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In this paper, we implement and evaluate a conditional diffusion model for asset return prediction and portfolio construction on large-scale equity data. Our method models the full distribution of future returns conditioned on firm…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Avi Bagchi , Michael Tesfaye , Om Shastri

Behavioral Finance has become a challenge to the scientific community. Based on the assumption that behavioral aspects of investors may explain some features of the Stock Market, we propose an agent based model to study quantitatively this…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-23 F. M. Stefan , A. P. F. Atman

The development of reinforced learning methods has extended application to many areas including algorithmic trading. In this paper trading on the stock exchange is interpreted into a game with a Markov property consisting of states,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-28 Evgeny Ponomarev , Ivan Oseledets , Andrzej Cichocki

Searching for new effective risk factors on stock returns is an important research topic in asset pricing. Factor modeling is an active research topic in statistics and econometrics, with many new advances. However, these new methods have…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-27 Xialu Liu , John Guerard , Rong Chen , Ruey Tsay

In recent years, the popularity of artificial intelligence has surged due to its widespread application in various fields. The financial sector has harnessed its advantages for multiple purposes, including the development of automated…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-01 Vito Alessandro Monaco , Antonio Riva , Luca Sabbioni , Lorenzo Bisi , Edoardo Vittori , Marco Pinciroli , Michele Trapletti , Marcello Restelli

We have designed an innovative portfolio rebalancing mechanism termed the Cascading Waterfall Round Robin Mechanism. This algorithmic approach recommends an ideal size and number of trades for each asset during the periodic rebalancing…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-18 Ravi Kashyap

This paper investigates the problem of ensembling multiple strategies for sequential portfolios to outperform individual strategies in terms of long-term wealth. Due to the uncertainty of strategies' performances in the future market, which…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-07 Duy Khanh Lam

A technique from stochastic portfolio theory [Fernholz, 1998] is applied to analyse equity returns of Small, Mid and Large cap portfolios in an emerging market through periods of growth and regional crises, up to the onset of the global…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-07-02 Diane Wilcox , Tim Gebbie

AI and data driven solutions have been applied to different fields and achieved outperforming and promising results. In this research work we apply k-Nearest Neighbours, eXtreme Gradient Boosting and Random Forest classifiers for detecting…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-14 Mohsen Asgari , Hossein Khasteh

We study the continuous time portfolio optimization model on the market where the mean returns of individual securities or asset categories are linearly dependent on underlying economic factors. We introduce the functional $Q_\gamma$…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-01-29 O. S. Rozanova , G. S. Kambarbaeva

We present a distributional approach to theoretical analyses of reinforcement learning algorithms for constant step-sizes. We demonstrate its effectiveness by presenting simple and unified proofs of convergence for a variety of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-30 Philip Amortila , Doina Precup , Prakash Panangaden , Marc G. Bellemare

Evolutions of the trading landscape lead to the capability to exchange the same financial instrument on different venues. Because of liquidity issues, the trading firms split large orders across several trading destinations to optimize…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-07-28 Sophie Laruelle , Charles-Albert Lehalle , Gilles Pagès

Motivated by practical applications, we explore the constrained multi-period mean-variance portfolio selection problem within a market characterized by a dynamic factor model. This model captures predictability in asset returns driven by…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-26 Jianjun Gao , Chengneng Jin , Yun Shi , Xiangyu Cui

In online portfolio optimization the investor makes decisions based on new, continuously incoming information on financial assets (typically their prices). In our study we consider a learning algorithm, namely the Kiefer--Wolfowitz version…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-05 Zsolt Nika , Miklós Rásonyi

In lowest unique bid auctions, $N$ players bid for an item. The winner is whoever places the \emph{lowest} bid, provided that it is also unique. We use a grand canonical approach to derive an analytical expression for the equilibrium…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2015-05-28 Simone Pigolotti , Sebastian Bernhardsson , Jeppe Juul , Gorm Galster , Pierpaolo Vivo

We study the problem of optimal long term portfolio selection with a view to beat a benchmark. Two kinds of objectives are considered. One concerns the probability of outperforming the benchmark and seeks either to minimise the decay rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-04 Anatolii A. Puhalskii

We discuss the use of saddlepoint methods in the analysis of portfolios, with particular reference to credit portfolios. The objective is to proceed from a model of the loss distribution, given through probabilities, correlations and the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-01-04 Richard J Martin

We develop a method using parameterized linear equations to define trading mechanisms in market design models. Our method adeptly addresses challenges arising from factors such as complex endowments or coarse priorities, while offering…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-08-18 Jingsheng Yu , Jun Zhang

In this work, we study a dynamic portfolio optimization problem related to pairs trading, which is an investment strategy that matches a long position in one security with a short position in another security with similar characteristics.…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-24 Sühan Altay , Katia Colaneri , Zehra Eksi

Stochastic algorithms are among the best for solving computationally hard search and reasoning problems. The runtime of such procedures is characterized by a random variable. Different algorithms give rise to different probability…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-08 Carla P. Gomes , Bart Selman