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We show that the optimal decision policy for several types of Bayesian sequential detection problems has a threshold switching curve structure on the space of posterior distributions. This is established by using lattice programming and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-03-17 Vikram Krishnamurthy

Controlling the false discovery rate (FDR) is a powerful approach to multiple testing. In many applications, the tested hypotheses have an inherent hierarchical structure. In this paper, we focus on the fixed sequence structure where the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-11 Gavin Lynch , Wenge Guo , Sanat K. Sarkar , Helmut Finner

We present a new adaptive algorithm for learning discrete distributions under distribution drift. In this setting, we observe a sequence of independent samples from a discrete distribution that is changing over time, and the goal is to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-11 Alessio Mazzetto

We consider a residuals-based distributionally robust optimization (DRO) model, where the underlying uncertainty depends on both covariate information and our decisions. We adopt both parametric and nonparametric regression models to learn…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-21 Qing Zhu , Xian Yu , Guzin Bayraksan

In large-scale multiple hypothesis testing problems, the false discovery exceedance (FDX) provides a desirable alternative to the widely used false discovery rate (FDR) when the false discovery proportion (FDP) is highly variable. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-21 Pallavi Basu , Luella Fu , Alessio Saretto , Wenguang Sun

Decision diagrams (DDs) have emerged as a state-of-the-art method for exact multiobjective integer linear programming. When the DD is too large to fit into memory or the decision-maker prefers a fast approximation to the Pareto frontier,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-20 Rahul Patel , Elias B. Khalil , David Bergman

Probabilistic sampling-based algorithms, such as the probabilistic roadmap (PRM) and the rapidly-exploring random tree (RRT) algorithms, represent one of the most successful approaches to robotic motion planning, due to their strong…

Robotics · Computer Science 2016-05-04 Lucas Janson , Brian Ichter , Marco Pavone

This paper introduces a simple efficient learning algorithms for general sequential decision making. The algorithm combines Optimism for exploration with Maximum Likelihood Estimation for model estimation, which is thus named OMLE. We prove…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-24 Qinghua Liu , Praneeth Netrapalli , Csaba Szepesvári , Chi Jin

Some effort has been undertaken over the last decade to provide conditions for the control of the false discovery rate by the linear step-up procedure (LSU) for testing $n$ hypotheses when test statistics are dependent. In this paper we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-10-18 Helmut Finner , Thorsten Dickhaus , Markus Roters

Sequential likelihood ratio testing is found to be most powerful in sequential studies with early stopping rules when grouped data come from the one-parameter exponential family. First, to obtain this elusive result, the probability measure…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-28 Sergey Tarima , Nancy Flournoy

The r largest order statistics approach is widely used in extreme value analysis because it may use more information from the data than just the block maxima. In practice, the choice of r is critical. If r is too large, bias can occur; if…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-13 Brian Bader , Jun Yan , Xuebin Zhang

Sequential multiple assignment randomized trials (SMARTs) are used to construct data-driven optimal intervention strategies for subjects based on their intervention and covariate histories in different branches of health and behavioral…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-28 Palash Ghosh , Xiaoxi Yan , Bibhas Chakraborty

Modern clinical trials and cohort studies gather low-cost data on all participants but may have limited resources to assess expensive exposures such as biomarkers or genomic data. When interest lies in associations involving expensive…

Multi-stream sequential change detection involves simultaneously monitoring many streams of data and trying to detect when their distributions change, if at all. Here, we theoretically study multiple testing issues that arise from detecting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-04 Sanjit Dandapanthula , Aaditya Ramdas

Partially observable Markov Decision Processes (POMDPs) are a standard model for agents making decisions in uncertain environments. Most work on POMDPs focuses on synthesizing strategies based on the available capabilities. However, system…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-07-12 Alyzia-Maria Konsta , Alberto Lluch Lafuente , Christoph Matheja

Despite the popularity of the false discovery rate (FDR) as an error control metric for large-scale multiple testing, its close Bayesian counterpart the local false discovery rate (lfdr), defined as the posterior probability that a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-22 Jake A. Soloff , Daniel Xiang , William Fithian

Clinical trials often collect data on multiple outcomes, such as overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and response to treatment (RT). In most cases, however, study designs only use primary outcome data for interim and…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-28 Massimiliano Russo , Steffen Ventz , Lorenzo Trippa

Pattern discovery in data plays a crucial role across diverse domains, including healthcare, risk assessment, and machinery maintenance. In contrast to black-box deep learning models, symbolic rule discovery emerges as a key data mining…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Young-Chae Hong , Yangho Chen

We consider a sequential problem in decentralized detection. Two observers can make repeated noisy observations of a binary hypothesis on the state of the environment. At any time, any of the two observers can stop and send a final message…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Ashutosh Nayyar , Demosthenis Teneketzis

In this paper, we study a remote monitoring system where a receiver observes a remote binary Markov source and decides whether to sample and transmit the state through a randomly delayed channel. We adopt uncertainty of information (UoI),…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-05-20 Xiaomeng Chen , Aimin Li , Shaohua Wu