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We propose and analyse a novel nonparametric goodness of fit testing procedure for exchangeable exponential random graph models (ERGMs) when a single network realisation is observed. The test determines how likely it is that the observation…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-02 Wenkai Xu , Gesine Reinert

Much of machine learning relies on comparing distributions with discrepancy measures. Stein's method creates discrepancy measures between two distributions that require only the unnormalized density of one and samples from the other. Stein…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-21 Raghav Singhal , Xintian Han , Saad Lahlou , Rajesh Ranganath

Kernel methods underpin many of the most successful approaches in data science and statistics, and they allow representing probability measures as elements of a reproducing kernel Hilbert space without loss of information. Recently, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-19 Florian Kalinke , Zoltan Szabo , Bharath K. Sriperumbudur

We introduce a new statistical test based on the observed spacings of ordered data. The statistic is sensitive to detect non-uniformity in random samples, or short-lived features in event time series. Under some conditions, this new test…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-27 Philipp Eller , Lolian Shtembari

Knowing the error distribution is important in many multivariate time series applications. To alleviate the risk of error distribution mis-specification, testing methodologies are needed to detect whether the chosen error distribution is…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-08-04 Donghang Luo , Ke Zhu , Huan Gong , Dong Li

We establish existence of Stein kernels for probability measures on $\mathbb{R}^d$ satisfying a Poincar\'e inequality, and obtain bounds on the Stein discrepancy of such measures. Applications to quantitative central limit theorems are…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-09 Thomas A. Courtade , Max Fathi , Ashwin Pananjady

We introduce a kernel-based goodness-of-fit test for censored data, where observations may be missing in random time intervals: a common occurrence in clinical trials and industrial life-testing. The test statistic is straightforward to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-11 Tamara Fernández , Arthur Gretton

The objective of goodness-of-fit testing is to assess whether a dataset of observations is likely to have been drawn from a candidate probability distribution. This paper presents a rank-based family of goodness-of-fit tests that is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-18 Feras A. Saad , Cameron E. Freer , Nathanael L. Ackerman , Vikash K. Mansinghka

The Pareto distribution plays a crucial role in various disciplines, necessitating robust goodness-of-fit tests for its validation. This article introduces a novel tests based on Stein's characterization and the Laplace transform, offering…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-27 Deepesh Bhati , Sakshi Khandelwal

We propose two families of tests for the classical goodness-of-fit problem to univariate normality. The new procedures are based on $L^2$-distances of the empirical zero-bias transformation to the normal distribution or the empirical…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-25 Steffen Betsch , Bruno Ebner

Kernel two-sample tests have been widely used for multivariate data to test equality of distributions. However, existing tests based on mapping distributions into a reproducing kernel Hilbert space mainly target specific alternatives and do…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-21 Hoseung Song , Hao Chen

In this article, we introduce a novel discrepancy called the maximum variance discrepancy for the purpose of measuring the difference between two distributions in Hilbert spaces that cannot be found via the maximum mean discrepancy. We also…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-08 Natsumi Makigusa

We address the problem of non-parametric multiple model comparison: given $l$ candidate models, decide whether each candidate is as good as the best one(s) or worse than it. We propose two statistical tests, each controlling a different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-29 Jen Ning Lim , Makoto Yamada , Bernhard Schölkopf , Wittawat Jitkrittum

We introduce the Kernel Calibration Conditional Stein Discrepancy test (KCCSD test), a non-parametric, kernel-based test for assessing the calibration of probabilistic models with well-defined scores. In contrast to previous methods, our…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-17 Pierre Glaser , David Widmann , Fredrik Lindsten , Arthur Gretton

We introduce a new goodness-of-fit test for count data on $\mathbb{N}$ for the Zeta distribution with unknown parameter. The test is built on a Stein-type characterization that uses, as Stein operator, the infinitesimal generator of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-01 Bruno Ebner , Daniel Hlubinka

We propose a framework for analyzing and comparing distributions, allowing us to design statistical tests to determine if two samples are drawn from different distributions. Our test statistic is the largest difference in expectations over…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2008-05-16 Arthur Gretton , Karsten Borgwardt , Malte J. Rasch , Bernhard Scholkopf , Alexander J. Smola

In this work, the distributional properties of the goodness-of-fit term in likelihood-based information criteria are explored. These properties are then leveraged to construct a novel goodness-of-fit test for normal linear regression models…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-20 Scott H. Koeneman , Joseph E. Cavanaugh

In the statistical literature, as well as in artificial intelligence and machine learning, measures of discrepancy between two probability distributions are largely used to develop measures of goodness-of-fit. We concentrate on quadratic…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-01 Marianthi Markatou , Giovanni Saraceno

A goodness-of-fit test for one-parameter count distributions with finite second moment is proposed. The test statistic is derived from the $L^1$ distance of a function of the probability generating function of the model under the null…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-11 Antonio Di Noia , Lucio Barabesi , Marzia Marcheselli , Caterina Pisani , Luca Pratelli

We use a Stein identity to define a new class of parametric distributions which we call ``independent additive weighted bias distributions.'' We investigate related $L^2$-type discrepancy measures, empirical versions of which not only…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-27 Bruno Ebner , Yvik Swan