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It is well-known that the statistical performance of Lasso can suffer significantly when the covariates of interest have strong correlations. In particular, the prediction error of Lasso becomes much worse than computationally inefficient…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-26 Jonathan Kelner , Frederic Koehler , Raghu Meka , Dhruv Rohatgi

We derive a scale-free bound on the density of the maximum of a centered Gaussian vector. The basic bound is non-uniform, depends logarithmically on the dimension, and allows any covariance matrix. When the largest marginal variance is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-29 Suhas Vijaykumar

In dependently censored survival data, the usual assumption of independent censoring or an incorrect specification of the correlation between the event and censoring times can bias marginal survival inference. Likelihood-based estimation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-07 Hyun-Soo Zhang , Inkyung Jung , Chung Mo Nam

The consistency of a bootstrap or resampling scheme is classically validated by weak convergence of conditional laws. However, when working with stochastic processes in the space of bounded functions and their weak convergence in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-05 Axel Bücher , Ivan Kojadinovic

In supervised learning, automatically assessing the quality of the labels before any learning takes place remains an open research question. In certain particular cases, hypothesis testing procedures have been proposed to assess whether a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Weisong Yang , Rafael Poyiadzi , Niall Twomey , Raul Santos Rodriguez

In this paper we employ methods from Statistical Mechanics to model temporal correlations in time series. We put forward a methodology based on the Maximum Entropy principle to generate ensembles of time series constrained to preserve part…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-07-15 Riccardo Marcaccioli , Giacomo Livan

We consider a testing problem for cross-sectional dependence for high-dimensional panel data, where the number of cross-sectional units is potentially much larger than the number of observations. The cross-sectional dependence is described…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-09 Long Feng , Tiefeng Jiang , Binghui Liu , Wei Xiong

Hypothesis testing for the slope function in functional linear regression is of both practical and theoretical interest. We develop a novel test for the nullity of the slope function, where testing the slope function is transformed into…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-02 Yinan Lin , Zhenhua Lin

The aim of this paper is to develop a change-point test for functional time series that uses the full functional information and is less sensitive to outliers compared to the classical CUSUM test. For this aim, the Wilcoxon two-sample test…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-06 Lea Wegner , Martin Wendler

We investigate the performance of model based bootstrap methods for constructing point-wise confidence intervals around the survival function with interval censored data. We show that bootstrapping from the nonparametric maximum likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-24 Bodhisattva Sen , Gongjun Xu

This research introduces a novel approach to resampling periodically correlated (PC) time series using bandpass filters for frequency separation called the Variable Bandpass Periodic Block Bootstrap (VBPBB) and then examines the significant…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-10 Edward Valachovic

A wild bootstrap method for nonparametric hypothesis tests based on kernel distribution embeddings is proposed. This bootstrap method is used to construct provably consistent tests that apply to random processes, for which the naive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-28 Kacper Chwialkowski , Dino Sejdinovic , Arthur Gretton

We study goodness-of-fit testing for non-causal autoregressive time series with non-Gaussian stable noise. To model time series exhibiting sharp spikes or occasional bursts of outlying observations, the exponent of the non-Gaussian stable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-09-19 Yunwei Cui , Rongning Wu , Thomas J. Fisher

Although there is an extensive literature on the maxima of Gaussian processes, there are relatively few non-asymptotic bounds on their lower-tail probabilities. The aim of this paper is to develop such a bound, while also allowing for many…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-02 Miles E. Lopes , Junwen Yao

Estimating the mixing density of a latent mixture model is an important task in signal processing. Nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation is one popular approach to this problem. If the latent variable distribution is assumed to be…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-01 Shijie Wang , Minsuk Shin , Ray Bai

The factor modeling for high-dimensional time series is powerful in discovering latent common components for dimension reduction and information extraction. Most available estimation methods can be divided into two categories: the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Xinghao Qiao , Zihan Wang , Qiwei Yao , Bo Zhang

We consider strictly stationary stochastic processes of Hilbert space-valued random variables and focus on fully functional tests for the equality of the lag-zero autocovariance operators of several independent functional time series. A…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-07 Dimitrios Pilavakis , Efstathios Paparoditis , Theofanis Sapatinas

Detecting early warning signals in climatic time series is essential for anticipating critical transitions and tipping points. Common statistical indicators include increased variance and lag-one autocorrelation prior to bifurcation points.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-11 Sigrunn H. Sørbye , Eirik Myrvoll-Nilsen , Håvard Rue

We treat the problem of testing independence between m continuous variables when m can be larger than the available sample size n. We consider three types of test statistics that are constructed as sums or sums of squares of pairwise rank…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-05 Dennis Leung , Mathias Drton

In continuation of an earlier study, we explore a Neymann-Pearson hypothesis testing scenario where, under the null hypothesis ($\cal{H}_0$), the received signal is a white noise process $N_t$, which is not Gaussian in general, and under…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-05-07 Yossi Marciano , Neri Merhav
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