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In this paper we consider a discrete-time risk sensitive portfolio optimization over a long time horizon with proportional transaction costs. We show that within the log-return i.i.d. framework the solution to a suitable Bellman equation…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-11 Marcin Pitera , Łukasz Stettner

In this study, we utilize the Kalman-Filter analysis to assess market efficiency in major stock markets. The Kalman-Filter operates in two stages, assuming that the data contains a consistent trendline representing the true market value…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-26 Beier Liu , Haiyun Zhu

It is widely recognized that when classical optimal strategies are applied with parameters estimated from data, the resulting portfolio weights are remarkably volatile and unstable over time. The predominant explanation for this is the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-06-15 Carl Lindberg

All the financial practitioners are working in incomplete markets full of unhedgeable risk-factors. Making the situation worse, they are only equipped with the imperfect information on the relevant processes. In addition to the market risk,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-07-29 Masaaki Fujii , Akihiko Takahashi

Although stochastic volatility and GARCH (generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity) models have successfully described the volatility dynamics of univariate asset returns, extending them to the multivariate models with…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-09 Yuta Yamauchi , Yasuhiro Omori

We study the analyticity of the value function in optimal investment with expected utility from terminal wealth and the relation to stochastically dominant financial models. We identify both a class of utilities and a class of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-07 Oleskii Mostovyi , Mihai Sîrbu , Thaleia Zariphopoulou

The characterization of intermittency in turbulence has its roots in the K62 theory, and if no proper definition is to be found in the literature, statistical properties of intermittency were studied and models were developed in attempt to…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-07-14 Roxane Letournel , Ludovic Goudenège , Rémi Zamansky , Aymeric Vié , Marc Massot

We consider the problem of maximizing expected utility for a power investor who can allocate his wealth in a stock, a defaultable security, and a money market account. The dynamics of these security prices are governed by geometric Brownian…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-04 Agostino Capponi , Jose Enrique Figueroa Lopez , Andrea Pascucci

The Kalman filter is the most powerful tool for estimation of the states of a linear Gaussian system. In addition, using this method, an expectation maximization algorithm can be used to estimate the parameters of the model. However, this…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-01 Tsuyoshi Ishizone , Kazuyuki Nakamura

This paper introduces a novel stochastic control framework to enhance the capabilities of automated investment managers, or robo-advisors, by accurately inferring clients' investment preferences from past activities. Our approach leverages…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-05 Haoyang Cao , Zhengqi Wu , Renyuan Xu

Equity premium, the surplus returns of stocks over bonds, has been an enduring puzzle. While numerous prior works approach the problem assuming the utility of money is invariant across contexts, our approach implies that in efficient…

General Economics · Economics 2024-01-18 B. N. Kausik

We develop a rotation-invariant neural network that provides the global minimum-variance portfolio by jointly learning how to lag-transform historical returns and marginal volatilities and how to regularise the eigenvalues of large equity…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-22 Christian Bongiorno , Efstratios Manolakis , Rosario Nunzio Mantegna

Optimal B-robust estimate is constructed for multidimensional parameter in drift coefficient of diffusion type process with small noise. Optimal mean-variance robust (optimal V -robust) trading strategy is find to hedge in mean-variance…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-10 N. Lazrieva , T. Toronjadze

We study the problem of dynamically trading futures in a regime-switching market. Modeling the underlying asset price as a Markov-modulated diffusion process, we present a utility maximization approach to determine the optimal futures…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-16 Tim Leung , Yang Zhou

We study the optimal investment problem for a continuous time incomplete market model such that the risk-free rate, the appreciation rates and the volatility of the stocks are all random; they are assumed to be independent from the driving…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-04-01 Nikolai Dokuchaev

A competing market model with a polyvariant profit function that assumes "zeitnot" stock behavior of clients is formulated within the banking portfolio medium and then analyzed from the perspective of devising optimal strategies. An…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-05-18 Bohdan Yu. Kyshakevych , Anatoliy K. Prykarpatsky , Denis Blackmore , Ivan P. Tverdokhlib

We examine a mean-reverting Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process that perturbs an unknown Lipschitz-continuous drift and aim to estimate the drift's value at a predetermined time horizon by sampling the path of the process. Due to the time varying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-20 Enrico Bernardi , Alberto Lanconelli , Christopher S. A. Lauria , Berk Tan Perçin

For a stochastic factor model we maximize the long-term growth rate of robust expected power utility with parameter $\lambda\in(0,1)$. Using duality methods the problem is reformulated as an infinite time horizon, risk-sensitive control…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-07 Thomas Knispel

The classical optimal trading problem is the closure of a position in an asset over a time interval; the trader maximizes an expected utility under the constraint that the position be fully closed by terminal time. Since the asset price is…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-07 Mervan Aksu , Alexandre Popier , Ali Devin Sezer

This paper is concerned with nonlinear filtering of the coefficients in asset price models with stochastic volatility. More specifically, we assume that the asset price process $ S=(S_{t})_{t\geq0} $ is given by \[…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Jaksa Cvitanic , Robert Liptser , Boris Rozovskii
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