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Health-policy planning requires evidence on the burden that epidemics place on healthcare systems. Multiple, often dependent, datasets provide a noisy and fragmented signal from the unobserved epidemic process including transmission and…

Applications · Statistics 2024-09-11 Alice Corbella , Anne M Presanis , Paul J Birrell , Daniela De Angelis

Social contagion has been studied in various contexts. Many instances of social contagion can be modeled as an infection process where a specific state (adoption of product, fad, knowledge, behavior, etc.) spreads from individual to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-07-01 Hiroki Sayama

Network--based epidemic models that account for heterogeneous contact patterns are extensively used to predict and control the diffusion of infectious diseases. We use census and survey data to reconstruct a geo--referenced and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Alessandro Celestini , Francesca Colaiori , Stefano Guarino , Enrico Mastrostefano , Lena Rebecca Zastrow

Modelling diffusion processes on dynamic contact networks is an important research area for epidemiology, marketing, cybersecurity, and ecology. However, current diffusion models cannot capture transmissions occurring for indirect…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-06-10 Md Shahzamal

By generating transient encounters between individuals beyond their immediate social environment, transport can have a profound impact on the spreading of an epidemic. In this work, we consider epidemic dynamics in the presence of the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2022-11-03 Christian Kuehn , Jan Mölter

A range of early studies have been conducted to illustrate human mobility patterns using different tracking data, such as dollar notes, cell phones and taxicabs. Here, we explore human mobility patterns based on massive tracking data of US…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-08-08 Bin Jiang , Tao Jia

Human mobility, contact patterns, and their interplay are key aspects of our social behavior that shape the spread of infectious diseases across different regions. In the light of new evidence and data sets about these two elements,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-26 Wesley Cota , David Soriano-Paños , Alex Arenas , Silvio C. Ferreira , Jesús Gómez-Gardeñes

The importance of spatial networks in the spread of an epidemic is an essential aspect in modeling the dynamics of an infectious disease. Additionally, any realistic data-driven model must take into account the large uncertainty in the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-17 Giulia Bertaglia , Lorenzo Pareschi

The spreading of evolutionary novelties across populations is the central element of adaptation. Unless population are well-mixed (like bacteria in a shaken test tube), the spreading dynamics not only depends on fitness differences but also…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-19 Oskar Hallatschek , Daniel S. Fisher

Air transport is a key infrastructure of modern societies. In this paper we review some recent approaches to air transport, which make extensive use of theory of complex networks. We discuss possible networks that can be defined for the air…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-15 Massimiliano Zanin , Fabrizio Lillo

The flux of visitors through popular places undoubtedly influences viral spreading -- from H1N1 and Zika viruses spreading through physical spaces such as airports, to rumors and ideas spreading though online spaces such as chatrooms and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-06-29 Pedro D. Manrique , Chen Xu , Pak Ming Hui , Neil F. Johnson

Outbreaks of infectious diseases present a global threat to human health and are considered a major health-care challenge. One major driver for the rapid spatial spread of diseases is human mobility. In particular, the travel patterns of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-04-06 Ahmad El Shoghri , Jessica Liebig , Lauren Gardner , Raja Jurdak , Salil Kanhere

Random walk is one of the basic mechanisms found in many network applications. We study the epidemic spreading dynamics driven by biased random walks on complex networks. In our epidemic model, each time infected nodes constantly spread…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-22 Cunlai Pu , Siyuan Li , Jian Yang

Self-activation coupled to a transport mechanism results in traveling waves that describe polymerization reactions, forest fires, tumor growth, and even the spread of epidemics. Diffusion is a simple and commonly used model of particle…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-07-06 Keisuke Ishihara , Ashish B. George , Ryan Cornelius , Kirill S. Korolev

Information diffusion on social networks has been described as a collective outcome of threshold behaviors in the framework of threshold models. However, since the existing models do not take into account individuals' optimization problem,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-09-08 Teruyoshi Kobayashi

Human mobility is a key component of large-scale spatial-transmission models of infectious diseases. Correctly modeling and quantifying human mobility is critical for improving epidemic control policies, but may be hindered by incomplete…

Fractional kinetic equations employ non-integer calculus to model anomalous relaxation and diffusion in many systems. While this approach is well explored, it so far failed to describe an important class of transport in disordered systems.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-01-04 Wanli Wang , Eli Barkai

In this work, we study the epidemic SIR model on a system which takes into consideration face-to-face interaction networks. This approach has been used as prototype to describe people interactions in different kinds of social organizations…

Infection dynamics have been studied extensively on complex networks, yielding insight into the effects of heterogeneity in contact patterns on disease spread. Somewhat separately, metapopulations have provided a paradigm for modeling…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-08-09 Jason Hindes , Sarabjeet Singh , Christopher R. Myers , David J. Schneider

In this work we performed a numerical study of an epidemic model that mimics the endemic state of whooping cough in the pre-vaccine era. We considered a stochastic SIR model on dynamical networks that involve local and global contacts among…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-09 Martin Dottori , Gabriel Fabricius