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Related papers: Estimating Non-Simplified Vine Copulas Using Penal…

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In this paper, we revisit the notion of partial copula, originally introduced to test conditional independence, highlighting its capability to represent the dependence between two random variables after removing their dependence with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Vinícius Litvinoff Justus , Felipe Fontana Vieira

To model high dimensional data, Gaussian methods are widely used since they remain tractable and yield parsimonious models by imposing strong assumptions on the data. Vine copulas are more flexible by combining arbitrary marginal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-18 Dominik Müller , Claudia Czado

We propose a new variational Bayes estimator for high-dimensional copulas with discrete, or a combination of discrete and continuous, margins. The method is based on a variational approximation to a tractable augmented posterior, and is…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-23 Ruben Loaiza-Maya , Michael Stanley Smith

Regular vine copulas can describe a wider array of dependency patterns than the multivariate Gaussian copula or the multivariate Student's t copula. This paper presents two contributions related to model selection of regular vine copulas.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-04 Lutz Gruber , Claudia Czado

Vine copulas are sophisticated models for multivariate distributions and are increasingly used in machine learning. To facilitate their integration into modern ML pipelines, we introduce the vine computational graph, a DAG that abstracts…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Tuoyuan Cheng , Thibault Vatter , Thomas Nagler , Kan Chen

Copulas are a powerful tool for modeling multivariate distributions as they allow to separately estimate the univariate marginal distributions and the joint dependency structure. However, known parametric copulas offer limited flexibility…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-11 Tim Janke , Mohamed Ghanmi , Florian Steinke

Copulas are mathematical objects that fully capture the dependence structure among random variables and hence, offer a great flexibility in building multivariate stochastic models. In statistics, a copula is used as a general way of…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-01 Abhik Ghosh , Aritra Chakravorty

Conditional copulas are useful tools for modeling the dependence between multiple response variables that may vary with a given set of predictor variables. Conditional dependence measures such as conditional Kendall's tau and Spearman's rho…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-07 Lu Lu , Sujit Ghosh

We propose a novel structure selection method for high dimensional (d > 100) sparse vine copulas. Current sequential greedy approaches for structure selection require calculating spanning trees in hundreds of dimensions and fitting the pair…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-18 Dominik Müller , Claudia Czado

The B-spline copula function is defined by a linear combination of elements of the normalized B-spline basis. We develop a modified EM algorithm, to maximize the penalized pseudo-likelihood function, wherein we use the smoothly clipped…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-17 Xiaoling Dou , Satoshi Kuriki , Gwo Dong Lin , Donald Richards

Motivated by the increasing popularity and the seemingly broad applicability of pair-copula constructions underlined by numerous publications in the last decade, in this contribution we tackle the unavoidable question on how flexible and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-10 Thomas Mroz , Sebastian Fuchs , Wolfgang Trutschnig

This paper proposes a regression tree procedure to estimate conditional copulas. The associated algorithm determines classes of observations based on covariate values and fits a simple parametric copula model on each class. The association…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-20 Francesco Bonacina , Olivier Lopez , Maud Thomas

In this paper, we concentrate on new methodologies for copulas introduced and developed by Joe, Cooke, Bedford, Kurowica, Daneshkhah and others on the new class of graphical models called vines as a way of constructing higher dimensional…

Computation · Statistics 2012-10-30 Alireza Daneshkhah , Golamali Parham , Omid Chatrabgoun , M. Jokar

Conditional copulas are flexible statistical tools that couple joint conditional and marginal conditional distributions. In a linear regression setting with more than one covariate and two dependent outcomes, we propose the use of additive…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-31 Avideh Sabeti , Mian Wei , Radu V. Craiu

With the advancements of computer architectures, the use of computational models proliferates to solve complex problems in many scientific applications such as nuclear physics and climate research. However, the potential of such models is…

Computation · Statistics 2021-07-05 Vojtech Kejzlar , Tapabrata Maiti

Vine copulas constitute a flexible way for modeling of dependences using only pair copulas as building blocks. The pair-copula constructions introduced by Joe (1997) are able to encode more types of dependences in the same time since they…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-12 Edith Kovács , Tamás Szántai

Systems subject to uncertain inputs produce uncertain responses. Uncertainty quantification (UQ) deals with the estimation of statistics of the system response, given a computational model of the system and a probabilistic model of its…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-13 E. Torre , S. Marelli , P. Embrechts , B. Sudret

Multivariate time series exhibit two types of dependence: across variables and across time points. Vine copulas are graphical models for the dependence and can conveniently capture both types of dependence in the same model. We derive the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-16 Thomas Nagler , Daniel Krüger , Aleksey Min

While there is considerable effort to identify signaling pathways using linear Gaussian Bayesian networks from data, there is less emphasis of understanding and quantifying conditional densities and probabilities of nodes given its parents…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-22 Claudia Czado , Sebastian Scharl

Thanks to their ability to capture complex dependence structures, copulas are frequently used to glue random variables into a joint model with arbitrary marginal distributions. More recently, they have been applied to solve statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-22 Thomas Nagler , Thibault Vatter