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Time-varying parameter vector autoregression provides a flexible framework to capture structural changes within time series. However, when applied to high-dimensional data, this model encounters challenges of over-parametrization and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-14 Yiyong Luo , Jim E. Griffin

Many applications produce multiway data of exceedingly high dimension. Modeling such multi-way data is important in multichannel signal and video processing where sensors produce multi-indexed data, e.g. over spatial, frequency, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-06 Yu Wang , Zeyu Sun , Dogyoon Song , Alfred Hero

Macroscopic dynamical descriptions of complex physical systems are crucial for understanding and controlling material behavior. With the growing availability of data and compute, machine learning has become a promising alternative to…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-03-24 Mengyi Chen , Pengru Huang , Kostya S. Novoselov , Qianxiao Li

Multivariate oscillatory signals from complex systems often exhibit non-stationary dynamics and metastable regime structure, making dynamical interpretation challenging. We introduce a ``dynamical microscope'' framework that converts…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-12 Łukasz Furman , Ludovico Minati , Włodzisław Duch

We propose a novel framework for analyzing multivariate time series (MTS) data by integrating non-negative matrix factorization (NMF) with vector autoregression (VAR). Termed NMF-VAR, this method models the coefficient matrix of NMF as a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-08 Kenichi Satoh

This paper studies methods for testing and estimating change-points in the covariance structure of a high-dimensional linear time series. The assumed framework allows for a large class of multivariate linear processes (including vector…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-14 Ansgar Steland

We present a quantum information-inspired framework for analyzing complex systems through multivariate time series. In this approach the system's state is encoded into a density matrix, providing a compact representation of higher-order…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-12-17 Parsa Kafashi , Mozhgan Orujlu

This article develops flexible methodology to study the association between scalar outcomes and functional predictors observed over time, at many instances, in longitudinal studies. We propose a parsimonious modeling framework to study…

Applications · Statistics 2018-01-25 Md Nazmul Islam , Ana-Maria Staicu , Eric van Heugten

Fueled by breakthrough technology developments, the biological, biomedical, and behavioral sciences are now collecting more data than ever before. There is a critical need for time- and cost-efficient strategies to analyze and interpret…

In multivariate time series, the estimation of the covariance matrix of the observation innovations plays an important role in forecasting as it enables the computation of the standardized forecast error vectors as well as it enables the…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-02-04 K. Triantafyllopoulos

Multivariable parametric models are critical for designing, controlling, and optimizing the performance of engineered systems. The main aim of this paper is to develop a parametric identification strategy that delivers accurate and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-01 Maarten van der Hulst , Rodrigo González , Koen Classens , Nic Dirkx , Jeroen van de Wijdeven , Tom Oomen

Multistate models offer a powerful framework for studying disease processes and can be used to formulate intensity-based and more descriptive marginal regression models. They also represent a natural foundation for the construction of joint…

We discuss Bayesian analysis of multivariate time series with dynamic factor models that exploit time-adaptive sparsity in model parametrizations via the latent threshold approach. One central focus is on the transfer responses of multiple…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-07 Jouchi Nakajima , Mike West

This paper proposes a physical-statistical modeling approach for spatio-temporal data arising from a class of stochastic convection-diffusion processes. Such processes are widely found in scientific and engineering applications where…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-07 Xiao Liu , Kyongmin Yeo , Siyuan Lu

We improve upon the two-stage sparse vector autoregression (sVAR) method in Davis et al. (2016) by proposing an alternative two-stage modified sVAR method which relies on time series graphical lasso to estimate sparse inverse spectral…

Computation · Statistics 2021-07-06 Aramayis Dallakyan , Rakheon Kim , Mohsen Pourahmadi

We present the R-package mgm for the estimation of k-order Mixed Graphical Models (MGMs) and mixed Vector Autoregressive (mVAR) models in high-dimensional data. These are a useful extensions of graphical models for only one variable type,…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-13 Jonas M. B. Haslbeck , Lourens J. Waldorp

Characterizing the dynamic interactive patterns of complex systems helps gain in-depth understanding of how components interrelate with each other while performing certain functions as a whole. In this study, we present a novel multimodal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-07 Miaolin Fan , Chun-An Chou , Sheng-Che Yen , Yingzi Lin

High-dimensional multivariate time series are challenging due to the dependent and high-dimensional nature of the data, but in many applications there is additional structure that can be exploited to reduce computing time along with…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-13 Michael Schweinberger , Sergii Babkin , Katherine Ensor

Understanding the dynamic behavior of proteins is critical to elucidating their functional mechanisms, yet generating realistic, temporally coherent trajectories of protein ensembles remains a significant challenge. In this work, we…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-11 Yaoyao Xu , Di Wang , Zihan Zhou , Tianshu Yu , Mingchen Chen

The probability prediction of multivariate time series is a notoriously challenging but practical task. On the one hand, the challenge is how to effectively capture the cross-series correlations between interacting time series, to achieve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-24 Shibo Feng , Chunyan Miao , Ke Xu , Jiaxiang Wu , Pengcheng Wu , Yang Zhang , Peilin Zhao
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