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Since 1927, until recently, models describing the spread of disease have mostly been of the SIR-compartmental type, based on the assumption that populations are homogeneous and well-mixed. The focus of these models have typically been on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-07-23 Lara Goscé , David A W Barton , Anders Johansson

In this paper, we show how a dynamic population game can model the strategic interaction and migration decisions made by a large population of agents in response to epidemic prevalence. Specifically, we consider a modified…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-04 Ezzat Elokda , Saverio Bolognani , Ashish R. Hota

The duration, type and structure of connections between individuals in real-world populations play a crucial role in how diseases invade and spread. Here, we incorporate the aforementioned heterogeneities into a model by considering a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-04-05 Rosanna C Barnard , Istvan Z Kiss , Luc Berthouze , Joel C Miller

We present a continuous formulation of epidemic spreading on multilayer networks using a tensorial representation, extending the models of monoplex networks to this context. We derive analytical expressions for the epidemic threshold of the…

Understanding infectious disease spread remains a critical public health challenge, particularly given the interplay between household dynamics and community transmission patterns. Traditional epidemiological models often oversimplify these…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-21 Houda Yaqine , Christiane Fuchs

Contemporary epidemiological models often involve spatial variation, providing an avenue to investigate the averaged dynamics of individual movements. In this work, we extend a recent model by Vaziry, Kolokolnikov, and Kevrekidis [Royal…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-01 Maryam Ahmadpoortorkamani , Alexei Cheviakov

We study dynamics of a variant of the SIR the model, where we assume that individuals respond differently to dynamics of the epidemic. Their heterogeneous response is modeled by the Preisach hysteresis operator. The degree of heterogeneity…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-03-16 Dmitrii Rachinskii , Samiha Rouf

In this manuscript we present several possible ways of modeling human capital accumulation during the spread of a disease following an agent based approach, where agents behave maximizing their intertemporal utility. We assume that the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-09 Daria Ghilli , Cristiano Ricci , Giovanni Zanco

Epidemics are often modelled using non-linear dynamical systems observed through partial and noisy data. In this paper, we consider stochastic extensions in order to capture unknown influences (changing behaviors, public interventions,…

Applications · Statistics 2012-11-06 Joseph Dureau , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos , Marc Baguelin

A nonlinear cross-diffusion epidemic with a time-dependent Susceptible-Infected-Recovered-Died system is proposed in this paper. This system is derived from kinetic theory model by multiscale approach, which leads to an equivalent system…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-01 Mohamed Zagour

The spread of an infectious disease depends on intrinsic properties of the disease as well as the connectivity and actions of the population. This study investigates the dynamics of an SIR type model which accounts for human tendency to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-07-26 Hannah Scanlon , John Gemmer

We introduce a kinetic model that couples the movement of a population of individuals with the dynamics of a pathogen in the same population. We consider that transmission occurs when a susceptible and an infectious individual are…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-01-30 Carolina Strecht-Fernandes , Fabio A. C. C. Chalub

This paper revisits a longstanding problem of interest concerning the distributed control of an epidemic process on human contact networks. Due to the stochastic nature and combinatorial complexity of the problem, finding optimal policies…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-12 Mohammad Mubarak , Cameron Nowzari

With the covid-19 pandemic still ongoing and an enormous amount of test data available, the lessons learned over the last two years need to be developed to a point where they can provide understanding for tackling new variants and future…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-06-09 Adam Mielke

The disease spreading on complex networks is studied in SIR model. Simulations on empirical complex networks reveal two specific regimes of disease spreading: local containment and epidemic outbreak. The variables measuring the extent of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-04-02 Alen Lancic , Nino Antulov-Fantulin , Mile Sikic , Hrvoje Stefancic

An SIRS epidemiological model for a vertically transmitted disease is discussed. We give a complete global analysis in terms of three explicit threshold parameters which respectively govern the existence and stability of an endemic…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2007-05-23 M. R. Razvan

In this work, we use a new approach to study the spread of an infectious disease. Indeed, we study a SIR epidemic model with variable infectivity, where the individuals are distributed over a compact subset $D$ of $\R^d$. We define…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Armand Kanga , Etienne Pardoux

In this paper we elaborate on homogeneous and heterogeneous SIR-type epidemiological models. We find an unexpected correspondence between the epidemic trajectory of a transmissible disease in a homogeneous SIR-type model and radial null…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-08-04 Silke Klemm , Lucrezia Ravera

We consider the spread of infectious diseases through a Mean Field Game version of a SIR compartmental model with social structure, in which individuals are grouped by their age class and interact together in different settings. In our game…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-12-14 Louis Bremaud , Denis Ullmo

The worldwide spread of COVID-19 has called for fast advancement of new modelling strategies to estimate its unprecedented spread. Here, we introduce a model based on the fundamental SIR equations with a stochastic disorder by a random…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-04-28 Suman Dutta