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This paper addresses the classic problem of parameter estimation (PE) in multimachine power system models. Such models are typically described by a set of nonlinear differential-algebraic equations (DAE), where generator physics and network…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-20 Abdallah Alalem Albustami , Ahmad F. Taha , Sankaran Mahadevan

The increasing integration of intermittent renewable generation, especially at the distribution level,necessitates advanced planning and optimisation methodologies contingent on the knowledge of thegrid, specifically the admittance matrix…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-21 Jean-Sébastien Brouillon , Emanuele Fabbiani , Pulkit Nahata , Keith Moffat , Florian Dörfler , Giancarlo Ferrari-Trecate

Since forced oscillations are exogenous to dynamic power system models, the models by themselves cannot predict when or where a forced oscillation will occur. Locating the sources of these oscillations, therefore, is a challenging problem…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-10-31 Samuel Chevalier , Petr Vorobev , Konstantin Turitsyn

In this paper we focus on the parameter estimation of dynamic load models with stochastic terms, in particular, load models where protection settings are uncertain, such as in aggregated air conditioning units. We show how the uncertainty…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-30 Daniel Adrian Maldonado , Vishwas Rao , Mihai Anitescu , Vivak Patel

The Bayesian inversion method demonstrates significant potential for solving inverse problems, enabling both point estimation and uncertainty quantification (UQ). However, Bayesian maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimation may become unstable…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-04 Ruibiao Song , Liying Zhang

In this paper we consider the estimation of unknown parameters in Bayesian inverse problems. In most cases of practical interest, there are several barriers to performing such estimation, This includes a numerical approximation of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-07 Neil K. Chada , Ajay Jasra , Mohamed Maama , Raul Tempone

In this article a novel approach for training deep neural networks using Bayesian techniques is presented. The Bayesian methodology allows for an easy evaluation of model uncertainty and additionally is robust to overfitting. These are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-03 Konstantin Posch , Jürgen Pilz

Continuous-time random disturbances (also called stochastic excitations) due to increasing renewable generation have an increasing impact on power system dynamics; However, except from the Monte Carlo simulation, most existing methods for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-07 Yiwei Qiu , Jin Lin , Xiaoshuang Chen , Feng Liu , Yonghua Song

The reduction of overall system inertia in modern power systems due to the increasing deployment of distributed energy resources is generally recognized as a major issue for system stability. Consequently, real-time monitoring of system…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-01 Nicolai Lorenz-Meyer , Hans Würfel , Johannes Schiffer

Power grid parameter estimation involves the estimation of unknown parameters, such as inertia and damping coefficients, using observed dynamics. In this work, we present a comparison of data-driven algorithms for the power grid parameter…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-09 Subhash Lakshminarayana , Saurav Sthapit , Carsten Maple

Parameters of the mathematical model describing many practical dynamical systems are prone to vary due to aging or renewal, wear and tear, as well as changes in environmental or service conditions. These variabilities will adversely affect…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-13 Hang Geng , Mulugeta A. Haile , Huazhen Fang

This paper introduces a two-level robust approach to estimate the unknown states of a large-scale power system while the measurements and network parameters are subjected to uncertainties. The bounded data uncertainty (BDU) considered in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-14 Shiva Moshtagh , Mehdi Rahmani

Considering increasing distributed energy resources and responsive loads in smart grid, this paper proposes a stochastic simulation approach for stability analysis of a power system having stochastic loads. The proposed approach solves a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2021-03-29 Nan Duan , Kai Sun

Dynamical system state estimation and parameter calibration problems are ubiquitous across science and engineering. Bayesian approaches to the problem are the gold standard as they allow for the quantification of uncertainties and enable…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-11-12 Kairui Hao , Ilias Bilionis

Dynamical systems modeling, particularly via systems of ordinary differential equations, has been used to effectively capture the temporal behavior of different biochemical components in signal transduction networks. Despite the recent…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-01-06 Nathaniel J. Linden , Boris Kramer , Padmini Rangamani

Quantifying and reducing uncertainty in Earth system model parameterizations is essential to improving their reliability in decision-making. Forward uncertainty propagation is used to derive parameter sensitivity but requires physically…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-22 Ethan YoungIn Shin , Baris Kale , Michael F. Howland

High-quality nanomechanical oscillators can sensitively probe force, mass, or displacement in experiments bridging the gap between the classical and quantum domain. Dynamics of these stochastic systems is inherently determined by the…

Due to the penetration of renewable energy resources and load deviation, uncertainty handling is one of the main challenges for power system; therefore the need for accurate decision-making in a power system under the penetration of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-26 Mohammad Hemmati , Behnam Mohammadi-Ivatloo , Alireza Soroudi

Bayesian methods have been very successful in quantifying uncertainty in physics-based problems in parameter estimation and prediction. In these cases, physical measurements y are modeled as the best fit of a physics-based model…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-02-06 Dave Higdon , Jordan D. McDonnell , Nicolas Schunck , Jason Sarich , Stefan M. Wild

A variety of algorithms have been proposed to address the power system state estimation problem in the presence of uncertainties in the data. However, less emphasis has been given to handling perturbations in the model. In the context of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-21 Ayan Das , Anushka Sharma , Anamitra Pal
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