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Reliable uncertainty quantification is essential in survival prediction, particularly in clinical settings where erroneous decisions carry high risk. Conformal prediction has attracted substantial attention as it offers a model-agnostic…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-04 Jaeyoung Shin , Chi Hyun Lee , Sangwook Kang

We introduce a Bayesian quantile mixed-effects model for censored longitudinal outcomes based on the skew exponential power (SEP) error distribution. The SEP family separates tail behavior and skewness from the targeted quantile and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-21 Divan A. Burger , Sean van der Merwe , Emmanuel Lesaffre

In many semiparametric models that are parameterized by two types of parameters---a Euclidean parameter of interest and an infinite-dimensional nuisance parameter---the two parameters are bundled together, that is, the nuisance parameter is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-13 Ying Ding , Bin Nan

The advent and subsequent widespread availability of preventive vaccines has altered the course of public health over the past century. Despite this success, effective vaccines to prevent many high-burden diseases, including HIV, have been…

We propose an empirically stable and asymptotically efficient covariate-balancing approach to the problem of estimating survival causal effects in data with conditionally-independent censoring. This addresses a challenge often encountered…

Semiparametric accelerated failure time (AFT) models directly relate the predicted failure times to covariates and are a useful alternative to models that work on the hazard function or the survival function. For case-cohort data, much less…

Computation · Statistics 2022-12-15 Steven Chiou , Sangwook Kang , Jun Yan

This paper addresses the problem of identifying and estimating the causal effect of a treatment in the presence of unmeasured confounding and various types of right-censoring. Examples of these censoring mechanisms are administrative…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-19 Ilias Willems , Sara Rutten , Gilles Crommen , Ingrid Van Keilegom

Interrupted time series (ITS) is often used to evaluate the effectiveness of a health policy intervention that accounts for the temporal dependence of outcomes. When the outcome of interest is a percentage or percentile, the data can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-19 Shangyuan Ye , Maricela Cruz , Ziyou Wang , Yun Yu

Accurate time-to-event prediction is integral to decision-making, informing medical guidelines, hiring decisions, and resource allocation. Survival analysis, the quantitative framework used to model time-to-event data, accounts for patients…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-08 Vincent Jeanselme , Brian Tom , Jessica Barrett

How to include censored data in a statistical analysis is a recur-rent issue in statistics. In multivariate extremes, the dependence structure of large observations can be characterized in terms of a non parametric angular measure, while…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-03 Anne Sabourin

This paper proposes a modelling strategy to infer the impact of a covariate on the dependence structure of right-censored clustered event time data. The joint survival function of the event times is modelled using a parametric conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-07 Candida Geerdens , Elif Fidan Acar , Paul Janssen

Marginal structural models are a popular method for estimating causal effects in the presence of time-varying exposures. In spite of their popularity, no scalable non-parametric estimator exist for marginal structural models with…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-30 Axel Martin , Michele Santacatterina , Iván Díaz

We develop flexible multi-parameter regression survival models for interval censored survival data arising in longitudinal prospective studies and longitudinal randomised controlled clinical trials. A multi-parameter Weibull regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-29 Defen Peng , Gilbert MacKenzie , Kevin Burke

We propose autoregressive Bayesian semi-parametric models for waiting times between recurrent events. The aim is two-fold: inference on the effect of possibly time-varying covariates on the gap times and clustering of individuals based on…

Applications · Statistics 2016-07-28 Marta Tallarita , Maria De Iorio , Alessandra Guglielmi , James Malone-Lee

Inferring treatment effects on a survival time outcome based on data from an observational study is challenging due to the presence of censoring and possible confounding. An additional challenge occurs when a unit's treatment affects the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-13 Chanhwa Lee , Donglin Zeng , Michael Emch , John D. Clemens , Michael G. Hudgens

In this paper, we consider a novel framework of positive-unlabeled data in which as positive data survival times are observed for subjects who have events during the observation time as positive data and as unlabeled data censoring times…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-30 Tomoki Toyabe , Yasuhiro Hasegawa , Takahiro Hoshino

The hybrid censoring is a mixture of Type I and Type II censoring schemes. This paper presents the statistical inferences of the Inverse Weibull distribution when the data are Type-I hybrid censored. First we consider the maximum likelihood…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2020-04-07 Mohammad Kazemi , Mina Azizpour

We propose a two-stage estimation procedure for a copula-based model with semi-competing risks data, where the non-terminal event is subject to dependent censoring by the terminal event, and both events are subject to independent censoring.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-28 Sakie J. Arachchige , Xinyuan Chen , Qian M. Zhou

This article explores the estimation of unknown parameters and reliability characteristics under the assumption that the lifetimes of the testing units follow an Inverted Exponentiated Pareto (IEP) distribution. Here, both point and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-22 Rajendranath Mondal , Aditi Kar Gangopadhyay , Raju Bhakta , Kousik Maiti

We present a conformal inference method for constructing lower prediction bounds for survival times from right-censored data, extending recent approaches designed for more restrictive type-I censoring scenarios. The proposed method imputes…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-26 Matteo Sesia , Vladimir Svetnik