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We are interested in computing the expectation of a functional of a PDE solution under a Bayesian posterior distribution. Using Bayes' rule, we reduce the problem to estimating the ratio of two related prior expectations. For a model…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-03-03 R. Scheichl , A. M. Stuart , A. L. Teckentrup

Quasi-Monte Carlo methods are used for numerically integrating multivariate functions. However, the error bounds for these methods typically rely on a priori knowledge of some semi-norm of the integrand, not on the sampled function values.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-10-27 Lluís Antoni Jiménez Rugama , Fred J. Hickernell

We consider geothermal inverse problems and uncertainty quantification from a Bayesian perspective. Our main goal is to make standard, `out-of-the-box' Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling more feasible for complex simulation models by…

Sparse estimation of the precision matrix under high-dimensional scaling constitutes a canonical problem in statistics and machine learning. Numerous regression and likelihood based approaches, many frequentist and some Bayesian in nature…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-20 Peyman Jalali , Kshitij Khare , George Michailidis

We analyze the convergence of compressive sensing based sampling techniques for the efficient evaluation of functionals of solutions for a class of high-dimensional, affine-parametric, linear operator equations which depend on possibly…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-09-22 Holger Rauhut , Christoph Schwab

This article extends the framework of Bayesian inverse problems in infinite-dimensional parameter spaces, as advocated by Stuart (Acta Numer. 19:451--559, 2010) and others, to the case of a heavy-tailed prior measure in the family of stable…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-23 T. J. Sullivan

We study Bayesian inversion for a model elliptic PDE with unknown diffusion coefficient. We provide complexity analyses of several Markov Chain-Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for the efficient numerical evaluation of expectations under the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-05-01 Viet Ha Hoang , Christoph Schwab , Andrew M. Stuart

The efficient approximation of quantity of interest derived from PDEs with lognormal diffusivity is a central challenge in uncertainty quantification. In this study, we propose a multilevel quasi-Monte Carlo framework to approximate…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-06 Joakim Beck , Yang Liu , Erik von Schwerin , Raúl Tempone

We consider the problem of estimating expectations with respect to a target distribution with an unknown normalizing constant, and where even the unnormalized target needs to be approximated at finite resolution. This setting is ubiquitous…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-03-23 Kody J. H. Law , Neil Walton , Shangda Yang , Ajay Jasra

We study an optimal control problem under uncertainty, where the target function is the solution of an elliptic partial differential equation with random coefficients, steered by a control function. The robust formulation of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-23 Philipp A. Guth , Vesa Kaarnioja , Frances Y. Kuo , Claudia Schillings , Ian H. Sloan

This paper analyzes a popular computational framework to solve infinite-dimensional Bayesian inverse problems, discretizing the prior and the forward model in a finite-dimensional weighted inner product space. We demonstrate the benefit of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-22 Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Nathan Waniorek

Sequential Monte Carlo samplers represent a compelling approach to posterior inference in Bayesian models, due to being parallelisable and providing an unbiased estimate of the posterior normalising constant. In this work, we significantly…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-24 Samuel Duffield , Sumeetpal S. Singh

This paper focusses on the formulation of numerical integration as an inferential task. To date, research effort has largely focussed on the development of Bayesian cubature, whose distributional output provides uncertainty quantification…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-21 Toni Karvonen , Chris J. Oates , Simo Särkkä

Existing multilevel quasi-Monte Carlo (MLQMC) methods often rely on multiple independent randomizations of a low-discrepancy (LD) sequence to estimate statistical errors on each level. While this approach is standard, it can be less…

A high-order quadrature algorithm is presented for computing integrals over curved surfaces and volumes whose geometry is implicitly defined by the level sets of (one or more) multivariate polynomials. The algorithm recasts the implicitly…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-11-24 Robert I. Saye

The Bayesian approach to Inverse Problems relies predominantly on Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods for posterior inference. The typical nonlinear concentration of posterior measure observed in many such Inverse Problems presents severe…

Computation · Statistics 2016-02-17 Shiwei Lan , Tan Bui-Thanh , Mike Christie , Mark Girolami

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms have become powerful tools for Bayesian inference. However, they do not scale well to large-data problems. Divide-and-conquer strategies, which split the data into batches and, for each batch, run…

Computation · Statistics 2017-07-18 Christopher Nemeth , Chris Sherlock

The Bayesian approach to inverse problems provides a rigorous framework for the incorporation and quantification of uncertainties in measurements, parameters and models. We are interested in designing numerical methods which are robust…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-06-29 Claudia Schillings , Björn Sprungk , Philipp Wacker

We consider the problem of learning an unknown, possibly nonlinear operator between separable Hilbert spaces from supervised data. Inputs are drawn from a prescribed probability measure on the input space, and outputs are (possibly noisy)…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-12-15 John Turnage , Matthew Lowery , John Jakeman , Zachary Morrow , Akil Narayan , Varun Shankar

High-throughput characterization often requires estimating parameters and model dimension from experimental data of limited quantity and quality. Such data may result in an ill-posed inverse problem, where multiple sets of parameters and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-04-08 Abigail N. Poteshman , Jiwon Yun , Tim H. Taminiau , Giulia Galli