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The predictions from an accurate prognostic model can be of great interest to patients and clinicians. When predictions are reported to individuals, they may decide to take action to improve their health or they may simply be comforted by…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-09-10 Michael C Sachs , Arvid Sjölander , Erin E Gabriel

We introduce the class of pay or play games, which captures scenarios in which each decision maker is faced with a choice between two actions: one with a fixed payoff and an- other with a payoff dependent on others' selected actions. This…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2013-09-27 Sigal Oren , Michael Schapira , Moshe Tennenholtz

This paper combines a canonical epidemiology model of disease dynamics with government policy of lockdown and testing, and agents' decision to social distance in order to avoid getting infected. The model is calibrated with data on deaths…

General Economics · Economics 2022-02-10 Shomak Chakrabarti , Ilia Krasikov , Rohit Lamba

It is critical to understand and model the behavior of individuals in a pandemic, as well as identify effective ways to guide people's behavior in order to better control the epidemic spread. However, current research fails to account for…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-09-01 Wenxiang Dong , H. Vicky Zhao

Despite centuries of work on containment and mitigation strategies, infectious diseases are still a major problem facing humanity. This work is concerned with simulating heterogeneous contact structures and understanding how the structure…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-02-07 Jan Kreischer , Adrian Iten , Astrid Jehoul

Resource allocation is the process of optimizing the rare resources. In the area of security, how to allocate limited resources to protect a massive number of targets is especially challenging. This paper addresses this resource allocation…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-02-26 Xu Liu , Xiaoqiang Di , Jinqing Li , Huan Wang , Jianping Zhao , Huamin Yang , Ligang Cong

We study the problem of containing epidemic spreading processes in temporal networks. We specifically focus on the problem of finding a resource allocation to suppress epidemic infection, provided that an empirical time-series data of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-04-16 Masaki Ogura , Junichi Harada

We study the spread of a simulated epidemic in a network of individuals who may either contract a disease through sexual contact with an infected nearest neighbor or use safe sex practices under the influence of neighbors who are already…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-25 Paolo Grigolini , David Lambert , Korosh Mahmoodi , Nicola Piccinini

The spread of certain diseases can be promoted, in some cases substantially, by prior infection with another disease. One example is that of HIV, whose immunosuppressant effects significantly increase the chances of infection with other…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-08-04 M. E. J. Newman , C. R. Ferrario

Human behavior is a dynamic process that evolves with experience. Understanding the evolution of individual's risk propensity is critical to design public health interventions to propitiate the adoption of better biosecurity protocols and…

Models for epidemic spread typically account for variable risk factors but do not account for the correlation between behavior and risk. Here we extend these models to account for such correlations. We find that a positive correlation…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-08-14 Yoel Sanders

Advanced persistent threats (APT) combine a variety of different attack forms ranging from social engineering to technical exploits. The diversity and usual stealthiness of APT turns them into a central problem of contemporary practical…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-05-03 Stefan Rass , Sandra König , Stefan Schauer

We consider the problem of controlling an SIR-model epidemic by temporarily reducing the rate of contact within a population. The control takes the form of a multiplicative reduction in the contact rate of infectious individuals. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-29 David I. Ketcheson

This paper describes an agent-based model of epidemics dynamics. This model is willingly simplified, as its goal is not to predict the evolution of the epidemics, but to explain the underlying mechanisms in an interactive way. This model…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2024-04-16 Carole Adam , Helene Arduin

We create a network model to study the spread of an epidemic through physically proximate and accidental daily human contacts in a city, and simulate outcomes for two kinds of agents - poor and non-poor. Under non-intervention, peak…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-01-27 Anand Sahasranaman , Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen

We introduce a game inspired by the challenges of disease management in livestock farming and the transmission of endemic disease through a trade network. Success in this game comes from balancing the cost of buying new stock with the risk…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-28 Ewan Colman , Nicholas Hanley , Rowland R. Kao

The detection and management of diseases become quite complicated when pathogens contain asymptomatic phenotypes amongst their ranks, as evident during the recent COVID-19 pandemic. Spreading of diseases has been studied extensively under…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-10-27 Saptarshi Sinha , Deep Nath , Soumen Roy

Facing the threats of infectious diseases, we take various actions to protect ourselves, but few studies considered an evolving system with competing strategies. In view of that, we propose an evolutionary epidemic model coupled with human…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-09-26 Hai-Feng Zhang , Zimo Yang , Zhi-Xi Wu , Bing-Hong Wang , Tao Zhou

Global strategies to contain a pandemic, such as social distancing and protective measures, are designed to reduce the overall transmission rate between individuals. Despite such measures, essential institutions, including hospitals,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-07 Roberto Morán-Tovar , Henning Gruell , Florian Klein , Michael Lässig

We study a complementarity game as a systematic tool for the investigation of the interplay between individual optimization and population effects and for the comparison of different strategy and learning schemes. The game randomly pairs…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-11-17 Juergen Jost , Wei Li
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