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In this paper we propose the first non-parametric Bayesian model using Gaussian Processes to make inference on Poisson Point Processes without resorting to gridding the domain or to introducing latent thinning points. Unlike competing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-30 Yves-Laurent Kom Samo , Stephen Roberts

The class of Gaussian Process (GP) methods for Temporal Difference learning has shown promise for data-efficient model-free Reinforcement Learning. In this paper, we consider a recent variant of the GP-SARSA algorithm, called Sparse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-20 John Martin , Brendan Englot

We present a purely deep neural network-based approach for estimating long memory parameters of time series models that incorporate the phenomenon of long-range dependence. Parameters, such as the Hurst exponent, are critical in…

We consider shot-noise processes with an impulse response written in terms of the logarithm of the ratio between current and event time (instead of the usual absolute time difference). We study its finite-time properties as well as its weak…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Luisa Beghin , Lorenzo Cristofaro , Enrico Scalas

We study posterior contraction rates for a class of deep Gaussian process priors applied to the nonparametric regression problem under a general composition assumption on the regression function. It is shown that the contraction rates can…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-16 Gianluca Finocchio , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

Gaussian processes (GPs) are Bayesian nonparametric generative models that provide interpretability of hyperparameters, admit closed-form expressions for training and inference, and are able to accurately represent uncertainty. To model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-21 Gonzalo Rios , Felipe Tobar

This paper is first devoted to study an adaptive wavelet based estimator of the long memory parameter for linear processes in a general semi-parametric frame. This is an extension of Bardet {\it et al.} (2008) which only concerned Gaussian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-12-08 Jean-Marc Bardet , Hatem Bibi

We prove regenerative properties for the linear Hawkes process under minimal assumptions on the transfer function, which may have unbounded support. These results are applicable to sliding window statistical estimators. We exploit…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-07 Carl Graham

Gaussian processes (GPs) provide a powerful non-parametric framework for reasoning over functions. Despite appealing theory, its superlinear computational and memory complexities have presented a long-standing challenge. State-of-the-art…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-16 Hugh Salimbeni , Ching-An Cheng , Byron Boots , Marc Deisenroth

We introduce a new interpretation of sparse variational approximations for Gaussian processes using inducing points, which can lead to more scalable algorithms than previous methods. It is based on decomposing a Gaussian process as a sum of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-27 Jiaxin Shi , Michalis K. Titsias , Andriy Mnih

Learning about physical systems from quantum-enhanced experiments, relying on a quantum memory and quantum processing, can outperform learning from experiments in which only classical memory and processing are available. Whereas quantum…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-06-21 Matthias C. Caro

The analysis of nonstationary time series is of great importance in many scientific fields such as physics and neuroscience. In recent years, Gaussian process regression has attracted substantial attention as a robust and powerful method…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-01 Luca Ambrogioni , Eric Maris

Sparse variational Gaussian process (SVGP) methods are a common choice for non-conjugate Gaussian process inference because of their computational benefits. In this paper, we improve their computational efficiency by using a dual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-20 Vincent Adam , Paul E. Chang , Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan , Arno Solin

In this article, we introduce a non Gaussian long memory process constructed by the aggregation of independent copies of a fractional L\'evy Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with random coefficients. Several properties and a limit theorem are…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-22 Héctor Araya , Johanna Garzón , Rolando Rubilar

We study the partial maxima of stationary \alpha-stable processes. We relate their asymptotic behavior to the ergodic theoretical properties of the flow. We observe a sharp change in the asymptotic behavior of the sequence of partial maxima…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Gennady Samorodnitsky

We study how the round-off (or discretization) error changes the statistical properties of a Gaussian long memory process. We show that the autocovariance and the spectral density of the discretized process are asymptotically rescaled by a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 Gabriele La Spada , Fabrizio Lillo

The so-called Hadamard fractional Brownian motion, as defined in Beghin et al. (2025) by means of Hadamard fractional operators, is a Gaussian process which shares some properties with standard Brownian motion (such as the one-dimensional…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-21 Luisa Beghin , Alessandro De Gregorio , Yuliya Mishura

Most long memory forecasting studies assume that the memory is generated by the fractional difference operator. We argue that the most cited theoretical arguments for the presence of long memory do not imply the fractional difference…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-05-15 J. Eduardo Vera-Valdés

Stochastic discount factor (SDF) processes in dynamic economies admit a permanent-transitory decomposition in which the permanent component characterizes pricing over long investment horizons. This paper introduces an empirical framework to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-06 Timothy Christensen

Computing accurate estimates of the Fourier transform of analog signals from discrete data points is important in many fields of science and engineering. The conventional approach of performing the discrete Fourier transform of the data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-08 Luca Ambrogioni , Eric Maris