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We study the change detection problem with an unknown post-change distribution. Under this constraint, the unknown change in the distribution of observations may occur in many ways without much structure on the observations, whereas, before…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-11 Deniz Sargun , C. Emre Koksal

We present a computationally efficient online kernel Cumulative Sum (CUSUM) method for change-point detection that utilizes the maximum over a set of kernel statistics to account for the unknown change-point location. Our approach exhibits…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-07 Song Wei , Yao Xie

This paper considers the change point detection problem under dependent samples. In particular, we provide performance guarantees for the MMD-CUSUM test under exponentially $\alpha$, $\beta$, and fast $\phi$-mixing processes, which…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-13 Hao Chen , Abhishek Gupta , Yin Sun , Ness Shroff

We address the problem of detecting a change in the distribution of a high-dimensional multivariate normal time series. Assuming that the post-change parameters are unknown and estimated using a window of historical data, we extend the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-12 Robert Malinas , Dogyoon Song , Benjamin D. Robinson , Alfred O. Hero

Multi-stream sequential change detection involves simultaneously monitoring many streams of data and trying to detect when their distributions change, if at all. Here, we theoretically study multiple testing issues that arise from detecting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-04 Sanjit Dandapanthula , Aaditya Ramdas

The popular criteria of optimality for quickest change detection procedures are the Lorden criterion, the Shiryaev-Roberts-Pollak criterion, and the Bayesian criterion. In this paper a robust version of these quickest change detection…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Jayakrishnan Unnikrishnan , Venugopal V. Veeravalli , Sean Meyn

The problem of quickest anomaly detection in networks with unlabeled samples is studied. At some unknown time, an anomaly emerges in the network and changes the data-generating distribution of some unknown sensor. The data vector received…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-19 Zhongchang Sun , Shaofeng Zou

We suggest a novel procedure for online change point detection. Our approach expands an idea of maximizing a discrepancy measure between points from pre-change and post-change distributions. This leads to flexible algorithms suitable for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-24 Nikita Puchkin , Artur Goldman , Konstantin Yakovlev , Valeriia Dzis , Uliana Vinogradova

The CUSUM procedure is known to be optimal for detecting a change in distribution under a minimax scenario, whereas the Shiryaev-Roberts procedure is optimal for detecting a change that occurs at a distant time horizon. As a simpler…

Computation · Statistics 2011-09-15 George V. Moustakides , Aleksey S. Polunchenko , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

Motivated by Industry 4.0 applications, we consider quickest change detection (QCD) of an abrupt change in a process when its measurements are transmitted by a sensor over a lossy wireless link to a decision maker (DM). The sensor node…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-30 Krishna Chaythanya KV , Saqib Abbas Baba , Anurag Kumar , Arpan Chattopadhyay , Rajesh Sundaresan

Optimal algorithms are developed for robust detection of changes in non-stationary processes. These are processes in which the distribution of the data after change varies with time. The decision-maker does not have access to precise…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-14 Yingze Hou , Yousef Oleyaeimotlagh , Rahul Mishra , Hoda Bidkhori , Taposh Banerjee

This paper considers the problem of joint change detection and identification assuming multiple composite postchange hypotheses. We propose a multihypothesis changepoint detection-identification procedure that controls the probabilities of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-12 Serguei Pergamenchtchikov , Alexander Tartakovsky , Valentin Spivak

Changepoint detection is commonly formulated by minimizing the sum of in-sample losses to quantify the model's overall fit. However, for flexible modeling procedures -- especially those involving high-dimensional parameter spaces or…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Chengde Qian , Guanghui Wang , Zhaojun Wang , Changliang Zou

Change point detection (CPD) aims to locate abrupt property changes in time series data. Recent CPD methods demonstrated the potential of using deep learning techniques, but often lack the ability to identify more subtle changes in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-21 Tim De Ryck , Maarten De Vos , Alexander Bertrand

Quickest change detection (QCD) is a fundamental problem in many applications. Given a sequence of measurements that exhibits two different distributions around a certain flipping point, the goal is to detect the change in distribution…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-01-23 Ahmed Badawy , Ahmed El Shafie , Tamer Khattab

The problem of quickest growing dynamic anomaly detection in sensor networks is studied. Initially, the observations at the sensors, which are sampled sequentially by the decision maker, are generated according to a pre-change distribution.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Georgios Rovatsos , Venugopal V. Veeravalli , Don Towsley , Ananthram Swami

The problem of sequentially detecting an abrupt change in a sequence of independent and identically distributed (IID) random variables is addressed. Whereas previous approaches assume a known probability density function (PDF) at the start…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-11 James Falt , Steven D. Blostein

We consider the problem of efficient financial surveillance aimed at "on-the-go" detection of structural breaks (anomalies) in "live"-monitored financial time series. With the problem approached statistically, viz. as that of multi-cyclic…

Applications · Statistics 2015-12-04 Andrey Pepelyshev , Aleksey S. Polunchenko

Change point detection plays a fundamental role in many real-world applications, where the goal is to analyze and monitor the behaviour of a data stream. In this paper, we study change detection in binary streams. To this end, we use a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-24 Nikolaj Tatti

Detecting change-points in data is challenging because of the range of possible types of change and types of behaviour of data when there is no change. Statistically efficient methods for detecting a change will depend on both of these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-29 Jie Li , Paul Fearnhead , Piotr Fryzlewicz , Tengyao Wang
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