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We propose a new adaptive hypothesis test for inequality (e.g., monotonicity, convexity) and equality (e.g., parametric, semiparametric) restrictions on a structural function in a nonparametric instrumental variables (NPIV) model. Our test…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-08 Christoph Breunig , Xiaohong Chen

Conformal prediction is an assumption-lean approach to generating distribution-free prediction intervals or sets, for nearly arbitrary predictive models, with guaranteed finite-sample coverage. Conformal methods are an active research topic…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-19 Jerzy Wieczorek

Computation of confidence sets is central to data science and machine learning, serving as the workhorse of A/B testing and underpinning the operation and analysis of reinforcement learning algorithms. This paper studies the geometry of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-17 Heguang Lin , Mengze Li , Daniel Pimentel-Alarcón , Matthew Malloy

This book chapter introduces regression approaches and regression adjustment for Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC). Regression adjustment adjusts parameter values after rejection sampling in order to account for the imperfect match…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-06 Michael GB Blum

In most prediction and estimation situations, scientists consider various statistical models for the same problem, and naturally want to select amongst the best. Hansen et al. (2011) provide a powerful solution to this problem by the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-23 Sebastian Arnold , Georgios Gavrilopoulos , Benedikt Schulz , Johanna Ziegel

In a previous article, a least square regression estimation procedure was proposed: first, we condiser a family of functions and study the properties of an estimator in every unidimensionnal model defined by one of these functions; we then…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Pierre Alquier

We consider clinical trials in which an experimental treatment is compared with a control in pre-specified patient subpopulations. In such settings, adaptive enrichment designs allow the enrolled population to be modified at an interim…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Enyu Li , Nigel Stallard , Ekkehard Glimm , Dominic Magirr , Peter K. Kimani

When data is collected in an adaptive manner, even simple methods like ordinary least squares can exhibit non-normal asymptotic behavior. As an undesirable consequence, hypothesis tests and confidence intervals based on asymptotic normality…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-23 Koulik Khamaru , Yash Deshpande , Tor Lattimore , Lester Mackey , Martin J. Wainwright

This manuscript studies statistical properties of linear classifiers obtained through minimization of an unregularized convex risk over a finite sample. Although the results are explicitly finite-dimensional, inputs may be passed through…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-15 Matus Telgarsky

We consider the problem of estimating the structural function in nonparametric instrumental regression, where in the presence of an instrument W a response Y is modeled in dependence of an endogenous explanatory variable Z. The proposed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-13 Jan Johannes , Maik Schwarz

This paper develops a method to construct uniform confidence bands for a nonparametric regression function where a predictor variable is subject to a measurement error. We allow for the distribution of the measurement error to be unknown,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-17 Kengo Kato , Yuya Sasaki

We study the problem of estimating piecewise monotone vectors. This problem can be seen as a generalization of the isotonic regression that allows a small number of order-violating changepoints. We focus mainly on the performance of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-10 Kentaro Minami

Sufficient dimension reduction [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 86 (1991) 316-342] has long been a prominent issue in multivariate nonparametric regression analysis. To uncover the central dimension reduction space, we propose in this paper an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-15 Efang Kong , Yingcun Xia

We propose a general method for constructing confidence intervals and statistical tests for single or low-dimensional components of a large parameter vector in a high-dimensional model. It can be easily adjusted for multiplicity taking…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-24 Sara van de Geer , Peter Bühlmann , Ya'acov Ritov , Ruben Dezeure

We consider a linear regression model, with the parameter of interest a specified linear combination of the regression parameter vector. We suppose that, as a first step, a data-based model selection (e.g. by preliminary hypothesis tests or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-09-27 Paul Kabaila , Khageswor Giri

We consider the problem of estimating the slope parameter in circular functional linear regression, where scalar responses Y1,...,Yn are modeled in dependence of 1-periodic, second order stationary random functions X1,...,Xn. We consider an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-01 Fabienne Comte , Jan Johannes

We consider a general monotone regression estimation where we allow for independent and dependent regressors. We propose a modification of the classical isotonic least squares estimator and establish its rate of convergence for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-07 Konstantinos Fokianos , Anne Leucht , Michael H. Neumann

Conformal prediction methods provide statistically rigorous marginal coverage guarantees for machine learning models, but such guarantees fail to account for algorithmic biases, thereby undermining fairness and trust. This paper introduces…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Senrong Xu , Yanke Zhou , Yuhao Tan , Zenan Li , Yuan Yao , Taolue Chen , Feng Xu , Xiaoxing Ma

An additive growth curve model with orthogonal design matrices is proposed in which observations may have different profile forms. The proposed model allows us to fit data and then estimate parameters in a more parsimonious way than the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-01-06 Jianhua Hu , Guohua Yan , Jinhong You

A new framework is developed for control of constrained nonlinear systems with structured parametric uncertainties. Forward invariance of a safe set is achieved through online parameter adaptation and data-driven model estimation. The new…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-01 Brett T. Lopez , Jean-Jacques E. Slotine , Jonathan P. How