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Epidemic processes are common out-of-equilibrium phenomena of broad interdisciplinary interest. Recently, dynamic message-passing (DMP) has been proposed as an efficient algorithm for simulating epidemic models on networks, and in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-09-30 Munik Shrestha , Samuel V. Scarpino , Cristopher Moore

The spreading dynamics of an epidemic and the collective behavioral pattern of the population over which it spreads are deeply intertwined and the latter can critically shape the outcome of the former. Motivated by this, we design a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-08-25 Mengbin Ye , Lorenzo Zino , Alessandro Rizzo , Ming Cao

We present a method aimed to compute the communicability (broadcast and receive) of nodes through causal paths in temporal networks. The method considers all possible combinations of chronologically ordered products of adjacency matrices of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-02-07 Agostino Funel

The Internet, as well as many other networks, has a very complex connectivity recently modeled by the class of scale-free networks. This feature, which appears to be very efficient for a communications network, favors at the same time the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Romualdo Pastor-Satorras , Alessandro Vespignani

Several systems can be modeled as sets of interdependent networks where each network contains distinct nodes. Diffusion processes like the spreading of a disease or the propagation of information constitute fundamental phenomena occurring…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-06-23 Mostafa Salehi , Payam Siyari , Matteo Magnani , Danilo Montesi

We couple a multi-type stochastic epidemic process with a directed random graph, where edges have random lengths. This random graph representation is used to characterise the fractions of individuals infected by the different types of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-29 Tom Britton , Ka Yin Leung , Pieter Trapman

The capacity to adapt can greatly influence the success of systems that need to compensate for damaged parts, learn how to achieve robust performance in new environments, or exploit novel opportunities that originate from new technological…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2011-12-15 James Whitacre , Axel Bender

Most of the common used models of epidemic spreading allow contaminating many neighbors of a particular node in the network. They are usually analyzed by differential equations on probability vectors. We propose a model of epidemic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-02-14 Wojciech Ganczarek

We study the spread of a simulated epidemic in a network of individuals who may either contract a disease through sexual contact with an infected nearest neighbor or use safe sex practices under the influence of neighbors who are already…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-25 Paolo Grigolini , David Lambert , Korosh Mahmoodi , Nicola Piccinini

The course of an epidemic is not only shaped by infection transmission over face-to-face contacts, but also by preventive behaviour caused by risk perception and social interactions. This study explores the dynamics of coupled awareness and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-02-24 Tim Van Wesemael , Luis E. C. Rocha , Jan M. Baetens

Cybercrimes such as online scams and fraud have become prevalent. Cybercriminals often abuse various global or regional events as themes of their fraudulent activities to breach user trust and attain a higher attack success rate. These…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-10-01 Maraz Mia , Mir Mehedi A. Pritom , Tariqul Islam , Shouhuai Xu

In a brave new age of global connectivity and e-commerce, interconnections via networks have heightened, creating for both individuals and organizations, a state of complete dependence upon vulnerable systems for storage and transfer of…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2015-11-03 Amit Kumar , Santosh Malhotra

Augmenting classical epidemiological models with information from the social sciences helps unveil the interplay between contagion dynamics and social responses. However, multidisciplinary integration of social analysis and epidemiological…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-07-29 Daniele Proverbio , Riccardo Tessarin , Giulia Giordano

Empirical studies show that epidemiological models based on an epidemic's initial spread rate often fail to predict the true scale of that epidemic. Most epidemics with a rapid early rise die out before affecting a significant fraction of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-05-05 Lev Muchnik , Elad Yom-Tov , Nir Levy , Amir Rubin , Yoram Louzoun

Epidemic spreading processes on dynamic multiplex networks provide a more accurate description of natural spreading processes than those on single layered networks. To describe the influence of different individuals in the awareness layer…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Minyu Feng , Xiangxi Li , Yuhan Li , Qin Li

Background: Recently developed techniques to study the spread of infectious diseases through networks make assumptions that the initial proportion infected is infinitesimal and the population behavior is static throughout the epidemic. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-08-17 Joel C. Miller

Epidemic disease spreading is conventionally often modelled and analyzed by means of rate and diffusion equations, following the paradigms of well-controlled chemical reactions and diffusive dynamics in a test tube. Yet, serious worries…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-03 Klaus Kroy

While most existing epidemic models focus on the influence of isolated factors, infectious disease transmission is inherently shaped by the complex interplay of multiple interacting elements. To better capture real-world dynamics, it is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-04-18 Guangyuan Mei , Yao Cai , Su-Su Zhang , Ying Huang , Chuang Liu , Xiu-Xiu Zhan

In this paper we study the interplay between epidemic spreading and risk perception on multiplex networks. The basic idea is that the effective infection probability is affected by the perception of the risk of being infected, which we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-11-26 Franco Bagnoli , Emanuele Massaro

Cyber attacks are growing in frequency and severity. Over the past year alone we have witnessed massive data breaches that stole personal information of millions of people and wide-scale ransomware attacks that paralyzed critical…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-06-13 Palash Goyal , KSM Tozammel Hossain , Ashok Deb , Nazgol Tavabi , Nathan Bartley , Andr'es Abeliuk , Emilio Ferrara , Kristina Lerman