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The spread of a contagious disease clearly depends on when infected individuals come into contact with susceptible ones. Such effects, however, have remained largely unexplored in the study of epidemic outbreaks. In particular, it remains…

Many complex systems can be modeled by temporal networks, whose organization often evolves through distinct structural phases. Detecting the change points that delimit these phases is both important and challenging. In this work, we extend…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Samuel Koovely , Alexandre Bovet

Recent research on temporal networks has highlighted the limitations of a static network perspective for our understanding of complex systems with dynamic topologies. In particular, recent works have shown that i) the specific order in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-11-20 Ingo Scholtes , Nicolas Wider , Antonios Garas

We discuss various models for epidemics on networks that rely on Markov chains. Random walks on graphs are often used to predict epidemic spread and to investigate possible control actions to mitigate them. In this study, we demonstrate…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-07-07 Sooyeong Kim , Jane Breen , Ekaterina Dudkina , Federico Poloni , Emanuele Crisostomi

The identification of the most influential spreaders in networks is important to control and understand the spreading capabilities of the system as well as to ensure an efficient information diffusion such as in rumor-like dynamics. Recent…

Many empirical studies have revealed that the occurrences of contacts associated with human activities are non-Markovian temporal processes with a heavy tailed inter-event time distribution. Besides, there has been increasing empirical…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-08-09 Lilei Han , Zhaohua Lin , Qingqing Yin , Ming Tang , Shuguang Guan , Marian Boguna

We consider the spread of epidemics in technological and social networks. How do people react? Does awareness and cautious behavior help? We analyze these questions and present a dynamic model to describe the movement of individuals and/or…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-03-19 Robert Elsässer , Adrian Ogierman

In recent years, the problem of identifying the spreading ability and ranking social network users according to their influence has attracted a lot of attention; different approaches have been proposed for this purpose. Most of these…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-11-09 Ahmad Zareie , Amir Sheikhahmadi , Rizos Sakellariou

Virus transmission from person to person is an emergency event facing the global public. Early detection and isolation of potentially susceptible crowds can effectively control the epidemic of its disease. Existing metrics can not correctly…

Databases · Computer Science 2020-04-15 Huajun He , Ruiyuan Li , Rubin Wang , Jie Bao , Yu Zheng , Tianrui Li

If we can lower the number of people needed to vaccinate for a community to be immune against contagious diseases, we can save resources and life. A key to reach such a lower threshold of immunization is to find and vaccinate people who,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-10-10 Sungmin Lee , Luis E. C. Rocha , Fredrik Liljeros , Petter Holme

Most centralities proposed for identifying influential spreaders on social networks to either spread a message or to stop an epidemic require the full topological information of the network on which spreading occurs. In practice, however,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-12-13 Byungjoon Min , Fredrik Liljeros , Hernán A. Makse

Centrality is a key property of complex networks that influences the behavior of dynamical processes, like synchronization and epidemic spreading, and can bring important information about the organization of complex systems, like our brain…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-01-24 Francisco Aparecido Rodrigues

We use the susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model for disease spread over a network, and empirically study how well various centrality measures perform at identifying which nodes in a network will be the best spreaders of disease on 10…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2012-08-23 Brian Macdonald , Paulo Shakarian , Nicholas Howard , Geoffrey Moores

Intuitively, sampling is likely to be more efficient for prevalence estimation, if the cases (or positives) have a relatively higher representation in the sample than in the population. In case the virus is transmitted via personal…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-18 Li-Chun Zhang

Temporality, a crucial characteristic in the formation of social relationships, was used to quantify the long-term time effects of networks for link prediction models, ignoring the heterogeneity of time effects on different time scales. In…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-06-17 Yueran Duan , Mateusz Nurek , Qing Guan , Radosław Michalski , Petter Holme

Temporal-network models have provided key insights into how time-varying connectivity shapes dynamical processes such as spreading. Among them, the activity-driven model is a widely used, analytically tractable benchmark. Yet many temporal…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-11-20 Zsófia Simon , Jari Saramäki

Human mobility forms the backbone of contact patterns through which infectious diseases propagate, fundamentally shaping the spatio-temporal dynamics of epidemics and pandemics. While traditional models are often based on the assumption…

Many dynamical phenomena in complex systems concern spreading that plays out on top of networks with changing architecture over time -- commonly known as temporal networks. A complex system's proneness to facilitate spreading phenomena,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-05-06 Mark M. Dekker , Raoul D. Schram , Jiamin Ou , Debabrata Panja

We study the temporal percolation properties of temporal networks by taking as a representative example the recently proposed activity driven network model [N. Perra et al., Sci. Rep. 2, 469 (2012)]. Building upon an analytical framework…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-18 Michele Starnini , Romualdo Pastor Satorras

Understanding the importance of links in transmitting information in a network can provide ways to hinder or postpone ongoing dynamical phenomena like the spreading of epidemic or the diffusion of information. In this work, we propose a new…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-02-16 Qian Zhang , Márton Karsai , Alessandro Vespignani