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A simple Hawkes model have been developed for the price tick structure dynamics incorporating market microstructure noise and trade clustering. In this paper, the model is extended with random mark to deal with more realistic price tick…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-30 Kyungsub Lee , Byoung Ki Seo

It is standard practice in online retail to run pricing experiments by randomizing at the article-level, i.e. by changing prices of different products to identify treatment effects. Due to customers' cross-price substitution behavior, such…

Applications · Statistics 2024-02-23 Lars Roemheld , Justin Rao

We introduce a first theory of price impact in presence of an interest-rates term structure. We explain how one can formulate instantaneous and transient price impact on bonds with different maturities, including a cross price impact that…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-16 Damiano Brigo , Federico Graceffa , Eyal Neuman

Pricing a multi-asset derivative is an important problem in financial engineering, both theoretically and practically. Although it is suitable to numerically solve partial differential equations to calculate the prices of certain types of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-07-05 Kenji Kubo , Koichi Miyamoto , Kosuke Mitarai , Keisuke Fujii

We make an extensive empirical study of the market impact of large orders (metaorders) executed in the U.S. equity market between 2007 and 2009. We show that the square root market impact formula, which is widely used in the industry and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-09 Elia Zarinelli , Michele Treccani , J. Doyne Farmer , Fabrizio Lillo

Large variations in stock prices happen with sufficient frequency to raise doubts about existing models, which all fail to account for non-Gaussian statistics. We construct simple models of a stock market, and argue that the large…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-06-25 P. Bak , M. Paczuski , M. Shubik

Cryptocurrencies are considered the latest innovation in finance with considerable impact across social, technological, and economic dimensions. This new class of financial assets has also motivated a myriad of scientific investigations…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-03-31 Arthur A. B. Pessa , Matjaz Perc , Haroldo V. Ribeiro

The information released to investors in financial markets has various forms. We refer to range information as information about the upper and lower bound which the payoff of a risky asset may reach in the future. This study develops…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-01-14 Jianhao Su , Yanliang Zhang

This paper proposes a novel model of financial prices where: (i) prices are discrete; (ii) prices change in continuous time; (iii) a high proportion of price changes are reversed in a fraction of a second. Our model is analytically…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-21 Neil Shephard , Justin J. Yang

This paper considers liquidity as an explanation for the positive association between expected idiosyncratic volatility (IV) and expected stock returns. Liquidity costs may affect the stock returns, through bid-ask bounce and other…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-10 M. Reza Bradrania , Maurice Peat , Stephen Satchell

This article considers the pricing and hedging of a call option when liquidity matters, that is, either for a large nominal or for an illiquid underlying asset. In practice, as opposed to the classical assumptions of a price-taking agent in…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-04-06 Olivier Guéant , Jiang Pu

Prices in financial markets exhibit extreme jumps far more often than can be accounted for by external news. Further, magnitudes of price changes are correlated over long times. These so called stylized facts are quantified by scaling laws…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-04 Felix Patzelt , Klaus Pawelzik

In a recent Nature paper, Gabaix et al. \cite{Gabaix03} presented a theory to explain the power law tail of price fluctuations. The main points of their theory are that volume fluctuations, which have a power law tail with exponent roughly…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 J. Doyne Farmer , Fabrizio Lillo

We discuss price variations distributions in foreign exchange markets, characterizing them both in calendar and business time frameworks. The price dynamics is found to be the result of two distinct processes, a multi-variance diffusion and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Michele Pasquini , Maurizio Serva

A minimal model of a market of myopic non-cooperative agents who trade bilaterally with random bids reproduces qualitative features of short-term electric power markets, such as those in California and New England. Each agent knows its own…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2009-05-15 Randall A. LaViolette , Lory A. Ellebracht , Kevin L. Stamber , Charles J. Gieseler , Benjamin K. Cook

The price clustering phenomenon manifesting itself as an increased occurrence of specific prices is widely observed and well-documented for various financial instruments and markets. In the literature, however, it is rarely incorporated…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-23 Vladimír Holý , Petra Tomanová

In this paper we study the impact of errors in wind and solar power forecasts on intraday electricity prices. We develop a novel econometric model which is based on day-ahead wholesale auction curves data and errors in wind and solar power…

General Economics · Economics 2020-11-24 Sergei Kulakov , Florian Ziel

We investigate serial correlation, periodic, aperiodic and scaling behaviour of eigenmodes, i.e. daily price fluctuation time-series derived from eigenvectors, of correlation matrices of shares listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-06-13 Diane Wilcox , Tim Gebbie

In financial markets, not only prices and returns can be considered as random variables, but also the waiting time between two transactions varies randomly. In the following, we analyse the statistical properties of General Electric stock…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 M. Raberto , E. Scalas , F. Mainardi

We develop a theory of securities price formation and dynamics based on quantum approach and without presuming any similarities with quantum mechanics. Disorder introduced by trading environment leads to probability distribution of returns…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-19 Jack Sarkissian