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Survival random forest is a popular machine learning tool for modeling censored survival data. However, there is currently no statistically valid and computationally feasible approach for estimating its confidence band. This paper proposes…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-27 Sarah Elizabeth Formentini , Wei Liang , Ruoqing Zhu

One major impediment to the wider use of deep learning for clinical decision making is the difficulty of assigning a level of confidence to model predictions. Currently, deep Bayesian neural networks and sparse Gaussian processes are the…

Robust machine learning models with accurately calibrated uncertainties are crucial for safety-critical applications. Probabilistic machine learning and especially the Bayesian formalism provide a systematic framework to incorporate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Sumegha Premchandar , Sandeep Madireddy , Sanket Jantre , Prasanna Balaprakash

Most machine learning methods require tuning of hyper-parameters. For kernel ridge regression with the Gaussian kernel, the hyper-parameter is the bandwidth. The bandwidth specifies the length scale of the kernel and has to be carefully…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-04 Oskar Allerbo , Rebecka Jörnsten

Compressive sensing (CS) is a promising technology for realizing energy-efficient wireless sensors for long-term health monitoring. In this paper, we propose a data-driven CS framework that learns signal characteristics and individual…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-12-20 Kai Xu , Yuhao Wang , Yixing Li , Fengbo Ren

To take unit commitment (UC) decisions under uncertain net load, most studies utilize a stochastic UC (SUC) model that adopts a one-size-fits-all representation of uncertainty. Disregarding contextual information such as weather forecasts…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-01 Ogun Yurdakul , Feng Qiu , Sahin Albayrak

A core step of every algorithm for learning regression trees is the selection of the best splitting variable from the available covariates and the corresponding split point. Early tree algorithms (e.g., AID, CART) employed greedy search…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-26 Lisa Schlosser , Torsten Hothorn , Achim Zeileis

Modern clustering approaches often trade interpretability for performance, particularly in deep learning-based methods. We present Generative Kernel Spectral Clustering (GenKSC), a novel model combining kernel spectral clustering with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-25 David Winant , Sonny Achten , Johan A. K. Suykens

The perspective of developing trustworthy AI for critical applications in science and engineering requires machine learning techniques that are capable of estimating their own uncertainty. In the context of regression, instead of estimating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Quentin Duchemin , Guillaume Obozinski

The computational prediction of atomistic structure is a long-standing problem in physics, chemistry, materials, and biology. Within conventional force-field or {\em ab initio} calculations, structure is determined through energy…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2021-09-15 Dominik Lemm , Guido Falk von Rudorff , O. Anatole von Lilienfeld

We present a research study aimed at testing of applicability of machine learning techniques for prediction of permeability of digitized rock samples. We prepare a training set containing 3D images of sandstone samples imaged with X-ray…

Geophysics · Physics 2019-05-01 Oleg Sudakov , Evgeny Burnaev , Dmitry Koroteev

Gaussian Process Regression is a well-known machine learning technique for which several quantum algorithms have been proposed. We show here that in a wide range of scenarios these algorithms show no exponential speedup. We achieve this by…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-07-04 Dominic Lowe , M. S. Kim , Roberto Bondesan

In this paper, we present a robust adaptive model predictive control (MPC) scheme for linear systems subject to parametric uncertainty and additive disturbances. The proposed approach provides a computationally efficient formulation with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-12 Johannes Köhler , Elisa Andina , Raffaele Soloperto , Matthias A. Müller , Frank Allgöwer

Recent advances in artificial intelligence have propelled the development of innovative computational materials modeling and design techniques. Generative deep learning models have been used for molecular representation, discovery, and…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2021-02-12 Navid Shervani-Tabar , Nicholas Zabaras

Gaussian process regression (GPR) is a popular nonparametric Bayesian method that provides predictive uncertainty estimates and is widely used in safety-critical applications. While prior research has introduced various uncertainty bounds,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-05 Junyi Liu , Stanley Kok

Structural break identification methods are an important tool for evaluating the effectiveness of climate change mitigation policies. In this paper, we introduce a unified probabilistic framework for detecting structural breaks with unknown…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-06 Lucas D. Konrad , Lukas Vashold , Jesus Crespo Cuaresma

Core-collapse supernovae are sources of powerful gravitational waves (GWs). We assess the possibility of extracting information about the equation of state (EOS) of high density matter from the GW signal. We use the bounce and early…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2024-04-09 Ayan Mitra , Daniil Orel , Y. Sultan Abylkairov , Bekdaulet Shukirgaliyev , Ernazar Abdikamalov

Learning ensembles by bagging can substantially improve the generalization performance of low-bias, high-variance estimators, including those evolved by Genetic Programming (GP). To be efficient, modern GP algorithms for evolving (bagging)…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-02-08 Marco Virgolin

This manuscript delves into the intersection of genomics and phenotypic prediction, focusing on the statistical innovation required to navigate the complexities introduced by noisy covariates and confounders. The primary emphasis is on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-15 Upama Paul Chowdhury , Ronit Bhattacharjee , Susmita Das , Abhik Ghosh

Background: Accurate survival prediction in breast cancer is essential for patient stratification and personalized therapy. Integrating gene expression data with clinical factors may enhance prognostic performance and support precision…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-26 Robert Amevor , Emmanuel Kubuafor , Dennis Baidoo , Junaidu Salifu , Koshali Muthunama Gonnage , Onyedikachi Joshua Okeke