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Prediction polling is an increasingly popular form of crowdsourcing in which multiple participants estimate the probability or magnitude of some future event. These estimates are then aggregated into a single forecast. Historically,…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-25 Ville A. Satopää , Shane T. Jensen , Robin Pemantle , Lyle H. Ungar

We show that the way in which the Shannon entropy of sequences produced by an information source converges to the source's entropy rate can be used to monitor how an intelligent agent builds and effectively uses a predictive model of its…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-05-23 James P. Crutchfield , David P. Feldman

Heterogeneous data from multiple populations, sub-groups, or sources is often represented as a ``mixture model'' with a single latent class influencing all of the observed covariates. Heterogeneity can be resolved at multiple levels by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-16 Bijan Mazaheri , Chandler Squires , Caroline Uhler

Quantum information quantities, such as mutual information and entropies, are essential for characterizing quantum systems and protocols in quantum information science. In this contribution, we identify types of information measures based…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-10-21 Christopher Popp , Tobias C. Sutter , Beatrix C. Hiesmayr

We review with a tutorial scope the information theory foundations of quantum statistical physics. Only a small proportion of the variables that characterize a system at the microscopic scale can be controlled, for both practical and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 R. Balian

We address the problem of efficiently and informatively quantifying how multiplets of variables carry information about the future of the dynamical system they belong to. In particular we want to identify groups of variables carrying…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-03 Sebastiano Stramaglia , Tomas Scagliarini , Bryan C. Daniels , Daniele Marinazzo

Given two channels that convey information about the same random variable, we introduce two measures of the unique information of one channel with respect to the other. The two quantities are based on the notion of generalized weighted Le…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-12-10 Pradeep Kr. Banerjee , Eckehard Olbrich , Jürgen Jost , Johannes Rauh

We identify a unifying measure for stochastic resonance (SR) in voltage dependent ion channels which comprises periodic (conventional), aperiodic and nonstationary SR. Within a simplest setting, the gating dynamics is governed by two-state…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Igor Goychuk , Peter Hanggi

Bounds on information combining are entropic inequalities that determine how the information, or entropy, of a set of random variables can change when they are combined in certain prescribed ways. Such bounds play an important role in…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-11-10 Christoph Hirche

We study the value of information in sequential compressed sensing by characterizing the performance of sequential information guided sensing in practical scenarios when information is inaccurate. In particular, we assume the signal…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-09-02 Ruiyang Song , Yao Xie , Sebastian Pokutta

In modern randomized experiments, large-scale data collection increasingly yields rich baseline covariates and auxiliary information from multiple sources. Such information offers opportunities for more precise treatment effect estimation,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Wei Ma , Zeqi Wu , Zheng Zhang

This paper proposes a unifying variational approach for proving and extending some fundamental information theoretic inequalities. Fundamental information theory results such as maximization of differential entropy, minimization of Fisher…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-02-05 Sangwoo Park , Erchin Serpedin , Khalid Qaraqe

We calculate the mutual information (MI) of a two-layered neural network with noiseless, continuous inputs and binary, stochastic outputs under several assumptions on the synaptic efficiencies. The interesting regime corresponds to the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-10-31 Antonio Turiel , Elka Korutcheva , Nestor Parga

Reshef et al. recently proposed a new statistical measure, the "maximal information coefficient" (MIC), for quantifying arbitrary dependencies between pairs of stochastic quantities. MIC is based on mutual information, a fundamental…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-12 Justin B. Kinney , Gurinder S. Atwal

Information theory is widely accepted as a powerful tool for analyzing complex systems and it has been applied in many disciplines. Recently, some central components of information theory - multivariate information measures - have found…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-08-30 Nicholas Timme , Wesley Alford , Benjamin Flecker , John M. Beggs

Transfer entropy provides a general tool for analyzing the magnitudes and directions---but not the \emph{kinds}---of information transfer in a system. We extend transfer entropy in two complementary ways. First, we distinguish…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-02-09 Paul L. Williams , Randall D. Beer

Entropy and differential entropy are important quantities in information theory. A tractable extension to singular random variables-which are neither discrete nor continuous-has not been available so far. Here, we present such an extension…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-01-04 Günther Koliander , Georg Pichler , Erwin Riegler , Franz Hlawatsch

Estimating Mutual Information (MI), a key measure of dependence of random quantities without specific modelling assumptions, is a challenging problem in high dimensions. We propose a novel mutual information estimator based on parametrizing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-24 Haoran Ni , Martin Lotz

Assessing the synergistic high-order behaviors (HOBs) that emerge from underlying structural mechanisms is crucial to characterize complex systems. This work leverages the combined use of predictability and information measures to detect…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-16 Chiara Barà , Yuri Antonacci , Laura Sparacino , Helder Pinto , Michal Javorka , Sebastiano Stramaglia , Luca Faes

Feature selection is a key step when dealing with high dimensional data. In particular, these techniques simplify the process of knowledge discovery from the data by selecting the most relevant features out of the noisy, redundant and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-09 Alaiz-Rodriguez , R. , Parnell , A. C