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This paper analyzes the outage probability of orthogonal time frequency space (OTFS) modulation under a lossy communication scenario. First of all, we introduce the channel model and the vector form representation of OTFS this paper uses.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-10-03 Xin Zhang , Wensheng Lin , Lixin Li , Fucheng Yang , Zhu Han , Tad Matsumoto

Conformal prediction provides distribution-free predictive intervals with finite-sample marginal coverage. However, achieving conditional validity and interval efficiency (in terms of short interval length) remains challenging, particularly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-06 Ran Zou , Wanrong Zhu , Bin Nan

Transformers have become a standard architecture in machine learning, demonstrating strong in-context learning (ICL) abilities that allow them to learn from the prompt at inference time. However, uncertainty quantification for ICL remains…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-23 Zhe Huang , Simone Rossi , Rui Yuan , Thomas Hannagan

Ensuring reliable and predictable communications is one of the main goals in modern industrial systems that rely on Wi-Fi networks, especially in scenarios where continuity of operation and low latency are required. In these contexts, the…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Gabriele Formis , Amanda Ericson , Stefan Forsstrom , Kyi Thar , Gianluca Cena , Stefano Scanzio

Proper determination of the transmission rate in ultra-reliable low latency communication (URLLC) needs to incorporate a confidence interval (CI) for the estimated parameters due to the large amount of data required for their accurate…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-01-12 Niloofar Mehrnia , Sinem Coleri

Low-complexity estimation and correction of carrier frequency offset (CFO) are essential in orthogonal frequency division multiplexing (OFDM). In this paper, we propose a low-overhead blind CFO estimation technique based on cyclic prefix…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-08-31 Nariman Torkzaban , Amir Khojastepour , John S. Baras

Complete awareness of the wireless environment, crucial for future intelligent networks, requires sensing all transmitted signals, not just the strongest. A fundamental barrier is estimating the target signal when it is buried under strong…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-17 Bowen Li , Junting Chen , Nikolaos Pappas

While first-order channel statistics, such as bit-error rate (BER) and outage probability, play an important role in the design of wireless communication systems, they provide information only on the static behavior of fading channels. On…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-09-03 Ahmed O. D. Ali , Cenk M. Yetis , Murat Torlak

We introduce a new method for estimating the Ideal Time-Frequency Representation (ITFR) of complex nonstationary signals. The Reconstructive Ideal Fractional Transform (RIFT) computes a constellation of Continuous Fractional Wavelet…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-03 James M. Cozens , Simon J. Godsill

We consider ordered logit models for directed network data that allow for flexible sender and receiver fixed effects that can vary arbitrarily across outcome categories. This structure poses a significant incidental parameter problem,…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-23 Chris Muris , Cavit Pakel , Qichen Zhang

In a grid with a significant share of renewable generation, operators will need additional tools to evaluate the operational risk due to the increased volatility in load and generation. The computational requirements of the forward…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-27 Oliver Stover , Pranav Karve , Sankaran Mahadevan , Wenbo Chen , Haoruo Zhao , Mathieu Tanneau , Pascal Van Hentenryck

Dynamic line rating (DLR) is a promising solution to increase the utilization of transmission lines by adjusting ratings based on real-time weather conditions. Accurate DLR forecast at the scheduling stage is thus necessary for system…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-11 Minsoo Kim , Vladimir Dvorkin , Jip Kim

In online selective conformal inference, data arrives sequentially, and prediction intervals are constructed only when an online selection rule is met. Since online selections may break the exchangeability between the selected test datum…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-24 Yusuf Sale , Aaditya Ramdas

The integrated conditional moment (ICM) test is a classical and widely used method for assessing the adequacy of regression models. Although it performs well in fixed-dimension settings, its behavior changes dramatically when the predictor…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-17 Yue Hu , Haiqi Li , Xintao Xia

Optimal Power Flow (OPF) dispatches controllable generation at minimum cost subject to operational constraints on generation and transmission assets. The uncertainty and variability of intermittent renewable generation is challenging…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-11-24 Miles Lubin , Yury Dvorkin , Scott Backhaus

This paper presents two methods for approximating the performance of coded multicarrier systems operating over frequency-selective, quasi-static fading channels with non-ideal interleaving. The first method is based on approximating the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 C. Snow , L. Lampe , R. Schober

Wireless communications are typically subject to complex channel dynamics, requiring the transmission of pilot sequences to estimate and equalize such effects and correctly receive information bits. This is especially true in 6G…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-14 Bruno De Filippo , Carla Amatetti , Alessandro Vanelli-Coralli

As climate variability increases, the ability of utility providers to deliver precise Estimated Times of Restoration (ETR) during natural disasters has become increasingly critical. Accurate and timely ETRs are essential for enabling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-02 Bogireddy Sai Prasanna Teja , Valliappan Muthukaruppan , Carls Benjamin

Large language model (LLM) agents increasingly operate as sequential software systems, but their reliability is often summarized by scalar benchmark metrics. Metrics such as pass$@k$, pass$^k$, and the reliability decay curve (RDC) are…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Phat T. Tran-Truong , Xuan-Bach Le

Precision medicine is an emerging scientific topic for disease treatment and prevention that takes into account individual patient characteristics. It is an important direction for clinical research, and many statistical methods have been…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-17 Jingxiang Chen , Haoda Fu , Xuanyao He , Michael R. Kosorok , Yufeng Liu