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The purpose of the article is twofold. Firstly, we review some recent results on the maximum likelihood estimation in the regression model of the form $X_t = \theta G(t) + B_t$, where $B$ is a Gaussian process, $G(t)$ is a known function,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-27 Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko , Sergiy Shklyar

Assuming an effective quadratic Hamiltonian, we derive an approximate, linear stochastic equation of motion for the density-fluctuations in liquids, composed of overdamped Brownian particles. From this approach, time dependent two point…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2017-04-26 Matthias Krüger , David S. Dean

Bayesian learning using Gaussian processes provides a foundational framework for making decisions in a manner that balances what is known with what could be learned by gathering data. In this dissertation, we develop techniques for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-29 Alexander Terenin

We present a novel method for stochastic interpolation of sparsely sampled time signals based on a superstatistical random process generated from a multivariate Gaussian scale mixture. In comparison to other stochastic interpolation methods…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-01-10 Jeremiah Lübke , Jan Friedrich , Rainer Grauer

In this paper, we prove a mimicking theorem for stochastic processes with an additive Gaussian noise along with some entropy and transport type estimates. As an application of these results, we prove sharp quantitative propagation of chaos…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-15 Kevin Hu , Kavita Ramanan , William Salkeld

Gaussian processes occupy one of the leading places in modern statistics and probability theory due to their importance and a wealth of strong results. The common use of Gaussian processes is in connection with problems related to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-01 Zexun Chen , Jun Fan , Kuo Wang

In this paper, we present a new approach to derive series expansions for some Gaussian processes based on harmonic analysis of their covariance function. In particular, we propose a new simple rate-optimal series expansion for fractional…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-11 M. Ndaoud

We introduce a new interpretation of sparse variational approximations for Gaussian processes using inducing points, which can lead to more scalable algorithms than previous methods. It is based on decomposing a Gaussian process as a sum of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-27 Jiaxin Shi , Michalis K. Titsias , Andriy Mnih

This paper is devoted to the synchronization of stochastic differential equations driven by the linear multiplicative fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H\in(\frac{1}{2},1)$. We firstly prove that the equation has a unique…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-12 Wei Wei , Hongjun Gao , Qiyong Cao

Gaussian Processes face two primary challenges: constructing models for large datasets and selecting the optimal model. This master's thesis tackles these challenges in the low-dimensional case. We examine recent convergence results to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-13 Marcel Neugebauer

Within the past two decades, Gaussian process regression has been increasingly used for modeling dynamical systems due to some beneficial properties such as the bias variance trade-off and the strong connection to Bayesian mathematics. As…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-11 Thomas Beckers

Sequential learning with Gaussian processes (GPs) is challenging when access to past data is limited, for example, in continual and active learning. In such cases, errors can accumulate over time due to inaccuracies in the posterior,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-07 Paul E. Chang , Prakhar Verma , S. T. John , Arno Solin , Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan

This work brings together two powerful concepts in Gaussian processes: the variational approach to sparse approximation and the spectral representation of Gaussian processes. This gives rise to an approximation that inherits the benefits of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-09 James Hensman , Nicolas Durrande , Arno Solin

Since many physical laws -- from classical mechanics to electromagnetism -- are formulated as two-body interactions, the same perspective naturally extends to biological and social dynamics. Here we focus on rhythmic phenomena, where phase…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2025-08-26 Ryosuke Yoneda , Haruma Furukawa , Daigo Fujiwara , Toshio Aoyagi

The data association problem is concerned with separating data coming from different generating processes, for example when data come from different data sources, contain significant noise, or exhibit multimodality. We present a fully…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-07 Markus Kaiser , Clemens Otte , Thomas Runkler , Carl Henrik Ek

We propose a novel stochastic method to exactly generate Brownian paths conditioned to start at an initial point and end at a given final point during a fixed time $t_{f}$. These paths are weighted with a probability given by the overdamped…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-14 Satya N. Majumdar , Henri Orland

We consider a stochastic process $Y$ defined by an integral in quadratic mean of a deterministic function $f$ with respect to a Gaussian process $X$, which need not have stationary increments. For a class of Gaussian processes $X$, it is…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-01 Rimas Norvaiša

We introduce a novel way to combine boosting with Gaussian process and mixed effects models. This allows for relaxing, first, the zero or linearity assumption for the prior mean function in Gaussian process and grouped random effects models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-06 Fabio Sigrist

Gaussian processes (GPs) are crucial in machine learning for quantifying uncertainty in predictions. However, their associated covariance matrices, defined by kernel functions, are typically dense and large-scale, posing significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-02 Theresa Wagner , Tianshi Xu , Franziska Nestler , Yuanzhe Xi , Martin Stoll

An innovative extension of Geometric Brownian Motion model is developed by incorporating a weighting factor and a stochastic function modelled as a mixture of power and trigonometric functions. Simulations based on this Modified Brownian…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-09 Gurjeet Dhesi , Muhammad Bilal Shakeel , Ling Xiao