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Computers are deterministic dynamical systems (CHAOS 19:033124, 2009). Among other things, that implies that one should be able to use deterministic forecast rules to predict their behavior. That statement is sometimes-but not always-true.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2013-05-24 Joshua Garland , Ryan James , Elizabeth Bradley

Probabilistic circuits (PCs) are a unifying representation for probabilistic models that support tractable inference. Numerous applications of PCs like controllable text generation depend on the ability to efficiently multiply two circuits.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-01 Honghua Zhang , Benjie Wang , Marcelo Arenas , Guy Van den Broeck

We present a deep transformation model for probabilistic regression. Deep learning is known for outstandingly accurate predictions on complex data but in regression tasks, it is predominantly used to just predict a single number. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-02 Beate Sick , Torsten Hothorn , Oliver Dürr

Probabilistic programming (PP) is a programming paradigm that allows for writing statistical models like ordinary programs, performing simulations by running those programs, and analyzing and refining their statistical behavior using…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Martin Kuhn , Joscha Grüger , Christoph Matheja , Andrey Rivkin

When writing programs, people have the ability to tackle a new complex task by decomposing it into smaller and more familiar subtasks. While it is difficult to measure whether neural program synthesis methods have similar capabilities, what…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Kensen Shi , Joey Hong , Manzil Zaheer , Pengcheng Yin , Charles Sutton

We propose an inference procedure for estimators defined by mathematical programming problems, focusing on the important special cases of linear programming (LP) and quadratic programming (QP). In these settings, the coefficients in both…

Econometrics · Economics 2017-09-27 Yu-Wei Hsieh , Xiaoxia Shi , Matthew Shum

We consider the problem of Bayesian inference in the family of probabilistic models implicitly defined by stochastic generative models of data. In scientific fields ranging from population biology to cosmology, low-level mechanistic…

Probabilistic programming languages rely fundamentally on some notion of sampling, and this is doubly true for probabilistic programming languages which perform Bayesian inference using Monte Carlo techniques. Verifying samplers - proving…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2023-04-27 Fredrik Dahlqvist , Alexandra Silva , William Smith

Many of today's probabilistic programming languages (PPLs) have brittle inference performance: the performance of the underlying inference algorithm is very sensitive to the precise way in which the probabilistic program is written. A…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Ellie Y. Cheng , Todd Millstein , Guy Van den Broeck , Steven Holtzen

In complex inferential tasks like question answering, machine learning models must confront two challenges: the need to implement a compositional reasoning process, and, in many applications, the need for this reasoning process to be…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-03-08 Ronghang Hu , Jacob Andreas , Trevor Darrell , Kate Saenko

In traditional software programs, it is easy to trace program logic from variables back to input, apply assertion statements to block erroneous behavior, and compose programs together. Although deep learning programs have demonstrated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Mike Wu , Noah Goodman , Stefano Ermon

Constructing lineages of malware is an important cyber-defense task. Performing this task is difficult, however, due to the amount of malware data and obfuscation techniques by the authors. In this work, we formulate the lineage task as a…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2016-03-29 Brian Ruttenberg , Lee Kellogg , Avi Pfeffer

Language models now provide an interface to express and often solve general problems in natural language, yet their ultimate computational capabilities remain a major topic of scientific debate. Unlike a formal computer, a language model is…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-02-11 Alex Lewandowski , Marlos C. Machado , Dale Schuurmans

This thesis describes work on two applications of probabilistic programming: the learning of probabilistic program code given specifications, in particular program code of one-dimensional samplers; and the facilitation of sequential Monte…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-05-21 Yura N Perov

Attempts to replicate probabilistic reasoning in expert systems have typically overlooked a critical ingredient of that process. Probabilistic analysis typically requires extensive judgments regarding interdependencies among hypotheses and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-15 Marvin S. Cohen

A characteristic of existing predictive process monitoring techniques is to first construct a predictive model based on past process executions, and then use it to predict the future of new ongoing cases, without the possibility of updating…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Chiara Di Francescomarino , Chiara Ghidini , Fabrizio Maria Maggi , Williams Rizzi , Cosimo Damiano Persia

Complex data usually results from the interaction of objects produced by different generating mechanisms. Here we introduce a universal, unsupervised and parameter-free model-oriented approach, based upon the seminal concept of algorithmic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-09-14 Hector Zenil , Narsis A. Kiani , Allan A. Zea , Jesper Tegnér

We present new techniques for automatically constructing probabilistic programs for data analysis, interpretation, and prediction. These techniques work with probabilistic domain-specific data modeling languages that capture key properties…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2019-07-16 Feras A. Saad , Marco F. Cusumano-Towner , Ulrich Schaechtle , Martin C. Rinard , Vikash K. Mansinghka

Probabilistic programming is an approach to reasoning under uncertainty by encoding inference problems as programs. In order to solve these inference problems, probabilistic programming languages (PPLs) employ different inference…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2023-05-04 Daniel Lundén , Johannes Borgström , David Broman

Code super-optimization is the task of transforming any given program to a more efficient version while preserving its input-output behaviour. In some sense, it is similar to the paraphrase problem from natural language processing where the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-06-29 Rudy Bunel , Alban Desmaison , M. Pawan Kumar , Philip H. S. Torr , Pushmeet Kohli
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