single market with one supplier, one buyer, and one kind of commodity is developed. Unlike the cob-web dynamic theories with adaptive…

General Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 V. Granik , A. Granik

Finding the optimal policy for multi-period perishable inventory systems requires solving computationally-expensive stochastic dynamic programs (DP). To avoid the difficulty of solving DP models, we propose a framework that uses an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-28 Katsunobu Sasanuma , Mohammad Delasay , Christine Pitocco , Alan Scheller-Wolf , Thomas Sexton

You may develop a potential prediction model, but how can I trust your model that it will benefit my software?. Using a software defect prediction (SDP) model as a tool, we address this fundamental problem in machine learning research. This…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-01-16 Umamaheswara Sharma B , Ravichandra Sadam

The continuous time stochastic process is a mainstream mathematical instrument modeling the random world with a wide range of applications involving finance, statistics, physics, and time series analysis, while the simulation and analysis…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-10-04 Xi-Ning Zhuang , Zhao-Yun Chen , Cheng Xue , Yu-Chun Wu , Guo-Ping Guo

We develop a complete analysis of a general entry-exit-scrapping model. In particular, we consider an investment project that operates within a random environment and yields a payoff rate that is a function of a stochastic economic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-05 Mihail Zervos , Carlos Oliveira , Kate Duckworth

This paper introduces a novel stochastic framework for modelling tax evasion dynamics by extending the deterministic model of Bertotti and Modanese (2018) through the use of Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs). A key limitation…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-26 Jonas Mayr , Amira Meddah , Irene Tubikanec
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