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We propose a method for optimal Bayesian filtering with deterministic particles. In order to avoid particle degeneration, the filter step is not performed at once. Instead, the particles progressively flow from prior to posterior. This is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-07 Uwe D. Hanebeck

We consider inference for a collection of partially observed, stochastic, interacting, nonlinear dynamic processes. Each process is identified with a label called its unit, and our primary motivation arises in biological metapopulation…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-20 Edward L. Ionides , Ning Ning , Jesse Wheeler

Differentiable particle filters are an emerging class of particle filtering methods that use neural networks to construct and learn parametric state-space models. In real-world applications, both the state dynamics and measurements can…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-04 Wenhan Li , Xiongjie Chen , Wenwu Wang , Víctor Elvira , Yunpeng Li

The sufficiency of accurate data is a core element in data-centric geotechnics. However, geotechnical datasets are essentially uncertain, whereupon engineers have difficulty with obtaining precise information for making decisions. This…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-31 Changbeom Shim , Youngho Kim , Craig Butterworth

Particle filters contain the promise of fully nonlinear data assimilation. They have been applied in numerous science areas, but their application to the geosciences has been limited due to their inefficiency in high-dimensional systems in…

Applications · Statistics 2019-04-16 Peter Jan van Leeuwen , Hans R. Künsch , Lars Nerger , Roland Potthast , Sebastian Reich

The crucial step in designing a particle filter for a particular application is the choice of importance density. The optimal scheme is to use the conditional posterior density of the state, but this cannot be sampled or calculated…

Computation · Statistics 2014-08-15 Pete Bunch , Simon Godsill

This paper describes various approaches to modeling a random process with a given rational power spectral density. The main attention is paid to the spectral form of mathematical description, which allows one to obtain a relation for the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-28 Konstantin A. Rybakov

In this paper, we propose an approximate Bayesian computation approach to perform a multiple target tracking within a binary sensor network. The nature of the binary sensors (getting closer - moving away information) do not allow the use of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-10-17 Adrien Ickowicz

Particle Marginal Metropolis-Hastings (PMMH) is a general approach to Bayesian inference when the likelihood is intractable, but can be estimated unbiasedly. Our article develops an efficient PMMH method that scales up better to higher…

Computation · Statistics 2023-05-10 David Gunawan , Pratiti Chatterjee , Robert Kohn

This paper proposes new methodology for sequential state and parameter estimation within the ensemble Kalman filter. The method is fully Bayesian and propagates the joint posterior density of states and parameters over time. In order to…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-14 Jonathan R. Stroud , Matthias Katzfuss , Christopher K. Wikle

In this article, we use artificial intelligence algorithms to show how to enhance the resolution of the elementary particle track fitting in inhomogeneous dense detectors, such as plastic scintillators. We use deep learning to replace more…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-06-21 Saúl Alonso-Monsalve , Davide Sgalaberna , Xingyu Zhao , Clark McGrew , André Rubbia

Most multi-target tracking filters assume that one target and its observation follow a Hidden Markov Chain (HMC) model, but the implicit independence assumption of HMC model is invalid in many practical applications, and a Pairwise Markov…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-11-30 Jiangyi Liu , Chunping Wang , Wei Wang

Reliability measures associated with the prediction of the machine learning models are critical to strengthening user confidence in artificial intelligence. Therefore, those models that are able to provide not only predictions, but also…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-12-22 Ángel González-Prieto , Abraham Gutiérrez , Fernando Ortega , Raúl Lara-Cabrera

Particle filtering is a recursive Bayesian estimation technique that has gained popularity recently for tracking and localization applications. It uses Monte Carlo simulation and has proven to be a very reliable technique to model…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-10-23 Adithya Krishna , André van Schaik , Chetan Singh Thakur

In this paper we consider the filtering of a class of partially observed piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs). In particular, we assume that an ordinary differential equation (ODE) drives the deterministic element and can only…

Computation · Statistics 2023-09-07 Ajay Jasra , Kengo Kamatani , Mohamed Maama

Many multi-object estimation problems require additional estimation of model or sensor parameters that are either common to all objects or related to unknown characterisation of one or more sensors. Important examples of these include…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-16 Isabel Schlangen , Daniel E. Clark , Emmanuel D. Delande

Empirical Bayes methods offer valuable tools for a large class of compound decision problems. In this tutorial we describe some basic principles of the empirical Bayes paradigm stressing their frequentist interpretation. Emphasis is placed…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-05 Roger Koenker , Jiaying Gu

In this manuscript, a general method for deriving filtering algorithms that involve a network of interconnected Bayesian filters is proposed. This method is based on the idea that the processing accomplished inside each of the Bayesian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-22 Giorgio M. Vitetta , Pasquale Di Viesti , Emilio Sirignano , Francesco Montorsi

This paper shows that the Poisson multi-Bernoulli mixture (PMBM) density is a multi-target conjugate prior for general target-generated measurement distributions and arbitrary clutter distributions. That is, for this multi-target…

Applications · Statistics 2023-05-25 Ángel F. García-Fernández , Yuxuan Xia , Lennart Svensson

There is a rich literature proposing methods and establishing asymptotic properties of Bayesian variable selection methods for parametric models, with a particular focus on the normal linear regression model and an increasing emphasis on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-08-16 Suprateek Kundu , David B. Dunson
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