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Critical transitions occur in a wide variety of applications including mathematical biology, climate change, human physiology and economics. Therefore it is highly desirable to find early-warning signs. We show that it is possible to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Christian Kuehn

A natural phenomenon occurring in a living system is an outcome of the dynamics of the specific biological network underlying the phenomenon. The collective dynamics have both deterministic and stochastic components. The stochastic nature…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-09-01 Indrani Bose

Slowly driven dissipative systems may evolve to a critical state where long periods of apparent equilibrium are punctuated by intermittent avalanches of activity. We present a self-organized critical model of punctuated equilibrium behavior…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 Stefan Boettcher , Maya Paczuski

In a paper from 1995, Wormald gave general criteria for certain parameters in a family of discrete random processes to converge to the solution of a system of differential equations. Based on this method, we show that if some further…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-24 Taral Guldahl Seierstad

Linear structural error-in-variables models with univariate observations are revisited for studying modified least squares estimators of the slope and intercept. New marginal central limit theorems (CLT's) are established for these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Yuliya V. Martsynyuk

The article considers systems of interacting particles on networks with adaptively coupled dynamics. Such processes appear frequently in natural processes and applications. Relying on the notion of graph convergence, we prove that for large…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-05-20 Sebastian Throm

Traditionally, Probability theory was dealing with limit theorems where 'limit" means that time tends to infinity. Questions about finite time dynamics (evolution) were always considered as, although important for practical applications,…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-12-19 Leonid Bunimovich , Kirill Kovalenko

We introduce a model of biological evolution where species evolve in response to biotic interactions and a fluctuating environmental stress. The species may either become extinct or mutate to acquire a new fitness value when the effective…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-12-19 Debarshee Bagchi , P. K. Mohanty

This paper establishes limit theorems for a class of stochastic hybrid systems (continuous deterministic dynamic coupled with jump Markov processes) in the fluid limit (small jumps at high frequency), thus extending known results for jump…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-15 K. Pakdaman , M. Thieullen , G. Wainrib

Change-point detection methods are proposed for the case of temporary failures, or transient changes, when an unexpected disorder is ultimately followed by a readjustment and return to the initial state. A base distribution of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-14 Baron Michael , Malov Sergey

We establish a central limit theorem and prove a moderate deviation principle for stochastic scalar conservation laws. Due to the lack of viscous term, this is done in the framework of kinetic solution. The weak convergence method and…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-31 Zhengyan Wu , Rangrang Zhang

We consider asymptotically stable scalar difference equations with unit-norm initial conditions. First, it is shown that the solution may happen to deviate far away from the equilibrium point at finite time instants prior to converging to…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-06-06 B. T. Polyak , P. S. Shcherbakov , G. Smirnov

The upper bounds for the rate of fluctuation growth of an observable in both open and closed quantum systems have been studied actively recently. In our recent work we showed that the rate of fluctuation growth for an observable in a closed…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-12-12 Newshaw Bahreyni , Paul M. Alsing , Carlo Cafaro , Walid Redjem , Christian Corda

We show that evolution in a population of adaptive agents, repeatedly competing for a limited resource, can come to an abrupt halt. This transition from evolutionary to non-evolutionary behavior arises as the global resource level is…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-10-31 N. F. Johnson , D. J. T. Leonard , P. M. Hui , T. S. Lo

The functioning of animal as well as human societies fundamentally relies on cooperation. Yet, defection is often favorable for the selfish individual, and social dilemmas arise. Selection by individuals' fitness, usually the basic driving…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-09-26 Jonas Cremer , Tobias Reichenbach , Erwin Frey

We are interested in a fragmentation process. We observe fragments frozen when their sizes are less than $\epsilon$ ($\epsilon$ > 0). Is is known ([BM05]) that the empirical measure of these fragments converges in law, under some…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-30 Sylvain Rubenthaler

Through certain appropriate constructions, we establish periodic solutions in distribution for some stochastic differential equations with infinite-dimensional Levy noise. Additionally, we obtain the corresponding periodic measures and…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-24 Xinying Deng , Yong Li , Xue Yang

We study the equilibrium fluctuations for a gradient exclusion process with conductances in random environments, which can be viewed as a central limit theorem for the empirical distribution of particles when the system starts from an…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-08 Jonathan Farfan , Alexandre B. Simas , Fabio J. Valentim

Stable laws can be tempered by modifying the L\'evy measure to cool the probability of large jumps. Tempered stable laws retain their signature power law behavior at infinity, and infinite divisibility. This paper develops random walk…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-01-26 Arijit Chakrabarty , Mark M. Meerschaert

Non-linear renewal theory is extended to include random walks perturbed by both a slowly changing sequence and a stationary one. Main results include a version of the Key Renewal Theorem, a derivation of the limiting distribution of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Dong-Yun Kim , Michael Woodroofe