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This paper incorporates information about the temporal order of regressors to estimate orthogonal and economically interpretable regression coefficients. We establish new finite sample properties for the Gram-Schmidt orthogonalization…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-13 Robin M. Cross , Steven T. Buccola

In this expository paper, we consider the problem of causal inference and efficient estimation for the counterfactual survivor function. This problem has previously been considered in the literature in several papers, each relying on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-02 Benjamin R. Baer , Ashkan Ertefaie , Robert L. Strawderman

In causal inference, interference occurs when the treatment of one unit may affect the outcomes of other units. The goal of this work is to serve as a guide to the use of linear outcome modeling for estimating causal effects in settings…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-01 Eric Tong , Salvador V. Balkus

Statistical inference for high dimensional parameters (HDPs) can be based on their intrinsic correlation; that is, parameters that are close spatially or temporally tend to have more similar values. This is why nonlinear mixed-effects…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-30 Nan Zheng , Noel Cadigan

The paper discusses inference techniques for semiparametric models based on suitable versions of inference functions. The text contains two parts. In the first part, we review the optimality theory for non-parametric models based on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-17 Rodrigo Labouriau

Many economic and causal parameters depend on nonparametric or high dimensional first steps. We give a general construction of locally robust/orthogonal moment functions for GMM, where moment conditions have zero derivative with respect to…

The increasing complexity of machine learning (ML) and artificial intelligence (AI) models has created a pressing need for tools that help scientists, engineers, and policymakers interpret and refine model decisions and predictions.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-17 Haolin Zou , Arnab Auddy , Yongchan Kwon , Kamiar Rahnama Rad , Arian Maleki

Existing tests for factorial designs in the nonparametric case are based on hypotheses formulated in terms of distribution functions. Typical null hypotheses, however, are formulated in terms of some parameters or effect measures,…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-28 Edgar Brunner , Frank Konietschke , Markus Pauly , Madan L. Puri

The partial (ceteris paribus) effects of interest in nonlinear and interactive linear models are heterogeneous as they can vary dramatically with the underlying observed or unobserved covariates. Despite the apparent importance of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-29 Victor Chernozhukov , Ivan Fernandez-Val , Ye Luo

We develop a theory for the market impact of large trading orders, which we call metaorders because they are typically split into small pieces and executed incrementally. Market impact is empirically observed to be a concave function of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-09-30 J. Doyne Farmer , Austin Gerig , Fabrizio Lillo , Henri Waelbroeck

Linear response theory has found many applications in statistical physics. One of these is to compute minimal-work protocols that drive nonequilibrium systems between different thermodynamic states, which are useful for designing engineered…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-01-19 Samuel. H. DAmbrosia , Adrianne Zhong , Michael R. DeWeese

In this paper, we develop a qualitative theory of influence diagrams that can be used to model and solve sequential decision making tasks when only qualitative (or imprecise) information is available. Our approach is based on an…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-02-20 Radu Marinescu , Nic Wilson

Influence functions estimate the effect of removing a training point on a model without the need to retrain. They are based on a first-order Taylor approximation that is guaranteed to be accurate for sufficiently small changes to the model,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-22 Pang Wei Koh , Kai-Siang Ang , Hubert H. K. Teo , Percy Liang

Several data-driven approaches based on information theory have been proposed for analyzing high-order interactions involving three or more components of a network system. Most of these methods are defined only in the time domain and rely…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-18 Yuri Antonacci , Chiara Bara' , Laura Sparacino , Gorana Mijatovic , Ludovico Minati , Luca Faes

Classical latent-score ranking models often fail to distinguish objects' intrinsic scores from contextual effects, which are typically nonlinear and can dominate the observed outcomes. To address this, we introduce a semiparametric ranking…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-22 Yuanhang Luo , Shuxing Fang , Ruijian Han , Yiming Xu

The analysis of extremal dependence in high dimensions has recently attracted considerable interest. Existing methodology primarily focuses on modeling and estimation of extremal dependence structures, often supported by concentration…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Axel Bücher , Yeonjoon Choi , Katharina Effertz , Stanislav Volgushev

Parameter-dependent models arise in many contexts such as uncertainty quantification, sensitivity analysis, inverse problems or optimization. Parametric or uncertainty analyses usually require the evaluation of an output of a model for many…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-10-22 Anthony Nouy

The problem of estimating a linear functional based on observational data is canonical in both the causal inference and bandit literatures. We analyze a broad class of two-stage procedures that first estimate the treatment effect function,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-28 Wenlong Mou , Martin J. Wainwright , Peter L. Bartlett

The minimization of convex functions which are only available through partial and noisy information is a key methodological problem in many disciplines. In this paper we consider convex optimization with noisy zero-th order information,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-05-27 Francis Bach , Vianney Perchet

Wang and Tchetgen Tchetgen (2017) studied identification and estimation of the average treatment effect when some confounders are unmeasured. Under their identification condition, they showed that the semiparametric efficient influence…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-07-17 Chunrong Ai , Lukang Huang , Zheng Zhang