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Survey sampling is concerned with the estimation of finite population parameters. In practice, survey data suffer from item nonresponse, which is commonly handled through imputation, i.e., replacing missing values with predicted values. As…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-06 Ziming An , Mehdi Dagdoug , David Haziza

This study proposes a method for imbalanced data classification based on deep probabilistic graphical models (DPGMs) to solve the problem that traditional methods have insufficient learning ability for minority class samples. To address the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-09 Yujia Lou , Jie Liu , Yuan Sheng , Jiawei Wang , Yiwei Zhang , Yaokun Ren

Missing data has a ubiquitous presence in real-life applications of machine learning techniques. Imputation methods are algorithms conceived for restoring missing values in the data, based on other entries in the database. The choice of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-16 Unai Garciarena , Roberto Santana , Alexander Mendiburu

Conformal prediction, as an emerging uncertainty quantification technique, typically functions as post-hoc processing for the outputs of trained classifiers. To optimize the classifier for maximum predictive efficiency, Conformal Training…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-19 Kangdao Liu , Hao Zeng , Jianguo Huang , Huiping Zhuang , Chi-Man Vong , Hongxin Wei

Conformal inference is a fundamental and versatile tool that provides distribution-free guarantees for many machine learning tasks. We consider the transductive setting, where decisions are made on a test sample of $m$ new points, giving…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-20 Ulysse Gazin , Gilles Blanchard , Etienne Roquain

Deep learning models are widely used for image analysis. While they offer high performance in terms of accuracy, people are concerned about if these models inappropriately make inferences using irrelevant features that are not encoded from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-25 Yongqiang Tian , Shiqing Ma , Ming Wen , Yepang Liu , Shing-Chi Cheung , Xiangyu Zhang

Conformal prediction is widely used to equip black-box machine learning models with uncertainty quantification, offering formal coverage guarantees under exchangeable data. However, these guarantees fail when faced with subpopulation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-10 Nien-Shao Wang , Duygu Nur Yaldiz , Yavuz Faruk Bakman , Sai Praneeth Karimireddy

State-of-the-art deep learning methods achieve human-like performance on many tasks, but make errors nevertheless. Characterizing these errors in easily interpretable terms gives insight into whether a classifier is prone to making…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-20 Michael Hedderich , Jonas Fischer , Dietrich Klakow , Jilles Vreeken

We investigate methods for penalized regression in the presence of missing observations. This paper introduces a method for estimating the parameters which compensates for the missing observations. We first, derive an unbiased estimator of…

Applications · Statistics 2013-10-09 Yunjin Choi , Robert Tibshirani

We propose a post-hoc adaptive conformal anomaly detection method for monitoring time series that leverages predictions from pre-trained foundation models without requiring additional fine-tuning. Our method yields an interpretable anomaly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Natalia Martinez Gil , Fearghal O'Donncha , Wesley M. Gifford , Nianjun Zhou , Dhaval C. Patel , Roman Vaculin

Machine learning plays an increasingly significant role in many aspects of our lives (including medicine, transportation, security, justice and other domains), making the potential consequences of false predictions increasingly devastating.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-07-01 Yuval Bahat , Gregory Shakhnarovich

When estimating a regression model, we might have data where some labels are missing, or our data might be biased by a selection mechanism. When the response or selection mechanism is ignorable (i.e., independent of the response variable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-22 Philip Boeken , Noud de Kroon , Mathijs de Jong , Joris M. Mooij , Onno Zoeter

In the context of post-hoc interpretability, this paper addresses the task of explaining the prediction of a classifier, considering the case where no information is available, neither on the classifier itself, nor on the processed data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-25 Thibault Laugel , Marie-Jeanne Lesot , Christophe Marsala , Xavier Renard , Marcin Detyniecki

Adaptive Conformal Inference (ACI) provides finite-sample coverage guarantees, enhancing the prediction reliability under non-exchangeability. This study demonstrates that these desirable properties of ACI do not require the use of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-02 Johan Hallberg Szabadváry , Tuwe Löfström

Credal sets are sets of probability distributions that are considered as candidates for an imprecisely known ground-truth distribution. In machine learning, they have recently attracted attention as an appealing formalism for uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-19 Alireza Javanmardi , David Stutz , Eyke Hüllermeier

Predictive uncertainties in classification tasks are often a consequence of model inadequacy or insufficient training data. In popular applications, such as image processing, we are often required to scrutinise these uncertainties by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-10 Iker Perez , Piotr Skalski , Alec Barns-Graham , Jason Wong , David Sutton

Set-valued classification, a new classification paradigm that aims to identify all the plausible classes that an observation belongs to, can be obtained by learning the acceptance regions for all classes. Many existing set-valued…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-22 Zhou Wang , Xingye Qiao

Clustering attempts to partition data instances into several distinctive groups, while the similarities among data belonging to the common partition can be principally reserved. Furthermore, incomplete data frequently occurs in many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-30 Miao Cheng , Xinge You

Missing covariates in regression or classification problems can prohibit the direct use of advanced tools for further analysis. Recent research has realized an increasing trend towards the usage of modern Machine Learning algorithms for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-23 Burim Ramosaj , Justus Tulowietzki , Markus Pauly

We introduce a framework for robust uncertainty quantification in situations where labeled training data are corrupted, through noisy or missing labels. We build on conformal prediction, a statistical tool for generating prediction sets…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Shai Feldman , Stephen Bates , Yaniv Romano