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We apply the concepts of multifractal physics to financial time series in order to characterize the onset of crash for the Standard & Poor's 500 stock index x(t). It is found that within the framework of multifractality, the "analogous"…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 Enrique Canessa

Critical transitions occur in a wide variety of applications including mathematical biology, climate change, human physiology and economics. Therefore it is highly desirable to find early-warning signs. We show that it is possible to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Christian Kuehn

Using previous results from boundary conformal field theory and integrability, a phase diagram is derived for the 2 dimensional Ising model at its bulk tri-critical point as a function of boundary magnetic field and boundary spin-coupling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-11-26 Ian Affleck

Assuming a second-order phase transition for the hadronization process, we attempt to associate intermittency patterns in high-energy hadronic collisions to fractal structures in configuration space and corresponding intermittency indices…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2009-10-22 N. G. Antoniou , F. K. Diakonos , I. S. Mistakidis , C. G. Papadopoulos

Neural network models have recently demonstrated impressive prediction performance in complex systems where chaos and unpredictability appear. In spite of the research efforts carried out on predicting future trajectories or improving their…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-01-30 David Valle , Alexandre Wagemakers , Alvar Daza , Miguel A. F. Sanjuán

We study the connection between multi-fractality and crucial events. Multi-fractality is frequently used as a measure of physiological variability. Crucial events are known to play a fundamental role in the transport of information between…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2018-01-03 Gyanendra Bohara , David Lambert , Bruce J. West , Paolo Grigolini

Periodically driven, or Floquet, disordered quantum systems have generated many unexpected discoveries of late, such as the anomalous Floquet Anderson insulator and the discrete time crystal. Here, we report the emergence of an entire band…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2018-05-22 Sthitadhi Roy , Ivan M. Khaymovich , Arnab Das , Roderich Moessner

We study the multifractal analysis (MFA) of electronic wavefunctions at the localisation-delocalisation transition in the 3D Anderson model for very large system sizes up to $240^3$. The singularity spectrum $f(\alpha)$ is numerically…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-11-12 Alberto Rodriguez , Louella J. Vasquez , Rudolf A. Roemer

Bifurcations can cause dynamical systems with slowly varying parameters to transition to far-away attractors. The terms ``critical transition'' or ``tipping point'' have been used to describe this situation. Critical transitions have been…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Christian Kuehn

We consider the random transverse-field Ising model in $d=3$ dimensions with long-range ferromagnetic interactions which decay as a power $\alpha > d$ with the distance. Using a variant of the strong disorder renormalization group method we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-06-08 István A. Kovács , Róbert Juhász , Ferenc Iglói

Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis stands out as one of the most reliable methods for unveiling multifractal properties, specially when real-world time series are under analysis. However, little is known about how several aspects,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-07-20 Felipe Olivares , Massimiliano Zanin

Two roads are presently being followed in order to establish the existence of a liquid-gas phase transition in finite nuclear systems from nuclear reactions at high energy. The clean experiment of observing the thermodynamic properties of a…

Nuclear Experiment · Physics 2009-11-10 W. Trautmann

The critical behaviour of 3-dimensional disordered systems in a strong magnetic field is investigated by analysing the spectral fluctuations of the energy spectrum. The level spacing distribution $P(s)$ as well the Dyson-Mehta statistics…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 E. Hofstetter

We study temporal correlations and multifractal properties of long river discharge records from 41 hydrological stations around the globe. To detect long-term correlations and multifractal behaviour in the presence of trends, we apply…

The possible paralelism existing between phase transitions and fracture in disordered materials, is discussed using the well-known Fiber Bundle Models and a probabilistic approach suited to smooth fluctuations near the critical point. Two…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Y. Moreno , J. B. Gomez , A. F. Pacheco

We quantitatively characterize the metastability in a multi-phase lattice Boltzmann model. The structure factor of density fluctuations is theoretically obtained and numerically verified to a high precision, for all simulated wave-vectors…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-12-20 Matteo Lulli , Luca Biferale , Giacomo Falcucci , Mauro Sbragaglia , Dong Yang , Xiaowen Shan

Multifractal detrended cross-correlation methodology is described and applied to Foreign exchange (Forex) market time series. Fluctuations of high frequency exchange rates of eight major world currencies over 2010-2018 period are used to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-17 Robert Gębarowski , Paweł Oświęcimka , Marcin Wątorek , Stanisław Drożdż

Different routing strategies may result in different behaviors of traffic on internet. We analyze the correlation of traffic data for three typical routing strategies by the detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) and find that the degree of…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2008-06-12 Xiaoyan Zhu , Zonghua Liu , Ming Tang

Motivated by empirical observations on the interplay of trends and reversion, a lattice gas model of financial markets is presented. The shares of an asset are modeled by gas molecules that are distributed across a hidden social network of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-02 Christof Schmidhuber

Fluctuations in the return time statistics of a dynamical system can be described by a new spectrum of dimensions. Comparison with the usual multifractal analysis of measures is presented, and difference between the two corresponding sets…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-07 N. Hadyn , J. Luevano , G. Mantica , S. Vaienti