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The scaling ranges of time correlations in the cloud base height records of marine boundary layer stratocumulus are studied applying the Detrended Fluctuation Analysis statistical method. We have found that time dependent variations in the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 N. Kitova , K. Ivanova , M. Ausloos , T. P. Ackerman , M. A. Mikhalev

We report an essential improvement of the plain Fourier Monte Carlo algorithm that promises to be a powerful tool for investigating critical behavior in a large class of lattice models, in particular those containing microscopic or…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-02-17 Andreas Tröster

Feature importance (FI) measures are widely used to assess the contributions of predictors to an outcome, but they may target different notions of relevance. When predictors are correlated, traditional statistical FI methods are often…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-17 Jin-Hong Du , Kathryn Roeder , Larry Wasserman

We present the results of a simulation study into the properties of 12 different estimators of the Hurst parameter, $H$, or the fractional integration parameter, $d$, in long memory time series. We compare and contrast their performance on…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-01-08 William Rea , Les Oxley , Marco Reale , Jennifer Brown

We compare two theoretically distinct approaches to generating artificial (or ``surrogate'') data for testing hypotheses about a given data set. The first and more straightforward approach is to fit a single ``best'' model to the original…

comp-gas · Physics 2015-06-24 James Theiler , Dean Prichard

Adaptive Monte Carlo methods are very efficient techniques designed to tune simulation estimators on-line. In this work, we present an alternative to stochastic approximation to tune the optimal change of measure in the context of…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-10-23 Benjamin Jourdain , Jérôme Lelong

The implementation and reliability of a quadratic diffusion Monte Carlo method for the study of ground-state properties of atoms are discussed. We show in the simple yet non-trivial calculation of the binding energy of the Li atom that the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 A. Sarsa , J. Boronat , J. Casulleras

Item factor analysis (IFA) refers to the factor models and statistical inference procedures for analyzing multivariate categorical data. IFA techniques are commonly used in social and behavioral sciences for analyzing item-level response…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-17 Yunxiao Chen , Siliang Zhang

Diffusion models have become the go-to method for many generative tasks, particularly for image-to-image generation tasks such as super-resolution and inpainting. Current diffusion-based methods do not provide statistical guarantees…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-11-18 Eliahu Horwitz , Yedid Hoshen

The classical two-dimensional discrete frustrated $\phi ^4$ model is studied by Monte Carlo simulations. The correlation function is obtained for two values of a parameter $d$ that determines the frustration in the model. The ground state…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 V. V. Savkin , A. N. Rubtsov , T. Janssen

Practical or scientific considerations often lead to selecting a subset of parameters as ``important.'' Inferences about those parameters often are based on the same data used to select them in the first place. That can make the reported…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-04 Yoav Benjamini , Yotam Hechtlinger , Philip B. Stark

Differential privacy is a restriction on data processing algorithms that provides strong confidentiality guarantees for individual records in the data. However, research on proper statistical inference, that is, research on properly…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-07-06 Joerg Drechsler , Ira Globus-Harris , Audra McMillan , Jayshree Sarathy , Adam Smith

There are a number of situations in which several signals are simultaneously recorded in complex systems, which exhibit long-term power-law cross-correlations. The multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis (MF-DCCA) approaches can…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 Zhi-Qiang Jiang , Wei-Xing Zhou

In this paper, we analyze the discrete inf-sup condition and related error estimates for a modified Hilbert transformation as used in the space-time discretization of time-dependent partial differential equations. It turns out that the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Richard Löscher , Olaf Steinbach , Marco Zank

This study introduces a novel forecasting strategy that leverages the power of fractional differencing (FD) to capture both short- and long-term dependencies in time series data. Unlike traditional integer differencing methods, FD preserves…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Sarit Maitra , Vivek Mishra , Srashti Dwivedi , Sukanya Kundu , Goutam Kumar Kundu

We employ the recently introduced conformal iterative construction of Diffusion Limited Aggregates (DLA) to study the multifractal properties of the harmonic measure. The support of the harmonic measure is obtained from a dynamical process…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Benny Davidovich , Itamar Procaccia

Vertically weighted averages perform a bilateral filtering of data, in order to preserve fine details of the underlying signal, especially discontinuities such as jumps (in dimension one) or edges (in dimension two). In homogeneous regions…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-20 Ansgar Steland

In this paper, we investigate the use of multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) methods for estimating the expectation of discretized random fields. Specifically, we consider a setting in which the input and output vectors of numerical simulators…

Magnetic field variations are detected before rupture in the form of `spikes' of alternating sign. The distinction of these `spikes' from random noise is of major practical importance, since it is easier to conduct magnetic field…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 P. A. Varotsos , N. V. Sarlis , E. S. Skordas

This work aims at making a comprehensive contribution in the general area of parametric inference for discretely observed diffusion processes. Established approaches for likelihood-based estimation invoke a time-discretisation scheme for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-30 Yuga Iguchi , Alexandros Beskos , Matthew M. Graham