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We discuss the statistical properties of a recently introduced unbiased stochastic approximation to the score equations for maximum likelihood calculation for Gaussian processes. Under certain conditions, including bounded condition number…

Applications · Statistics 2013-12-11 Michael L. Stein , Jie Chen , Mihai Anitescu

We consider systems of stochastic evolutionary equations of the $p$-Laplace type. We establish convergence rates for a finite-element based space-time approximation, where the error is measured in a suitable quasi-norm. Under natural…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-05-10 Dominic Breit , Martina Hofmanova , Sebastien Loisel

We study classical stochastic systems with discrete states, coupled to switching external environments. For fast environmental processes we derive reduced dynamics for the system itself, focusing on corrections to the adiabatic limit of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-03-27 Peter G. Hufton , Yen Ting Lin , Tobias Galla

For the Vlasov-Poisson equation with random uncertain initial data, we prove that the Landau damping solution given by the deterministic counterpart (Caglioti and Maffei, {\it J. Stat. Phys.}, 92:301-323, 1998) depends smoothly on the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-01-22 Ruiwen Shu , Shi Jin

Probability proportional to size (PPS) sampling schemes with a target sample size aim to produce a sample comprising a specified number $n$ of items while ensuring that each item in the population appears in the sample with a probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-14 Brian Hentschel , Peter J. Haas , Yuanyuan Tian

In this paper, we propose a stochastic optimization method that adaptively controls the sample size used in the computation of gradient approximations. Unlike other variance reduction techniques that either require additional storage or the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-11-01 Raghu Bollapragada , Richard Byrd , Jorge Nocedal

We study the exit time $\tau=\tau_{(0,\infty)}$ for 1-dimensional strictly stable processes and express its Laplace transform at $t^\alpha$ as the Laplace transform of a positive random variable with explicit density. Consequently, $\tau$…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-23 Piotr Graczyk , Tomasz Jakubowski

We characterize the sample size required for accurate graphical model selection from non-stationary samples. The observed data is modeled as a vector-valued zero-mean Gaussian random process whose samples are uncorrelated but have different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-28 Nguyen Q. Tran , Oleksii Abramenko , Alexander Jung

We study a general class of birth-and-death processes with state space $\mathbb{N}$ that describes the size of a population going to extinction with probability one. This class contains the logistic case. The scale of the population is…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-20 J. -R. Chazottes , P. Collet , S. Méléard

We develop a provably efficient importance sampling scheme that estimates exit probabilities of solutions to small-noise stochastic reaction-diffusion equations from scaled neighborhoods of a stable equilibrium. The moderate deviation…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-24 Ioannis Gasteratos , Michael Salins , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

State-space models have been successfully used for more than fifty years in different areas of science and engineering. We present a procedure for efficient variational Bayesian learning of nonlinear state-space models based on sparse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-11-04 Roger Frigola , Yutian Chen , Carl E. Rasmussen

Advances of information-theoretic understanding of sparse sampling of continuous uncoded signals at sampling rates exceeding the Landau rate were reported in recent works. This work examines sparse sampling of coded signals at sub-Landau…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-03-04 Michael Peleg , Shlomo Shamai

Scaling limits for continuous-time branching processes with discrete state space are provided as the initial state tends to infinity. Depending on the finiteness or non-finiteness of the mean and/or the variance of the offspring…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-05 Martin Möhle , Benedict Vetter

A key challenge in spatial statistics is the analysis for massive spatially-referenced data sets. Such analyses often proceed from Gaussian process specifications that can produce rich and robust inference, but involve dense covariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-25 Shinichiro Shirota , Andrew O. Finley , Bruce D. Cook , Sudipto Banerjee

Sampling from various kinds of distributions is an issue of paramount importance in statistics since it is often the key ingredient for constructing estimators, test procedures or confidence intervals. In many situations, the exact sampling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-05 Avetik Karagulyan

This paper is concerned with a class of stochastic optimization problems defined on a Banach space with almost sure conic-type constraints. For this class of problems, we investigate the consistency of optimal values and solutions…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-11 Caroline Geiersbach , Johannes Milz

In this paper, we consider a stochastic system described by a differential equation admitting a spatially varying random coefficient. The differential equation has been employed to model various static physics systems such as elastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-18 Jingchen Liu , Xiang Zhou

A risk-aware decision-making problem can be formulated as a chance-constrained linear program in probability measure space. Chance-constrained linear program in probability measure space is intractable, and no numerical method exists to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-21 Xun Shen , Satoshi Ito

We consider the stochastic ranking process with space-time dependent jump rates for the particles. The process is a simplified model of the time evolution of the rankings such as sales ranks at online bookstores. We prove that the joint…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-01 Tetsuya Hattori , Seiichiro Kusuoka

We examine an analytic variational inference scheme for the Gaussian Process State Space Model (GPSSM) - a probabilistic model for system identification and time-series modelling. Our approach performs variational inference over both the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-11 Alessandro Davide Ialongo , Mark van der Wilk , Carl Edward Rasmussen
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