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The emergence of Covid-19 requires new effective tools for epidemiological surveillance. Spatio-temporal disease mapping models, which allow dealing with highly disaggregated spatial and temporal units of analysis, are a priority in this…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-10 Miguel A. Martinez-Beneito , Jorge Mateu , Paloma Botella-Rocamora

Two-stage hierarchical models have been widely used in small area estimation to produce indirect estimates of areal means. When the areas are treated exchangeably and the model parameters are assumed to be the same over all areas, we might…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-10 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Yuki Kawakubo , Kota Ogasawara

We consider a class of Cox models with time-dependent effects that may be zero over certain unknown time regions or, in short, sparse time-varying effects. The model is particularly useful for biomedical studies as it conveniently depicts…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-02 Yuan Yang , Jian Kang , Yi Li

Rare cancers affect millions of people worldwide each year. However, estimating incidence or mortality rates associated with rare cancers presents important difficulties and poses new statistical methodological challenges. In this paper, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-30 Garazi Retegui , Jaione Etxeberria , María Dolores Ugarte

The Big Data revolution is challenging the state-of-the-art statistical and econometric techniques not only for the computational burden connected with the high volume and speed which data are generated, but even more for the variety of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-25 Giuseppe Arbia , Vincenzo Nardelli

Data with spatial-temporal attributes are prevalent across many research fields, and statistical models for analyzing spatio-temporal relationships are widely used. Existing reviews focus either on specific domains or model types, creating…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-04 Isabella Habereder , Thomas Kneib , Isao Echizen , Timo Spinde

Using Australian children as a case study, this paper aims to develop vulnerability indices to characterise the health and well-being of children aged 0-5 years old. The indices are used to identify differences in children's health and…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2025-09-19 Harriette Phillips , Aiden Price , Kerrie Mengersen

Geostatistical analysis of health data is increasingly used to model spatial variation in malaria prevalence, burden, and other metrics. Traditional inference methods for geostatistical modelling are notoriously computationally intensive,…

Applications · Statistics 2023-05-04 Spencer Wong , Jennifer A. Flegg , Nick Golding , Sevvandi Kandanaarachchi

Representative risk estimation is fundamental to clinical decision-making. However, risks are often estimated from non-representative epidemiologic studies, which usually underrepresent minorities. "Model-based" methods use population…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-12 Lingxiao Wang , Yan Li , Barry I. Graubard , Hormuzd A. Katki

In mortality modelling, cohort effects are often taken into consideration as they add insights about variations in mortality across different generations. Statistically speaking, models such as the Renshaw-Haberman model may provide a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-01 Yiping Guo , Johnny Siu-Hang Li

Chronic diseases are long-lasting conditions that require lifelong medical attention. Using big EMR data, we have developed early disease risk prediction models for five common chronic diseases: diabetes, hypertension, CKD, COPD, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Shaheer Ahmad Khan , Muhammad Usamah Shahid , Muddassar Farooq

National statistical agencies are regularly required to produce estimates about various subpopulations, formed by demographic and/or geographic classifications, based on a limited number of samples. Traditional direct estimates computed…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-29 Shuchi Goyal , Gauri Sankar Datta , Abhyuday Mandal

Prevalence surveys are routinely used to monitor the effectiveness of mass drug administration (MDA) programmes for controlling neglected tropical diseases (NTDs). We propose a decay-adjusted spatio-temporal (DAST) model that explicitly…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-13 Emanuele Giorgi , Claudio Fronterre , Peter J. Diggle

Education is a key driver of social and economic mobility, yet disparities in attainment persist, particularly in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Existing indicators, such as mean years of schooling for adults aged 25 and older…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-13 Yunhan Wu , Ameer Dharamshi , Jon Wakefield

In employing spatial regression models for counts, we usually meet two issues. First, ignoring the inherent collinearity between covariates and the spatial effect would lead to causal inferences. Second, real count data usually reveal over…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-21 Mahsa Nadifar , Hossein Baghishani , Afshin Fallah

Technological developments and open data policies have made large, global environmental datasets accessible to everyone. For analysing such datasets, including spatiotemporal correlations using traditional models based on Gaussian processes…

Computation · Statistics 2020-07-01 Marius Appel , Edzer Pebesma

The comparison of subnational areas is ubiquitous but survey samples of these areas are often biased or prohibitively small. Researchers turn to methods such as multilevel regression and poststratification (MRP) to improve the efficiency of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-13 Shiro Kuriwaki , Soichiro Yamauchi

Small area estimation (SAE) produces estimates of population parameters for geographic and demographic subgroups with limited sample sizes. Such estimates are critical for informing policy decisions, ranging from poverty mapping to social…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-24 Sho Kawano , Paul A. Parker , Zehang Richard Li

The health impact of long-term exposure to air pollution is now routinely estimated using spatial ecological studies, due to the recent widespread availability of spatial referenced pollution and disease data. However, this areal unit study…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-16 Duncan Lee , Christophe Sarran

We consider statistics of spatial averages estimated by weighting observations over an arbitrary spatial domain using identical and independent measuring devices, and derive an account of bias and variance in the presence of missing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-17 Ashwin K Seshadri