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The paper is largely of a review nature. It considers two main methods used to study stability and obtain appropriate quantitative estimates of perturbations of (inhomogeneous) Markov chains with continuous time and a finite or countable…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-17 Alexander Zeifman , Victor Korolev , Yacov Satin

Consider a Markov chain with finite state $\{0, 1, ..., d\}$. We give the generation functions (or Laplace transforms) of absorbing (passage) time in the following two situations : (1) the absorbing time of state $d$ when the chain starts…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-09 Wenming Hong , Ke Zhou

Consider a sequence of continuous-time irreducible reversible Markov chains and a sequence of initial distributions, $\mu_n$. The sequence is said to exhibit $\mu_n$-cutoff if the convergence to stationarity in total variation distance is…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-27 Jonathan Hermon

In this research the technology of complex Markov chains is applied to predict financial time series. The main distinction of complex or high-order Markov Chains and simple first-order ones is the existing of aftereffect or memory. The…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-11-23 Vladimir Soloviev , Vladimir Saptsin , Dmitry Chabanenko

We consider a Markov chain $(M_{n})_{n\ge 0}$ on the set $\mathbb{N}_{0}$ of nonnegative integers which is eventually decreasing, i.e. $\mathbb{P}\{M_{n+1}<M_{n}|M_{n}\ge a\}=1$ for some $a\in\mathbb{N}$ and all $n\ge 0$. We are interested…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-08 Gerold Alsmeyer , Alexander Marynych

Consider the following Markov chain on permutations of length $n$. At each time step we choose a random position. If the letter at that position is smaller than the letter immediately to the left (cyclically) then these letters swap…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-01 Erik Aas

We consider the Markov chain approximations for singular stable-like processes. First we obtain properties of some Markov chains. Then we construct the approximating Markov chains and give a necessary condition for weak convergence of these…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-11 Fangjun Xu

In this paper, we consider the Markov-Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach for random sampling of combinatorial objects. The running time of such an algorithm depends on the total mixing time of the underlying Markov chain and is unknown in…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2016-09-15 Steffen Rechner , Annabell Berger

In this paper, we develop a more general framework of block-structured Markov processes in the queueing study of blockchain systems, which can provide analysis both for the stationary performance measures and for the sojourn times of any…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2019-04-09 Quan-Lin Li , Jing-Yu Ma , Yan-Xia Chang , Fan-Qi Ma , Hai-Bo Yu

We present a novel method for computing reachability probabilities of parametric discrete-time Markov chains whose transition probabilities are fractions of polynomials over a set of parameters. Our algorithm is based on two key…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2014-03-28 Nils Jansen , Florian Corzilius , Matthias Volk , Ralf Wimmer , Erika Ábrahám , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Bernd Becker

We suggest a non-asymptotic matrix perturbation-theoretic approach to get sharp bounds on the expected meeting time of random walks on large (possibly random) graphs. We provide a formula for the expected meeting time in terms of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-09 Thomas van Belle , Anton Klimovsky

We consider the problem of bounding mean first passage times for a class of continuous-time Markov chains that captures stochastic interactions between groups of identical agents. The quantitative analysis of such probabilistic population…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-07 Michael Backenköhler , Luca Bortolussi , Verena Wolf

Computational procedures for the stationary probability distribution, the group inverse of the Markovian kernel and the mean first passage times of an irreducible Markov chain, are developed using perturbations. The derivation of these…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-12 Jeffrey J. Hunter

In this paper we consider stopping problems for continuous-time Markov chains under a general risk-sensitive optimization criterion for problems with finite and infinite time horizon. More precisely our aim is to maximize the certainty…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-05 Nicole Bäuerle , Anton Popp

Let $(X_n \colon n\in\Z)$ be a two-sided recurrent Markov chain with fixed initial state $X_0$ and let $\nu$ be a probability measure on its state space. We give a necessary and sufficient criterion for the existence of a non-randomized…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-11 Peter Morters , Istvan Redl

We study continuous-time Markov chains on the non-negative integers under mild regularity conditions (in particular, the set of jump vectors is finite and both forward and backward jumps are possible). Based on the so-called flux balance…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-26 Mads Chr Hansen , Carsten Wiuf , Chuang Xu

Given a sequence $(\mathfrak{X}_i, \mathscr{K}_i)_{i=1}^\infty$ of Markov chains, the cut-off phenomenon describes a period of transition to stationarity which is asymptotically lower order than the mixing time. We study mixing times and…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-25 Bob Hough

This article describes an accurate procedure for computing the mean first passage times of a finite irreducible Markov chain and a Markov renewal process. The method is a refinement to the Kohlas, Zeit fur Oper Res, 30,197-207, (1986)…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-17 Jeffrey J. Hunter

Labeled continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) describe processes subject to random timing and partial observability. In applications such as runtime monitoring, we must incorporate past observations. The timing of these observations matters…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-01-30 Thom Badings , Matthias Volk , Sebastian Junges , Marielle Stoelinga , Nils Jansen

The aim of this note is to construct a probability measure on the space of trajectories in a continuous time Markov chain having a finite state diagram, or more generally which admits a global bound on its degree and rates. Our approach is…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-25 Michael J. Catanzaro , Vladimir Y. Chernyak , John R. Klein
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