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Related papers: Exchangeable exogenous shock models

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We propose a model and an estimation technique to distinguish systemic risk and contagion in credit risk. The main idea is to assume, for a set of $d$ obligors, a set of $d$ idiosyncratic shocks and a shock that triggers the default of all…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-02-09 Umberto Cherubini , Sabrina Mulinacci

Multivariate extreme value distributions are a common choice for modelling multivariate extremes. In high dimensions, however, the construction of flexible and parsimonious models is challenging. We propose to combine bivariate max-stable…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-25 Shuang Hu , Zuoxiang Peng , Johan Segers

Diffusion models offer stable training and state-of-the-art performance for deep generative modeling tasks. Here, we consider their use in the context of multivariate subsurface modeling and probabilistic inversion. We first demonstrate…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-28 Roberto Miele , Niklas Linde

The one-dimensional Dickman distribution arises in various stochastic models across number theory, combinatorics, physics, and biology. Recently, a definition of the multidimensional Dickman distribution has appeared in the literature,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-30 Anastasiia S. Kovtun , Nikolai N. Leonenko , Andrey Pepelyshev

An expanded family of mixtures of multivariate power exponential distributions is introduced. While fitting heavy-tails and skewness has received much attention in the model-based clustering literature recently, we investigate the use of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-15 Utkarsh J. Dang , Ryan P. Browne , Paul D. McNicholas

Consider two batches of independent or interdependent exponentiated location-scale distributed heterogeneous random variables. This article investigates ordering results for the second-order statistics from these batches when a vector of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-20 Sangita Das , Suchandan Kayal

In this paper, we present a new Marshall-Olkin exponential shock model. The new construction method gives the proposed model further ability to allocate the common joint shock on each of the components, making it suitable for application in…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-15 H. A. Mohtashami-Borzadaran , M. Amini , H. Jabbari , A. Dolati

Skew-symmetric families of distributions such as the skew-normal and skew-$t$ represent supersets of the normal and $t$ distributions, and they exhibit richer classes of extremal behaviour. By defining a non-stationary skew-normal process,…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-19 Boris Beranger , Simone A. Padoan , Scott A. Sisson

We study the independence structure of finitely exchangeable distributions over random vectors and random networks. In particular, we provide necessary and sufficient conditions for an exchangeable vector so that its elements are completely…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-15 Kayvan Sadeghi

Multiplex networks are a powerful framework for representing systems with multiple types of interactions among a common set of entities. Understanding their structure requires statistical tools capturing higher-order cross-layer…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-30 Karl Sawaya , Sofia Olhede

Studies that collect multi-outcome data such as tobacco and alcohol use are becoming increasingly common. In principle, multi-outcomes studies investigate the correlations between outcomes, including, causal links and/or joint…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-03 George G. Vega Yon , Mary Jo Pugh , Thomas W. Valente

Products between phase-type distributed random variables and any independent, positive and continuous random variable are studied. Their asymptotic properties are established, and an expectation-maximization algorithm for their effective…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-25 Hansjoerg Albrecher , Martin Bladt , Mogens Bladt , Jorge Yslas

We propose a class of evolutionary models that involves an arbitrary exchangeable process as the breeding process and different selection schemes. In those models, a new genome is born according to the breeding process, and then a genome is…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Jüri Lember , Chris Watkins

The article considers the multivariate stochastic orders of upper orthants, lower orthants and positive quadrant dependence (PQD) among simple max-stable distributions and their exponent measures. It is shown for each order that it holds…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-08 Michela Corradini , Kirstin Strokorb

We propose a method to infer causal structures containing both discrete and continuous variables. The idea is to select causal hypotheses for which the conditional density of every variable, given its causes, becomes smooth. We define a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2009-10-30 Dominik Janzing , Xiaohai Sun , Bernhard Schoelkopf

Staged tree models are a discrete generalization of Bayesian networks. We show that these form curved exponential families and derive their natural parameters, sufficient statistic, and cumulant-generating function as functions of their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-31 Christiane Görgen , Manuele Leonelli , Orlando Marigliano

The exponential family of random graphs represents an important and challenging class of network models. Despite their flexibility, conventionally used exponential random graphs have one shortcoming. They cannot directly model weighted…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-15 Mei Yin

We explore conditions for a class of functions defined via an integral representation to be a probability generating function of some positive integer valued random variable. Interest in and research on this question is motivated by an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Satrajit Roychoudhury , Manish C. Bhattacharjee

We consider three new classes of exponential dispersion models of discrete probability distributions which are defined by specifying their variance functions in their mean value parameterization. In a previous paper (Bar-Lev and Ridder,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-01 Shaul K. Bar-Lev , Ad Ridder

Exchangeable arrays are natural tools to model common forms of dependence between units of a sample. Jointly exchangeable arrays are well suited to dyadic data, where observed random variables are indexed by two units from the same…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-18 Laurent Davezies , Xavier D'Haultfoeuille , Yannick Guyonvarch