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A method is developed for estimating the emission rates of contaminants into the atmosphere from multiple point sources using measurements of particulate material deposited at ground level. The approach is based on a Gaussian plume type…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2010-06-11 Enkeleida Lushi , John M. Stockie

In response to global concerns regarding air quality and the environmental impact of greenhouse gas emissions, detecting and quantifying sources of emissions has become critical. To understand this impact and target mitigations effectively,…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-14 Thomas Newman , Christopher Nemeth , Matthew Jones , Philip Jonathan

We present a cost-effective method for model calibration and solution of source inversion problems in atmospheric dispersion modelling. We use Gaussian process emulations of atmospheric dispersion models within a Bayesian framework for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-06-08 Juan G. Garcia , Bamdad Hosseini , John M Stockie

In this work, we propose a parameter estimation framework for fracture propagation problems. The fracture problem is described by a phase-field method. Parameter estimation is realized with a Bayesian framework. Here, the focus is on…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-06-22 Amirreza Khodadadian , Nima Noii , Maryam Parvizi , Mostafa Abbaszadeh , Thomas Wick , Clemens Heitzinger

Complex systems are sometimes subject to non Gaussian alpha stable Levy fluctuations. A new method is devised to estimate this uncertain parameter and other system parameters, using observations on either mean exit time or escape…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-06-04 Ting Gao , Jinqiao Duan

Inverse problems are prevalent in both scientific research and engineering applications. In the context of Bayesian inverse problems, sampling from the posterior distribution can be particularly challenging when the forward models are…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-17 Zhihang Xu , Xiaoyu Zhu , Daoji Li , Qifeng Liao

We propose a Bayesian inference framework to estimate uncertainties in inverse scattering problems. Given the observed data, the forward model and their uncertainties, we find the posterior distribution over a finite parameter field…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-11-17 Ana Carpio , Sergei Iakunin , Georg Stadler

We consider the statistical inverse problem of estimating a background flow field (e.g., of air or water) from the partial and noisy observation of a passive scalar (e.g., the concentration of a solute), a common experimental approach to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-06-12 Jeff Borggaard , Nathan E. Glatt-Holtz , Justin A. Krometis

We propose a numerical algorithm for solving the atmospheric dispersion problem with elevated point sources and ground-level deposition. The problem is modelled by the 3D advection-diffusion equation with delta-distribution source terms, as…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-07-24 Bamdad Hosseini , John M. Stockie

A quality-Bayesian approach, combining the direct sampling method and the Bayesian inversion, is proposed to reconstruct the locations and intensities of the unknown acoustic sources using partial data. First, we extend the direct sampling…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-04-10 Zhaoxing Li , Yanfang Liu , Jiguang Sun , Liwei Xu

Inverse problems, i.e., estimating parameters of physical models from experimental data, are ubiquitous in science and engineering. The Bayesian formulation is the gold standard because it alleviates ill-posedness issues and quantifies…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-28 Sharmila Karumuri , Ilias Bilionis

In the event of a nuclear accident, or the detonation of a radiological dispersal device, quickly locating the source of the accident or blast is important for emergency response and environmental decontamination. At a specified time after…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-26 Christopher Edwards , Ralph C Smith

Bayesian posterior distributions arising in modern applications, including inverse problems in partial differential equation models in tomography and subsurface flow, are often computationally intractable due to the large computational cost…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-10 Tapio Helin , Andrew Stuart , Aretha Teckentrup , Konstantinos Zygalakis

Recent findings suggest that abnormal operating conditions of equipment in the oil and gas supply chain represent a large fraction of anthropogenic methane emissions. Thus, effective mitigation of emissions necessitates rapid identification…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-06 Amir Montazeri , Xiaochi Zhou , John D. Albertson

Humans are exposed to complex mixtures of environmental pollutants rather than single chemicals, necessitating methods to quantify the health effects of such mixtures. Research on environmental mixtures provides insights into realistic…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-09 Aaron Sonabend , Jiangshan Zhang , Edgar Castro , Joel Schwartz , Brent A. Coull , Junwei Lu

In this paper we consider Bayesian estimation for the parameters of inverse Gaussian distribution. Our emphasis is on Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods. We provide complete implementation of the Gibbs sampler algorithm. Assuming an…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-10-17 B. N. Pandey , Pulastya Bandyopadhyay

Localisation of a source of a toxic release of biochemical aerosols in the atmosphere is a problem of great importance for public safety. Two main practical difficulties are encountered in this problem: the lack of knowledge of the…

Computation · Statistics 2016-02-15 Branko Ristic , Ajith Gunatilaka , Ralph Gailis , Alex Skvortsov

This work deals with an inverse two-dimensional nonlinear heat conduction problem to determine the top and lateral surface transfer coefficients. For this, the \textsc{B}ayesian framework with the \textsc{M}arkov Chain \textsc{M}onte…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-06-20 Julien Berger , Clemence Legros

Monitoring the atmospheric dispersion of pollutants is increasingly critical for environmental impact assessments. High-fidelity computational models are often employed to simulate plume dynamics, guiding decision-making and prioritizing…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-14 Ike Griss Salas , Megan R. Ebers , Jake Stevens-Haas , J. Nathan Kutz

The efficient resolution of Bayesian inverse problems remains challenging due to the high computational cost of traditional sampling methods. In this paper, we propose a novel framework that integrates Conditional Flow Matching (CFM) with a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Daniil Sherki , Ivan Oseledets , Ekaterina Muravleva
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