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The empirical measure of an interacting particle system is a purely atomic random probability measure. In the limit as the number of particles grows to infinity, we show for McKean-Vlasov systems with common noise that this measure becomes…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-01 Robert Alexander Crowell

Donsker-type functional limit theorems are proved for empirical processes arising from discretely sampled increments of a univariate L\'evy process. In the asymptotic regime the sampling frequencies increase to infinity and the limiting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-12 Richard Nickl , Markus Reiß , Jakob Söhl , Mathias Trabs

We extend classic characterisations of posterior distributions under Dirichlet process and gamma random measures priors to a dynamic framework. We consider the problem of learning, from indirect observations, two families of time-dependent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-23 Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Matteo Ruggiero , Dario Spanò

A model of Poissonian observation having a jump (change-point) in the intensity function is considered. Two cases are studied. The first one corresponds to the situation when the jump size converges to a non-zero limit, while in the second…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-25 Serguei Dachian , Lin Yang

Fleming-Viot type particle systems represent a classical way to approximate the distribution of a Markov process with killing, given that it is still alive at a final deterministic time. In this context, each particle evolves independently…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-21 Bernard Delyon , Frédéric Cérou , Arnaud Guyader , Mathias Rousset

For $1\le p \le \infty$, the Fr\'echet $p$-mean of a probability measure on a metric space is an important notion of central tendency that generalizes the usual notions in the real line of mean ($p=2$) and median ($p=1$). In this work we…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-03 Steven N. Evans , Adam Q. Jaffe

We consider Gaussian approximation in a variant of the classical Johnson--Mehl birth-growth model with random growth speed. Seeds appear randomly in $\mathbb{R}^d$ at random times and start growing instantaneously in all directions with a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-02 Chinmoy Bhattacharjee , Ilya Molchanov , Riccardo Turin

Power-law distributions are typical macroscopic features occurring in almost all complex systems observable in nature. As a result, researchers in quantitative analyses must often generate random synthetic variates obeying power-law…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-11-11 Filippo Radicchi

In this paper, we study the asymptotic behavior of a fully-coupled slow-fast McKean-Vlasov stochastic system. Using the non-linear Poisson equation on Wasserstein space, we first establish the strong convergence in the averaging principle…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-14 Yun Li , Longjie Xie

We introduce the Pitman Yor Diffusion Tree (PYDT) for hierarchical clustering, a generalization of the Dirichlet Diffusion Tree (Neal, 2001) which removes the restriction to binary branching structure. The generative process is described…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-06-17 David A. Knowles , Zoubin Ghahramani

In this paper, we study the averaging principle and central limit theorem for multi-scale stochastic differential equations with state-dependent switching. To accomplish this, we first study the Poisson equation associated with a Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-19 Xiaobin Sun , Yingchao Xie

The classical Poisson theorem says that if $\xi_1,\xi_2,...$ are i.i.d. 0--1 Bernoulli random variables taking on 1 with probability $p_n\equiv \la/n$ then the sum $S_n=\sum_{i=1}^n\xi_i$ is asymptotically in $n$ Poisson distributed with…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-11 Yuri Kifer

We show that a slight modification of a theorem of Ruzmaikina and Aizenman on competing particle systems on the real line leads to a characterization of Poisson-Dirichlet distributions $PD(a,0)$. Precisely, let $s$ be a proper random…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-09 Louis-Pierre Arguin

Using the LePage representation, a strictly stable random element in a Banach space with $\alpha\in(0,2)$ can be represented as a sum of points of a Poisson process. This point process is union-stable, i.e. the union of its two independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Youri Davydov , Ilya Molchanov , Sergei Zuyev

The goal of this paper is to analyse the asymptotic behavior of the cycle process and the total number of cycles of weighted and generalized weighted random permutations which are relevant models in physics and which extend the Ewens…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-13 Ashkan Nikeghbali , Dirk Zeindler

For an integer $n\geq1$, consider a random partition $\Pi_{n}$ of $\{1,\ldots,n\}$ into $K_{n}$ partition sets with $K_{r,n}$ partition subsets of size $r=1,\ldots,n$, and assume $\Pi_{n}$ distributed according to the Ewens-Pitman model…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-19 Bernard Bercu , Stefano Favaro

In a family of random variables, Taylor's law or Taylor's power law offluctuation scaling is a variance function that gives the variance $\sigma^{2}>0$ of a random variable (rv) $X$ with expectation $\mu >0$ as a powerof $\mu$: $\sigma…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-10 Joel E. Cohen , Thierry E Huillet

This work develops Feynman-Kac formulas for a class of regime-switching jump diffusion processes, in which the jump part is driven by a Poisson random measure associated to a general L\'evy process and the switching part depends on the jump…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-07 Chao Zhu , George Yin , Nicholas A. Baran

We consider a natural class of long range random walks on torsion free nilpotent groups and develop limit theorems for these walks. Given the original discrete group $\Gamma$ and a random walk $(S_n)_ {n\ge1}$ driven by a certain type of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-26 Zhen-Qing Chen , Takashi Kumagai , Laurent Saloff-Coste , Jian Wang , Tianyi Zheng

We study the process of suitably normalized successive return times to rare events in the setting of infinite-measure preserving dynamical systems. Specifically, we consider small neighborhoods of points whose measure tends to zero. We…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-12-02 Dylan Bansard-Tresse