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Cross-validation is a widely used technique for evaluating the performance of prediction models, ranging from simple binary classification to complex precision medicine strategies. It helps correct for optimism bias in error estimates,…

The bootstrap is a popular data-driven method to quantify statistical uncertainty, but for modern high-dimensional problems, it could suffer from huge computational costs due to the need to repeatedly generate resamples and refit models. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-21 Henry Lam , Zhenyuan Liu

We set up a formal framework to characterize encompassing of nonparametric models through the L2 distance. We contrast it to previous literature on the comparison of nonparametric regression models. We then develop testing procedures for…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-07 Elia Lapenta , Pascal Lavergne

We consider Gaussian and bootstrap approximations for the supremum of additive functionals of aperiodic Harris recurrent Markov chains. The supremum is taken over a function class that may depend on the sample size, which allows for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-21 Kyuseong Choi , Gabriella Ciolek

Time to event outcomes are often evaluated on the hazard scale, but interpreting hazards may be difficult. Recently, there has been concern in the causal inference literature that hazards actually have a built in selection-effect that…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-07 Pål Christie Ryalen , Mats Julius Stensrud , Kjetil Røysland

We consider bootstrap inference for estimators which are (asymptotically) biased. We show that, even when the bias term cannot be consistently estimated, valid inference can be obtained by proper implementations of the bootstrap.…

We propose a vector generalized additive modeling framework for taking into account the effect of covariates on angular density functions in a multivariate extreme value context. The proposed methods are tailored for settings where the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-28 Linda Mhalla , Miguel de Carvalho , Valérie Chavez-Demoulin

Mediation analyses are a statistical tool for testing the hypothesis about how the relationship between two variables may be direct or indirect via a third variable. Assessing statistical significance has been an area of active research;…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-07 Jason Steffener

Although there is an extensive literature on the eigenvalues of high-dimensional sample covariance matrices, much of it is specialized to independent components (IC) models -- in which observations are represented as linear transformations…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-05 Siyao Wang , Miles E. Lopes

In the context of the widely used competing risks set-up we discuss different inference procedures for testing equality of two cumulative incidence functions, where the data may be subject to independent right-censoring or left-truncation.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-13 Dennis Dobler , Markus Pauly

When drawing causal inferences about the effects of multiple treatments on clustered survival outcomes using observational data, we need to address implications of the multilevel data structure, multiple treatments, censoring and unmeasured…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-18 Liangyuan Hu , Jiayi Ji , Ronald D. Ennis , Joseph W. Hogan

We consider a probabilistic cellular automaton to analyze the stochastic dynamics of a predator-prey system. The local rules are Markovian and are based in the Lotka-Volterra model. The individuals of each species reside on the sites of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-08-14 Kelly C. de Carvalho , Tânia Tomé

We propose a robust estimator for the tail index of Pareto-type distributions under random right-censoring, constructed within the minimum density power divergence (MDPD) framework and based on the Nelson--Aalen estimator of the cumulative…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Nour Elhouda Guesmia , Abdelhakim Necir , Djamel Meraghni

The second-order dependence structure of purely nondeterministic stationary process is described by the coefficients of the famous Wold representation. These coefficients can be obtained by factorizing the spectral density of the process.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-21 Jonas Krampe , Jens-Peter Kreiss , Efstathios Paparoditis

High-dimensional linear models with endogenous variables play an increasingly important role in recent econometric literature. In this work we allow for models with many endogenous variables and many instrument variables to achieve…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-08-30 Alexandre Belloni , Christian Hansen , Whitney Newey

In this paper we consider the construction of simultaneous confidence bands for the spectral density of a stationary time series using a Gaussian approximation for classical lag-window spectral density estimators evaluated at the set of all…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-25 Jens-Peter Kreiss , Anne Leucht , Efstathios Paparoditis

Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) are widely used in the financial sector to measure the market risk and manage the extreme market movement. The recent link between the quantile score function and the Asymmetric Laplace…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-14 Zhengkun Li , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Chao Wang , Richard Gerlach , Junbin Gao

Multilevel estimators aim at reducing the variance of Monte Carlo statistical estimators, by combining samples generated with simulators of different costs and accuracies. In particular, the recent work of Schaden and Ullmann (2020) on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-13 Mayeul Destouches , Paul Mycek , Selime Gürol

We address the problem of survival regression modelling with multivariate responses and nonlinear covariate effects. Our model extends the proportional hazards model by introducing several weakly-parametric elements: the marginal baseline…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-16 Na Lei , Mark A. Wolters , Wenqing He

Common causal estimands include the average treatment effect (ATE), the average treatment effect of the treated (ATT), and the average treatment effect on the controls (ATC). Using augmented inverse probability weighting methods, parametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-23 Roland A. Matsouaka , Yi Liu , Yunji Zhou
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