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The remarkable generalization performance of large-scale models has been challenging the conventional wisdom of the statistical learning theory. Although recent theoretical studies have shed light on this behavior in linear models and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-18 Tomoya Wakayama

Nonparametric extension of tensor regression is proposed. Nonlinearity in a high-dimensional tensor space is broken into simple local functions by incorporating low-rank tensor decomposition. Compared to naive nonparametric approaches, our…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-03-09 Masaaki Imaizumi , Kohei Hayashi

We develop a unifying framework for Bayesian nonparametric regression to study the rates of contraction with respect to the integrated $L_2$-distance without assuming the regression function space to be uniformly bounded. The framework is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-30 Fangzheng Xie , Wei Jin , Yanxun Xu

We introduce a novel edge tracing algorithm using Gaussian process regression. Our edge-based segmentation algorithm models an edge of interest using Gaussian process regression and iteratively searches the image for edge pixels in a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-12-15 Jamie Burke , Stuart King

One of the key challenges in revenue management is unconstraining demand data. Existing state of the art single-class unconstraining methods make restrictive assumptions about the form of the underlying demand and can perform poorly when…

Applications · Statistics 2017-11-30 Ilan Price , Jaroslav Fowkes , Daniel Hopman

This work presents a data-driven method for learning low-dimensional time-dependent physics-based surrogate models whose predictions are endowed with uncertainty estimates. We use the operator inference approach to model reduction that…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-03-19 Shane A. McQuarrie , Anirban Chaudhuri , Karen E. Willcox , Mengwu Guo

This work is concerned with the convergence of Gaussian process regression. A particular focus is on hierarchical Gaussian process regression, where hyper-parameters appearing in the mean and covariance structure of the Gaussian process…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-07-20 Aretha L Teckentrup

Spurred on by recent successes in causal inference competitions, Bayesian nonparametric (and high-dimensional) methods have recently seen increased attention in the causal inference literature. In this paper, we present a comprehensive…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-11 Antonio R. Linero , Joseph L. Antonelli

Increasingly complex datasets pose a number of challenges for Bayesian inference. Conventional posterior sampling based on Markov chain Monte Carlo can be too computationally intensive, is serial in nature and mixes poorly between posterior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-27 Edwin Fong , Simon Lyddon , Chris Holmes

This paper studies inference for the mean vector of a high-dimensional $U$-statistic. In the era of Big Data, the dimension $d$ of the $U$-statistic and the sample size $n$ of the observations tend to be both large, and the computation of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-29 Xiaohui Chen , Kengo Kato

This paper presents a novel non-linear model reduction method: Probabilistic Manifold Decomposition (PMD), which provides a powerful framework for constructing non-intrusive reduced-order models (ROMs) by embedding a high-dimensional system…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-09 Jiaming Guo , Dunhui Xiao

Gaussian processes with derivative information are useful in many settings where derivative information is available, including numerous Bayesian optimization and regression tasks that arise in the natural sciences. Incorporating derivative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-12 Misha Padidar , Xinran Zhu , Leo Huang , Jacob R. Gardner , David Bindel

Modern machine learning increasingly leverages the insight that high-dimensional data often lie near low-dimensional, non-linear manifolds, an idea known as the manifold hypothesis. By explicitly modeling the geometric structure of data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Willem Diepeveen , Deanna Needell

Amidst the growing interest in nonparametric regression, we address a significant challenge in Gaussian processes(GP) applied to manifold-based predictors. Existing methods primarily focus on low dimensional constrained domains for heat…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-01 Ke Ye , Mu Niu , Pokman Cheung , Zhenwen Dai , Yuan Liu

Manifold learning techniques have become increasingly valuable as data continues to grow in size. By discovering a lower-dimensional representation (embedding) of the structure of a dataset, manifold learning algorithms can substantially…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-01-31 Andrew Lensen , Mengjie Zhang , Bing Xue

We propose a parameter efficient Bayesian layer for hierarchical convolutional Gaussian Processes that incorporates Gaussian Processes operating in Wasserstein-2 space to reliably propagate uncertainty. This directly replaces convolving…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-29 Sebastian G. Popescu , David J. Sharp , James H. Cole , Konstantinos Kamnitsas , Ben Glocker

Data-driven risk analysis involves the inference of probability distributions from measured or simulated data. In the case of a highly reliable system, such as the electricity grid, the amount of relevant data is often exceedingly limited,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-11 Simon H. Tindemans , Goran Strbac

Despite the growing availability of sensing and data in general, we remain unable to fully characterise many in-service engineering systems and structures from a purely data-driven approach. The vast data and resources available to capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-20 Elizabeth J Cross , Timothy J Rogers , Daniel J Pitchforth , Samuel J Gibson , Matthew R Jones

In spite of the diverse literature on nonstationary spatial modeling and approximate Gaussian process (GP) methods, there are no general approaches for conducting fully Bayesian inference for moderately sized nonstationary spatial data sets…

Computation · Statistics 2020-07-01 Mark D. Risser , Daniel Turek

Recent advances in the field of meta-learning have tackled domains consisting of large numbers of small ("few-shot") supervised learning tasks. Meta-learning algorithms must be able to rapidly adapt to any individual few-shot task, fitting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-22 Vivek Myers , Nikhil Sardana