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We investigate two stochastic models of a growing population subject to selection and mutation. In our models each individual carries a fitness which determines its mean offspring number. Many of these offspring inherit their parent's…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-12 Su-Chan Park , Joachim Krug , Léo Touzo , Peter Mörters

In contrast to the neutral population cycles of the deterministic mean-field Lotka--Volterra rate equations, including spatial structure and stochastic noise in models for predator-prey interactions yields complex spatio-temporal structures…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-10-16 Ulrich Dobramysl , Uwe C. Tauber

The growth of a population divided among spatial sites, with migration between the sites, is sometimes modelled by a product of random matrices, with each diagonal elements representing the growth rate in a given time period, and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-04 David Steinsaltz , Shripad Tuljapurkar

We consider stochastic growth models for populations organized in colonies and subject to uniform catastrophes. To assess population viability, we analyze scenarios in which individuals adopt dispersion strategies after catastrophic events.…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Joan Amaya , Valdivino V. Junior , Fábio P. Machado , Alejandro Roldán-Correa

We present an explicit unified stochastic model of fluctuations in population size due to random birth, death, density-dependent competition and environmental fluctuations. Stochastic dynamics provide insight into small populations,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-07-31 Alexei J. Drummond , Peter D. Drummond

The aim of this paper is to tackle part of the program set by Diekmann et al. in their seminal paper Diekmann et al. (2001). We quote "It remains to investigate whether, and in what sense, the nonlinear determin-istic model formulation is…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-16 Philippe Carmona

We are interested in modelling Darwinian evolution, resulting from the interplay of phenotypic variation and natural selection through ecological interactions. Our models are rooted in the microscopic, stochastic description of a population…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Nicolas Champagnat , Régis Ferrière , Sylvie Méléard

The purpose of this paper is to analyze the mechanism for the interplay of deterministic and stochastic models for contagious diseases. Deterministic models for contagious diseases are prone to predict global stability. Small natural birth…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-06-17 Torsten Lindström

The abundance of a species' population in an ecosystem is rarely stationary, often exhibiting large fluctuations over time. Using historical data on marine species, we show that the year-to-year fluctuations of population growth rate obey a…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-06-02 Jie Sun , Sean P. Cornelius , John Janssen , Kimberly A. Gray , Adilson E. Motter

Many biological systems regulate phenotypic heterogeneity as a fitness-maximising strategy in uncertain and dynamic environments. Analysis of such strategies is typically confined both to a discrete set of environmental conditions, and to a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-02 Alexander P Browning , Sara Hamis

We consider the Moran process with two populations competing under an iterated Prisoners' Dilemma in the presence of mutation, and concentrate on the case where there are multiple Evolutionarily Stable Strategies. We perform a complete…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-12-23 Lee DeVille , Meghan Galiardi

The growth of a population divided among spatial sites, with migration between the sites, is sometimes modelled by a product of random matrices, with each diagonal elements representing the growth rate in a given time period, and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-09-12 David Steinsaltz , Shripad Tuljapurkar

We review models of biological evolution in which the population frequency changes deterministically with time. If the population is self-replicating, although the equations for simple prototypes can be linearised, nonlinear equations arise…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-27 Kavita Jain , Sarada Seetharaman

We consider a stochastic individual-based model for the evolution of a haploid, asexually reproducing population. The space of possible traits is given by the vertices of a (possibly directed) finite graph $G=(V,E)$. The evolution of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-10 Loren Coquille , Anna Kraut , Charline Smadi

We consider a linear size-structured population model with diffusion in the size-space. Individuals are recruited into the population at arbitrary sizes. The model is equipped with generalized Wentzell-Robin (or dynamic) boundary…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-03-25 J. Z. Farkas , P. Hinow

Winner-take-all phenomena are observed in various competitive systems. We find similar phenomena in replicator models with randomly fluctuating growth rates. The disparity between winners and losers increases indefinitely, even if all…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-03-23 Hidetsugu Sakaguchi

Certain Markov processes, or deterministic evolution equations, have the property that they are dual to a stochastic process that exhibits extinction versus unbounded growth, i.e., the total mass in such a process either becomes zero, or…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jan M. Swart

Epochal dynamics, in which long periods of stasis in an evolving population are punctuated by a sudden burst of change, is a common behavior in both natural and artificial evolutionary processes. We analyze the population dynamics for a…

adap-org · Physics 2007-05-23 Erik van Nimwegen , James P. Crutchfield

Classical ecological theory predicts that environmental stochasticity increases extinction risk by reducing the average per-capita growth rate of populations. To understand the interactive effects of environmental stochasticity, spatial…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-16 Steven N. Evans , Peter L. Ralph , Sebastian J. Schreiber , Arnab Sen

Stochastic models of sequential mutation acquisition are widely used to quantify cancer and bacterial evolution. Across manifold scenarios, recurrent research questions are: how many cells are there with $n$ alterations, and how long will…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-07-07 Michael D. Nicholson , David Cheek , Tibor Antal