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This paper formalizes the lattice structure of the ballot voters cast in a ranked-choice election and the preferences that this structure induces. These preferences are shown to be counter to previous assumptions about the preferences of…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-01-10 Brian Duricy

Previous research indicates that race, ethnicity, and gender influence legislative behavior in important ways. The bulk of this research, however, focuses on the way these characteristics shape an individual legislator's behavior, making it…

Strong empirical evidence from laboratory experiments, and more recently from population surveys, shows that individuals, when evaluating their situations, pay attention to whether they experience gains or losses, with losses weighing more…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-10-17 Martyna Kobus , Radosław Kurek , Thomas Parker

Preference elicitation explicitly asks users what kind of recommendations they would like to receive. It is a popular technique for conversational recommender systems to deal with cold-starts. Previous work has studied selection bias in…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-05-02 Shashank Gupta , Harrie Oosterhuis , Maarten de Rijke

There are many entities that disseminate in the physical space - information, gossip, mood, innovation etc. Personal spaces are also entities that disperse and interplay. In this work we study the emergence of configurations formed by…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2024-05-31 Jaroslav Horáček , Miroslav Rada

An important use of machine learning is to learn what people value. What posts or photos should a user be shown? Which jobs or activities would a person find rewarding? In each case, observations of people's past choices can inform our…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-12-21 Owain Evans , Andreas Stuhlmueller , Noah D. Goodman

Understanding and predicting human migration patterns is a central challenge in population dynamics research. Traditional physics-inspired gravity and radiation models represent migration flows as functions of attractiveness using…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-03 Aric Cutuli , Upmanu Lall , Michael J. Puma , Émile Esmaili , Rachata Muneepeerakul

It has been observed people tend to have opinions that are far more internally consistent than it would be reasonable to expect. Here, we study how that observation might emerge from changing how agents trust the opinions of their peers in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-15 Marcelo V. Maciel , André C. R. Martins

Can stated preferences help in counterfactual analyses of actual choice? This research proposes a novel approach to researchers who have access to both stated choices in hypothetical scenarios and actual choices. The key idea is to use…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-07-27 Romuald Meango

This paper investigates Bayesian variable selection when there is a hierarchical dependence structure on the inclusion of predictors in the model. In particular, we study the type of dependence found in polynomial response surfaces of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-03 Daniel Taylor-Rodriguez , Andrew Womack , Nikolay Bliznyuk

Inspired by the spread of discontent as in the 2016 presidential election, we consider a voter model in which 0's are ordinary voters and 1's are zealots. Thinking of a social network, but desiring the simplicity of an infinite object that…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-23 Ran Huo , Rick Durrett

With the widespread use of mobile phones, users can share their location anytime, anywhere, as a form of check-in data. These data reflect user preferences. Furthermore, the preference rules for different users vary. How to discover a…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2021-07-06 Yuanbang Li

We propose a framework for strategic voting when a voter may lack knowledge about the preferences of other voters, or about other voters' knowledge about her own preference. In this setting we define notions of manipulation, equilibrium,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-11-30 Zeinab Bakhtiari , Hans van Ditmarsch , Abdallah Saffidine

The estimation of voting blocs is an important statistical inquiry in political science. However, the scope of these analyses is usually restricted to roll call data where individual votes are directly observed. Here, we examine a Bayesian…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-09 John D. O'Brien

Label bias occurs when the outcome of interest is not directly observable and instead, modeling is performed with proxy labels. When the difference between the true outcome and the proxy label is correlated with predictors, this can yield…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-02 Jonas Mikhaeil , Andrew Gelman , Philip Greengard

We study the role of hierarchical structures in a simple model of collective consensus formation based on the bounded confidence model with continuous individual opinions. For the particular variation of this model considered in this paper,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-07-24 Nicolas Perony , René Pfitzner , Ingo Scholtes , Claudio J. Tessone , Frank Schweitzer

We investigate peer role model influence on successful graduation from Therapeutic Communities (TCs) for substance abuse and criminal behavior. We use data from 3 TCs that kept records of exchanges of affirmations among residents and their…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-11 Shanjukta Nath , Keith Warren , Subhadeep Paul

Large language models (LLMs) have shown promising accuracy in predicting survey responses and policy preferences, which has increased interest in their potential to represent human interests in various domains. Most existing research has…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Suyash Fulay , Jocelyn Zhu , Michiel Bakker

As large language models (LLMs) become deeply embedded in digital platforms and decision-making systems, concerns about their political biases have grown. While substantial work has examined social biases such as gender and race, systematic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-01-14 Jieying Chen , Karen de Jong , Andreas Poole , Jan Burakowski , Elena Elderson Nosti , Joep Windt , Chendi Wang

Students express a wide range of preferences for learning environments. We are trying to measure the manifestation of learning styles in various learning environments. In particular, we are interested in performance in an environment that…

Physics Education · Physics 2007-05-23 Stacey M. Davis , Scott V. Franklin
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