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This two-part paper presents a new approach to predictive analysis for social processes. Part I identifies a class of social processes, called positive externality processes, which are both important and difficult to predict, and introduces…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2016-11-17 Richard Colbaugh , Kristin Glass

Waiting times in a business process often arise when a case transitions from one activity to another. Accordingly, analyzing the causes of waiting times of activity transitions can help analysts to identify opportunities for reducing the…

Databases · Computer Science 2022-12-06 Katsiaryna Lashkevich , Fredrik Milani , David Chapela-Campa , Ihar Suvorau , Marlon Dumas

Traditionally, research in Business Process Management has put a strong focus on centralized and intra-organizational processes. However, today's business processes are increasingly distributed, deviating from a centralized layout, and…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2018-01-10 Michael Borkowski , Walid Fdhila , Matteo Nardelli , Stefanie Rinderle-Ma , Stefan Schulte

Predictive Process Monitoring aims to forecast the future progress of process instances using historical event data. As predictive process monitoring is increasingly applied in online settings to enable timely interventions, evaluating the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-16 Suhwan Lee , Marco Comuzzi , Xixi Lu , Hajo A. Reijers

Predicting the next activity in an ongoing process is one of the most common classification tasks in the business process management (BPM) domain. It allows businesses to optimize resource allocation, enhance operational efficiency, and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-03-15 Alon Oved , Segev Shlomov , Sergey Zeltyn , Nir Mashkif , Avi Yaeli

In many traditional job scheduling settings, it is assumed that one knows the time it will take for a job to complete service. In such cases, strategies such as shortest job first can be used to improve performance in terms of measures such…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-05-24 Michael Mitzenmacher

Predictive process monitoring enables organizations to proactively react and intervene in running instances of a business process. Given an incomplete process instance, predictions about the outcome, next activity, or remaining time are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Martin Käppel , Julian Neuberger , Felix Möhrlein , Sven Weinzierl , Martin Matzner , Stefan Jablonski

Prescriptive process monitoring is a family of techniques to optimize the performance of a business process by triggering interventions at runtime. Existing prescriptive process monitoring techniques assume that the number of interventions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Mahmoud Shoush , Marlon Dumas

Prescriptive process monitoring methods seek to improve the performance of a process by selectively triggering interventions at runtime (e.g., offering a discount to a customer) to increase the probability of a desired case outcome (e.g., a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-08 Mahmoud Shoush , Marlon Dumas

This paper addresses the prediction of stationary functional time series. Existing contributions to this problem have largely focused on the special case of first-order functional autoregressive processes because of their technical…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-01 Alexander Aue , Diogo Dubart Norinho , Siegfried Hörmann

Human motion prediction is consisting in forecasting future body poses from historically observed sequences. It is a longstanding challenge due to motion's complex dynamics and uncertainty. Existing methods focus on building up complicated…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-22 Zhihao Wang , Yulin Zhou , Ningyu Zhang , Xiaosong Yang , Jun Xiao , Zhao Wang

Existing well investigated Predictive Process Monitoring techniques typically construct a predictive model based on past process executions, and then use it to predict the future of new ongoing cases, without the possibility of updating it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Williams Rizzi , Chiara Di Francescomarino , Chiara Ghidini , Fabrizio Maria Maggi

We consider prediction theory for stationary stochastic processes in continuous time. We discuss prediction using the whole (infinite) past, and using only a finite section of the past. The solutions to both these classical problems have…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-17 N. H. Bingham

The execution behavior of a program often depends on external resources, such as program inputs or file contents, and so cannot be run in isolation. Nevertheless, software developers benefit from fast iteration loops where automated tools…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-30 David Bieber , Rishab Goel , Daniel Zheng , Hugo Larochelle , Daniel Tarlow

Prescriptive process monitoring methods seek to optimize the performance of business processes by triggering interventions at runtime, thereby increasing the probability of positive case outcomes. These interventions are triggered according…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Mahmoud Shoush , Marlon Dumas

We study single-machine scheduling of jobs, each belonging to a job type that determines its duration distribution. We start by analyzing the scenario where the type characteristics are known and then move to two learning scenarios where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-02 Nadav Merlis , Hugo Richard , Flore Sentenac , Corentin Odic , Mathieu Molina , Vianney Perchet

Algorithms are commonly used to predict outcomes under a particular decision or intervention, such as predicting whether an offender will succeed on parole if placed under minimal supervision. Generally, to learn such counterfactual…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-19 Amanda Coston , Edward H. Kennedy , Alexandra Chouldechova

Derived from rapid advances in computer vision and machine learning, video analysis tasks have been moving from inferring the present state to predicting the future state. Vision-based action recognition and prediction from videos are such…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-02-15 Yu Kong , Yun Fu

Activity progress prediction aims to estimate what percentage of an activity has been completed. Currently this is done with machine learning approaches, trained and evaluated on complicated and realistic video datasets. The videos in these…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-11 Frans de Boer , Jan C. van Gemert , Jouke Dijkstra , Silvia L. Pintea

Business process deviance refers to the phenomenon whereby a subset of the executions of a business process deviate, in a negative or positive way, with respect to {their} expected or desirable outcomes. Deviant executions of a business…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-11-25 Giacomo Bergami , Chiara Di Francescomarino , Chiara Ghidini , Fabrizio Maria Maggi , Joonas Puura