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Markov chain Monte Carlo methods are a powerful and commonly used family of numerical methods for sampling from complex probability distributions. As applications of these methods increase in size and complexity, the need for efficient…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-01-31 Colin Cotter , Simon Cotter , Paul Russell

Bayesian model selection enables comparison and ranking of conceptual subsurface models described by spatial prior models, according to the support provided by available geophysical data. Deep generative neural networks can efficiently…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-05-19 M. Amaya , N. Linde , E. Laloy

Monte Carlo methods are widely used in particle physics to integrate and sample probability distributions (differential cross sections or decay rates) on multi-dimensional phase spaces. We present a Neural Network (NN) algorithm optimized…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2020-10-21 Matthew D. Klimek , Maxim Perelstein

We introduce a new Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampler called the Markov Interacting Importance Sampler (MIIS). The MIIS sampler uses conditional importance sampling (IS) approximations to jointly sample the current state of the Markov…

Computation · Statistics 2015-06-26 Eduardo F. Mendes , Marcel Scharth , Robert Kohn

Model fitting is possibly the most extended problem in science. Classical approaches include the use of least-squares fitting procedures and maximum likelihood methods to estimate the value of the parameters in the model. However, in recent…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-04-12 J. Lopez-Santiago , L. Martino , J. Miguez , M. A. Vazquez

We explore efficient estimation of statistical quantities, particularly rare event probabilities, for stochastic reaction networks. Consequently, we propose an importance sampling (IS) approach to improve the Monte Carlo (MC) estimator…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-12 Chiheb Ben Hammouda , Nadhir Ben Rached , Raúl Tempone , Sophia Wiechert

Maritime AIS (Automatic Identification Systems) data serve as a valuable resource for studying vessel behavior. This study proposes a methodology to analyze route between maritime points of interest and extract geo-referenced standard…

Importance sampling (IS) is a technique that enables statistical estimation of output performance at multiple input distributions from a single nominal input distribution. IS is commonly used in Monte Carlo simulation for variance reduction…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-07 Yijuan Liang , Guangxin Jiang , Michael C. Fu

Pooling genome-wide association studies of multiple related traits can substantially increase power for detecting genetic variants with pleiotropic effects. ASSET, which exhaustively searches all subsets of studies for association signals,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-28 Samuel Anyaso-Samuel , Thong Luong , Fei Qin , Jiyeon Choi , Kai Yu , Paul S. Albert , Jianxin Shi

Annealed importance sampling (AIS) and related algorithms are highly effective tools for marginal likelihood estimation, but are not fully differentiable due to the use of Metropolis-Hastings correction steps. Differentiability is a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-28 Guodong Zhang , Kyle Hsu , Jianing Li , Chelsea Finn , Roger Grosse

Importance sampling (IS) is valuable in reducing the variance of Monte Carlo sampling for many areas, including finance, rare event simulation, and Bayesian inference. It is natural and obvious to combine quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) methods…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-07-21 Zhijian He , Zhan Zheng , Xiaoqun Wang

We introduce a novel approach to boost the efficiency of the importance nested sampling (INS) technique for Bayesian posterior and evidence estimation using deep learning. Unlike rejection-based sampling methods such as vanilla nested…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-06-30 Johannes U. Lange

Neutrino-matter interactions play an important role in the post-merger evolution of neutron star-neutron star and black hole-neutron star mergers. Most notably, they determine the properties of the bright optical/infrared transients…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2018-09-19 Francois Foucart , Matthew D. Duez , Lawerence E. Kidder , Ronny Nguyen , Harald P. Pfeiffer , Mark A. Scheel

Typical artificial immune system (AIS) operators such as hypermutations with mutation potential and ageing allow to efficiently overcome local optima from which evolutionary algorithms (EAs) struggle to escape. Such behaviour has been shown…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-03-18 Dogan Corus , Pietro S. Oliveto , Donya Yazdani

The method of characteristics (MOC) is widely used for neutron transport calculation in recent decades. However, the key problem determining whether MOC can be applied in highly heterogeneous geometry is how to combine an effective geometry…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2015-06-16 Zhen-Ping Chen , Hua-Qing Zhen , Guang-Yao Sun , Jing Song , Li-Juan Hao , Li-Qin Hu , Yi-Can Wu

Multiple importance sampling (MIS) is an indispensable tool in rendering that constructs robust sampling strategies by combining the respective strengths of individual distributions. Its efficiency can be greatly improved by carefully…

Graphics · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Joshua Meyer , Alexander Rath , Ömercan Yazici , Philipp Slusallek

We propose a globally convergent alternating minimization (AM) algorithm for image reconstruction in transmission tomography, which extends automatic relevance determination (ARD) to Poisson noise models with Beer's law. The algorithm…

Many contemporary machine learning models require extensive tuning of hyperparameters to perform well. A variety of methods, such as Bayesian optimization, have been developed to automate and expedite this process. However, tuning remains…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-25 Setareh Ariafar , Zelda Mariet , Ehsan Elhamifar , Dana Brooks , Jennifer Dy , Jasper Snoek

Multiple importance sampling (MIS) is employed to reduce variance of estimators, but when sampling and weighting are not suitable to the integrand, the estimators would have extra variance. Therefore, robust light transport simulation…

Graphics · Computer Science 2018-10-29 Qi Liu , Yiheng Zhang , Lizhuang Ma

Adaptive importance sampling (AIS) algorithms are widely used to approximate expectations with respect to complicated target probability distributions. When the target has heavy tails, existing AIS algorithms can provide inconsistent…

Computation · Statistics 2023-10-26 Thomas Guilmeau , Nicola Branchini , Emilie Chouzenoux , Víctor Elvira