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Related papers: Inferring causality from noisy time series data

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Two remote agents with synchronized clocks may use them to act in concert and communicate. This necessitates some means of creating and maintaining synchrony. One method, not requiring any direct interaction between the agents, is to expose…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-20 Benjamin Sorkin , Thomas A. Witten

Causal inference in cue combination is to decide whether the cues have a single cause or multiple causes. Although the Bayesian causal inference model explains the problem of causal inference in cue combination successfully, how causal…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2015-09-04 Zhaofei Yu , Feng Chen , Jianwu Dong , Qionghai Dai

In text classification tasks, models often rely on spurious correlations for predictions, incorrectly associating irrelevant features with the target labels. This issue limits the robustness and generalization of models, especially when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Yuqing Zhou , Ziwei Zhu

Modern causal inference methods allow machine learning to be used to weaken parametric modeling assumptions. However, the use of machine learning may result in complications for inference. Doubly-robust cross-fit estimators have been…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-11 Paul N Zivich , Alexander Breskin

Most neural models of causality assume static causal graphs, failing to capture the dynamic and sparse nature of physical interactions where causal relationships emerge and dissolve over time. We introduce the Causal Process Framework and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Turan Orujlu , Christian Gumbsch , Martin V. Butz , Charley M Wu

Deep neural networks have significantly improved the performance of low-level vision tasks but also increased the difficulty of interpretability. A deep understanding of deep models is beneficial for both network design and practical…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-01 Jinfan Hu , Jinjin Gu , Shiyao Yu , Fanghua Yu , Zheyuan Li , Zhiyuan You , Chaochao Lu , Chao Dong

This paper focuses on causal structure estimation from time series data in which measurements are obtained at a coarser timescale than the causal timescale of the underlying system. Previous work has shown that such subsampling can lead to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-07-14 Antti Hyttinen , Sergey Plis , Matti Järvisalo , Frederick Eberhardt , David Danks

Instrumental variable methods are among the most commonly used causal inference approaches to deal with unmeasured confounders in observational studies. The presence of invalid instruments is the primary concern for practical applications,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-18 Zijian Guo

Pairwise comparisons are widely used in decision analysis, preference modeling, and evaluation problems. In many practical situations, the observed comparison matrix is not reciprocal. This lack of reciprocity is often treated as a defect…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-07 Jean-Pierre Magnot

We study the robustness of conformal prediction, a powerful tool for uncertainty quantification, to label noise. Our analysis tackles both regression and classification problems, characterizing when and how it is possible to construct…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-27 Bat-Sheva Einbinder , Shai Feldman , Stephen Bates , Anastasios N. Angelopoulos , Asaf Gendler , Yaniv Romano

Inference of causal structures from observational data is a key component of causal machine learning; in practice, this data may be incompletely observed. Prior work has demonstrated that adversarial perturbations of completely observed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-01 Deniz Koyuncu , Alex Gittens , Bülent Yener , Moti Yung

Neural Posterior Estimation methods for simulation-based inference can be ill-suited for dealing with posterior distributions obtained by conditioning on multiple observations, as they tend to require a large number of simulator calls to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Tomas Geffner , George Papamakarios , Andriy Mnih

Estimating causal interactions in complex dynamical systems is an important problem encountered in many fields of current science. While a theoretical solution for detecting the causal interactions has been previously formulated in the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-01-20 Jakub Kořenek , Jaroslav Hlinka

Inferring the causal direction and causal effect between two discrete random variables X and Y from a finite sample is often a crucial problem and a challenging task. However, if we have access to observational and interventional data, it…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-16 Peter Gmeiner

\textbf{RE}trieval-\textbf{A}ugmented \textbf{L}LM-based \textbf{M}achine \textbf{T}ranslation (REAL-MT) shows promise for knowledge-intensive tasks like idiomatic translation, but its reliability under noisy retrieval contexts remains…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Yanming Sun , Runzhe Zhan , Chi Seng Cheang , Han Wu , Xuebo Liu , Yuyao Niu , Fengying Ye , Kaixin Lan , Lidia S. Chao , Derek F. Wong

Deep learning with noisy labels is challenging as deep neural networks have the high capacity to memorize the noisy labels. In this paper, we propose a learning algorithm called Co-matching, which balances the consistency and divergence…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-03-25 Yangdi Lu , Yang Bo , Wenbo He

Deep neural networks can memorize corrupted labels, making data quality critical for model performance, yet real-world datasets are frequently compromised by both label noise and input noise. This paper proposes a mutual information-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Jinghan Yang , Jiayu Weng

In this work we study the problem of measuring the fairness of a machine learning model under noisy information. Focusing on group fairness metrics, we investigate the particular but common situation when the evaluation requires controlling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-24 Flavien Prost , Pranjal Awasthi , Nick Blumm , Aditee Kumthekar , Trevor Potter , Li Wei , Xuezhi Wang , Ed H. Chi , Jilin Chen , Alex Beutel

Coarsened exact matching (CEM) is often promoted as a superior alternative to propensity score matching (PSM) for addressing imbalance, model dependence, bias, and efficiency. However, this recommendation remains uncertain. First, CEM is…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-03 Fei Wan

While reliable data-driven decision-making hinges on high-quality labeled data, the acquisition of quality labels often involves laborious human annotations or slow and expensive scientific measurements. Machine learning is becoming an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-01 Tijana Zrnic , Emmanuel J. Candès