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First passage time models describe the time it takes for a random process to exit a region of interest and are widely used across various scientific fields. Fast and accurate numerical methods for computing the likelihood function in these…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-17 Sicheng Liu , Alexander Fengler , Michael J. Frank , Matthew T. Harrison

General upper bounds on fluctuations of trajectory observables were recently obtained. It turned out that the size of fluctuations of dynamical observable is limited from below and from above. For the moment generating function of general…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-05-13 V. V. Ryazanov

In this paper, we introduce a new method of sampling from transition densities of diffusion processes including those unknown in closed forms by solving a partial differential equation satisfied by the quotient of transition densities. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-04 Yasin Kikabi , Juma Kasozi

In this paper, we investigate a Brownian motion (BM) with purely time dependent drift and difusion by suggesting and examining several Brownian functionals which characterize the lifetime and reactivity of such stochastic processes. We…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-09-15 Ashutosh Dubey , Malay Bandyopadhyay , A. M. Jayannavar

We present a general framework for Bayesian estimation of incompletely observed multivariate diffusion processes. Observations are assumed to be discrete in time, noisy and incomplete. We assume the drift and diffusion coefficient depend on…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-04 Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer

We study the estimation of time-homogeneous drift functions in multivariate stochastic differential equations with known diffusion coefficient, from multiple trajectories observed at high frequency over a fixed time horizon. We formulate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-23 Marcos Tapia Costa , Nikolas Kantas , George Deligiannidis

Decision Transformer (DT) can learn effective policy from offline datasets by converting the offline reinforcement learning (RL) into a supervised sequence modeling task, where the trajectory elements are generated auto-regressively…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Zhihong Liu , Long Qian , Zeyang Liu , Lipeng Wan , Xingyu Chen , Xuguang Lan

The time of the first occurrence of a threshold crossing event in a stochastic process, known as the first passage time, is of interest in many areas of sciences and engineering. Conventionally, there is an implicit assumption that the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-11-24 Aanjaneya Kumar , Aniket Zodage , M. S. Santhanam

Many transport processes in nature exhibit anomalous diffusive properties with non-trivial scaling of the mean square displacement, e.g., diffusion of cells or of biomolecules inside the cell nucleus, where typically a crossover between…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-09-16 Andrea Cairoli , Adrian Baule

Diffusion models have attracted a lot of attention in recent years. These models view speech generation as a continuous-time process. For efficient training, this process is typically restricted to additive Gaussian noising, which is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Xiaozhou Tan , Minghui Zhao , Anton Ragni

Sampling from diffusion probabilistic models (DPMs) can be viewed as a piecewise distribution transformation, which generally requires hundreds or thousands of steps of the inverse diffusion trajectory to get a high-quality image. Recent…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-07-24 Zezeng Li , ShengHao Li , Zhanpeng Wang , Na Lei , Zhongxuan Luo , Xianfeng Gu

A particle with internal unobserved states diffusing in a force field will generally display effective advection-diffusion. The drift velocity is proportional to the mobility averaged over the internal states, or effective mobility, while…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-10-13 Erik Aurell , Stefano Bo

In this paper we introduce a critical curve separating the asymptotic behavior of the moments of the symbiotic branching model, introduced by Etheridge and Fleischmann [Stochastic Process. Appl. 114 (2004) 127--160] into two regimes. Using…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-12-09 Jochen Blath , Leif Doering , Alison Etheridge

We consider the intensity-based approach for the modeling of default times of one or more companies. In this approach the default times are defined as the jump times of a Cox process, which is a Poisson process conditional on the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Vincent Leijdekker , Peter Spreij

Heavy vehicles (HVs) pose a significant challenge to maintaining a smooth traffic flow on the freeway because they are slower moving and create large blind spots. It is therefore desirable for the followers of HVs to perform lane changes…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-16 Nachuan Li , Hani S. Mahmassani , Soyoung Ahn , Anupam Srivastava

This paper explores the reconstruction of drift or diffusion coefficients of a scalar stochastic diffusion processes as it starts from an initial value and reaches, for the first time, a threshold value. We show that the distribution…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Guillaume Bal , Tom Chou

It is shown that the critical properties of a recently studied model for non-equilibrium wetting are robust if one extends the dynamic rules by single-particle diffusion on terraces of the wetting layer. Examining the behavior at the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-16 S. Rössner , H. Hinrichsen

The dynamics of simple two-alternative forced-choice (2AFC) decisions are well-modeled by a class of random walk models (e.g. Laming, 1968; Ratcliff, 1978; Usher & McClelland, 2001; Bogacz et al., 2006). However, in real-life, even simple…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2026-03-31 Michael Shvartsman , Vaibhav Srivastava , Narayanan Sundaram , Jonathan D. Cohen

In many real-world scenarios, we often deal with streaming data that is sequentially collected over time. Due to the non-stationary nature of the environment, the streaming data distribution may change in unpredictable ways, which is known…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-07 Wendi Li , Xiao Yang , Weiqing Liu , Yingce Xia , Jiang Bian

Dynamical phase transitions (DPTs) arise from qualitative changes in the long-time behavior of stochastic trajectories, often observed in systems with kinetic constraints or driven out of equilibrium. Here we demonstrate that first-order…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-07-29 Takahiro Kanazawa , Kyogo Kawaguchi , Kyosuke Adachi