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Scaling analysis reveals striking regularities in earthquake occurrence. The time between any one earthquake and that following it is random, but it is described by the same universal-probability distribution for any spatial region and…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Alvaro Corral

In many complex systems a continuous input of energy over time can be suddenly relaxed in the form of avalanches. Conventional avalanche models disregard the possibility of internal dynamical effects in the inter-avalanche periods, and thus…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-07-02 E. A. Jagla , François P. Landes , Alberto Rosso

This paper is devoted to the study of the interaction between two distinct forms of non-stationary processes, which we will refer to as non-stationarity of first and second kind. The non-stationarity of first kind is caused by…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-12-18 Callum Muir , Mauro Bologna , Paolo Grigolini

Traditional models of slow slip events (SSEs) often oversimplify fault geometry, yet imaging studies show that real subduction faults are segmented and complex. We investigate how fault interactions influence slip behavior using 3D…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-02-19 J. Cheng , H. S. Bhat , M. Almakari , B. Lecampion , P. Dubernet

We study a 2D quasi-static discrete {\it crack} anti-plane model of a tectonic plate with long range elastic forces and quenched disorder. The plate is driven at its border and the load is transfered to all elements through elastic forces.…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2020-01-29 Didier Sornette , Christian Vanneste

We review the "critical point" concept for large earthquakes and enlarge it in the framework of so-called "finite-time singularities". The singular behavior associated with accelerated seismic release is shown to result from a positive…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 S. G. Sammis , D. Sornette

Using a method based on normalized monthly variation rate, we studied resistivity data of seven observation stations before the events in the epicenter areas of two strong earthquakes. The relationship between variation of anisotropic…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-01-20 Jianguo Zhang , Wei Du , Mingxin Yue , Chenghui Liu , Xiaolong Liang , Jun Yang

We develop an efficient numerical scheme to solve accurately the set of nonlinear integral equations derived previously in (Saichev and Sornette, 2007), which describes the distribution of inter-event times in the framework of a general…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-13 D. Sornette , S. Utkin , A. Saichev

The origin of earthquake has long been recognized as resulting from strike-slip instability of plate tectonics along the fault lines. Several events of earthquake around the globe have happened which cannot be explained by this theory. In…

Geophysics · Physics 2013-10-01 Surya Prakash Kapoor , Bhag Chand Chauhan

A recent statistical analysis of the relationship between tides and seismic activity in Colombia has suggested the existence of correlation anomalies for the case of intermediate depth events in the Bucaramanga nest and the Cauca cluster…

Geophysics · Physics 2019-08-16 Gloria A. Moncayo , Gaspar Monsalve , Jorge I. Zuluaga

Spatio-temporal correlations of earthquakes are studied numerically on the basis of the one-dimensional spring-block (Burridge-Knopoff) model. As large events approach, the frequency of smaller events gradually increases, while, just before…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Takahiro Mori , Hikaru Kawamura

We investigate the spatial distribution of aftershocks and we find that aftershock linear density exhibits a maximum, that depends on the mainshock magnitude, followed by a power law decay. The exponent controlling the asymptotic decay and…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-07-17 E. Lippiello , L. de Arcangelis , C. Godano

Using a catalog of seismicity for Southern California, we measure how the number of triggered earthquakes increases with the earthquake magnitude. The trade-off between this relation and the distribution of earthquake magnitudes controls…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-07 Agnes Helmstetter

Earthquakes are a major threat to nations worldwide. Earthquake detection is an important scientific challenge, not only for its social impacts, but also since it reflects the actual degree of understanding of the physical processes…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-05-05 Yosef Ashkenazy , Ittai Kurzon , Eitan Asher

We test the concept that seismicity prior to a large earthquake can be understood in terms of the statistical physics of a critical phase transition. In this model, the cumulative seismic strain release increases as a power-law…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 D. D. Bowman , G. Ouillon , C. G. Sammis , A. Sornette , D. Sornette

The distribution of inter-occurrence time between seismic events is a quantity of great interest in seismic risk assessment. We evaluate this distribution for different models of earthquakes occurrence and follow two distinct approaches:…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 C. Godano , L. de Arcangelis

We study the statistics of the recurrence times between earthquakes above a certain magnitude M$ in California. We find that the distribution of the recurrence times strongly depends on the previous recurrence time $\tau_0$. As a…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 V. Livina , S. Tuzov , S. Havlin , A. Bunde

We study how a stress perturbation generated by a mainshock affects a population of faults obeying a rate-state friction law. Depending on the model parameters and on the initial state, the fault exhibits aftershocks, slow earthquakes, or…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Agnes Helmstetter , Bruce E. Shaw

The number of earthquakes as a function of magnitude decays as a power law. This trend is usually justified using spring-block models, where slips with the appropriate global statistics have been numerically observed. However, prominent…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2010-05-24 E. A. Jagla , A. B. Kolton

Simple models of earthquake faults are important for understanding the mechanisms for their observed behavior, such as Gutenberg-Richter scaling and the relation between large and small events, which is the basis for various forecasting…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Junchao Xia , Harvey Gould , W. Klein , J. B. Rundle