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In this work, a fully nonparametric geostatistical approach to estimate threshold exceeding probabilities is proposed. To estimate the large-scale variability (spatial trend) of the process, the nonparametric local linear regression…

We consider inference from non-random samples in data-rich settings where high-dimensional auxiliary information is available both in the sample and the target population, with survey inference being a special case. We propose a regularized…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-13 Yutao Liu , Andrew Gelman , Qixuan Chen

Scientific and engineering processes deliver massive high-dimensional data sets that are generated as non-linear transformations of an initial state and few process parameters. Mapping such data to a low-dimensional manifold facilitates…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-07 Frank Schoeneman , Varun Chandola , Nils Napp , Olga Wodo , Jaroslaw Zola

With the ubiquitous availability of unstructured data, growing attention is paid as how to adjust for selection bias in such non-probability samples. The majority of the robust estimators proposed by prior literature are either fully or…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-08 Ali Rafei , Michael R. Elliott , Carol A. C. Flannagan

This paper studies how to capture dependency graph structures from real data which may not be Gaussian. Starting from marginal loss functions not necessarily derived from probability distributions, we utilize an additive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-03 Yiyuan She , Shao Tang , Qiaoya Zhang

We address the problem of learning an unknown smooth function and its derivatives from noisy pointwise evaluations under the supremum norm. While classical nonparametric regression provides a strong theoretical foundation, traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Davide Maran , Marcello Restelli

Regression is an essential and fundamental methodology in statistical analysis. The majority of the literature focuses on linear and nonlinear regression in the context of the Euclidean space. However, regression models in non-Euclidean…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-06 Jinzhao Liu , Chao Liu , Jian Qing Shi , Tom Nye

Many geophysical problems can be cast as inverse problems that estimate a set of parameter values from observed data. Within a Bayesian framework, solutions to such problems are described probabilistically by the so-called posterior…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-07-23 Xuebin Zhao , Andrew Curtis

Recent machine learning advances have proposed black-box estimation of unknown continuous-time system dynamics directly from data. However, earlier works are based on approximative ODE solutions or point estimates. We propose a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-19 Pashupati Hegde , Çağatay Yıldız , Harri Lähdesmäki , Samuel Kaski , Markus Heinonen

We propose an active learning method for discovering low-dimensional structure in high-dimensional Gaussian process (GP) tasks. Such problems are increasingly frequent and important, but have hitherto presented severe practical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-10-28 Roman Garnett , Michael A. Osborne , Philipp Hennig

In this paper an efficient and reliable method for stochastic yield estimation is presented. Since one main challenge of uncertainty quantification is the computational feasibility, we propose a hybrid approach where most of the Monte Carlo…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-10-12 Mona Fuhrländer , Sebastian Schöps

This paper proposes a new high dimensional regression method by merging Gaussian process regression into a variational autoencoder framework. In contrast to other regression methods, the proposed method focuses on the case where output…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-08-13 YoungJoon Yoo , Sangdoo Yun , Hyung Jin Chang , Yiannis Demiris , Jin Young Choi

Motivated by the problem of nonparametric inference in high level digital image analysis, we introduce a general extrinsic approach for data analysis on Hilbert manifolds with a focus on means of probability distributions on such sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-11 Leif Ellingson , Vic Patrangenaru , Frits Ruymgaart

High dimensional data analysis is known to be as a challenging problem. In this article, we give a theoretical analysis of high dimensional classification of Gaussian data which relies on a geometrical analysis of the error measure. It…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-07-10 Robin Girard

In this work, we employ the Bayesian inference framework to solve the problem of estimating the solution and particularly, its derivatives, which satisfy a known differential equation, from the given noisy and scarce observations of the…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-09 Hongqiao Wang , Xiang Zhou

In this paper, we study the nonparametric linear model, when the error process is a dependent Gaussian process. We focus on the estimation of the mean vector via a model selection approach. We first give the general theoretical form of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-05 Emmanuel Caron , Jérôme Dedecker , Bertrand Michel

A primary goal of computer experiments is to reconstruct the function given by the computer code via scattered evaluations. Traditional isotropic Gaussian process models suffer from the curse of dimensionality, when the input dimension is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-01 Gecheng Chen , Rui Tuo

Probabilistic Manifold Decomposition (PMD)\cite{doi:10.1137/25M1738863}, developed in our earlier work, provides a nonlinear model reduction by embedding high-dimensional dynamics onto low-dimensional probabilistic manifolds. The PMD has…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-13 Jiaming Guo , Dunhui Xiao

We propose a simple method that combines neural networks and Gaussian processes. The proposed method can estimate the uncertainty of outputs and flexibly adjust target functions where training data exist, which are advantages of Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-20 Tomoharu Iwata , Zoubin Ghahramani

We explore the utility of information contained within a dropout based Bayesian neural network (BNN) for the task of detecting out of distribution (OOD) data. We first show how previous attempts to leverage the randomized embeddings induced…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-21 Andre T. Nguyen , Fred Lu , Gary Lopez Munoz , Edward Raff , Charles Nicholas , James Holt