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For a set of binary response variables, conditional mean models characterize the expected value of a response variable given the others and are popularly applied in longitudinal and network data analyses. The quadratic exponential binary…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-02 Ong Wei Yong , Lee Shao-Man , Hsueh Chia-Ming , Chang Sheng-Mao

We consider maximum likelihood estimation with data from a bivariate Gaussian process with a separable exponential covariance model under fixed domain asymptotic. We first characterize the equivalence of Gaussian measures under this model.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-25 Daira Velandia , François Bachoc , Moreno Bevilacqua , Xavier Gendre , Jean-Michel Loubes

Advanced science and technology provide a wealth of big data from different sources for extreme value analysis. Classical extreme value theory was extended to obtain an accelerated max-stable distribution family for modelling competing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-25 Kaihao Hu , Kai Wang , Corina Constantinescu , Zhengjun Zhang , Chengxiu Ling

The extremes of a stationary time series typically occur in clusters. A primary measure for this phenomenon is the extremal index, representing the reciprocal of the expected cluster size. Both a disjoint and a sliding blocks estimator for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-14 Betina Berghaus , Axel Bücher

In this paper we propose an optimal predictor of a random variable that has either an infinite mean or an infinite variance. The method consists of transforming the random variable such that the transformed variable has a finite mean and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-28 Victor de la Pena , Henryk Gzyl , Silvia Mayoral , Haolin Zou , Demissie Alemayehu

Recent variational inference methods use stochastic gradient estimators whose variance is not well understood. Theoretical guarantees for these estimators are important to understand when these methods will or will not work. This paper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-29 Justin Domke

Impact assessment of natural hazards requires the consideration of both extreme and non-extreme events. Extensive research has been conducted on the joint modeling of bulk and tail in univariate settings; however, the corresponding body of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Chenglei Hu , Ben Swallow , Daniela Castro-Camilo

In many families of distributions, maximum likelihood estimation is intractable because the normalization constant for the density which enters into the likelihood function is not easily available. The score matching estimator of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-03 Peter G. M. Forbes , Steffen Lauritzen

Based on law of large numbers and central limit theorem under nonlinear expectation, we introduce a new method of using G-normal distribution to measure financial risks. Applying max-mean estimators and small windows method, we establish…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-28 Shige Peng , Shuzhen Yang

In multivariate extreme value theory (MEVT), the focus is on analysis outside of the observable sampling zone, which implies that the region of interest is associated to high risk levels. This work provides tools to include directional…

Applications · Statistics 2018-12-05 Raúl Torres , Elena Di Bernardino , Henry Laniado , Rosa E. Lillo

We consider the extreme value statistics of $N$ independent and identically distributed random variables, which is a classic problem in probability theory. When $N\to\infty$, fluctuations around the maximum of the variables are described by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-07-14 Lior Zarfaty , Eli Barkai , David A. Kessler

Consider a parametrized family of general hidden Markov models, where both the observed and unobserved components take values in a complete separable metric space. We prove that the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the parameter is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-03-10 Randal Douc , Eric Moulines , Jimmy Olsson , Ramon van Handel

The generalized Laplace (GL) distribution, which falls in the larger family of generalized hyperbolic distributions, provides a versatile model to deal with a variety of applications thanks to its shape parameters. The elliptically…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-15 Marco Geraci

We deal with a general class of extreme-value regression models introduced by Barreto- Souza and Vasconcellos (2011). Our goal is to derive an adjusted likelihood ratio statistic that is approximately distributed as \c{hi}2 with a high…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-08-14 Silvia L. P. Ferrari , Eliane C. Pinheiro

The Generalized Pareto (GP) and Generalized extreme value (GEV) distributions play an important role in extreme value analyses, as models for threshold excesses and block maxima respectively. For each of these distributions we consider…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-02 Paul J. Northrop , Nicolas Attalides

Estimation of the mean vector and covariance matrix is of central importance in the analysis of multivariate data. In the framework of generalized linear models, usually the variances are certain functions of the means with the normal…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-25 Anupam Kundu , Mohsen Pourahmadi

Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) is a fundamental computational problem in statistics. In this paper, MLE for statistical models with discrete data is studied from an algebraic statistics viewpoint. A reformulation of the MLE problem in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-27 Jose Israel Rodriguez

We consider the Grenander estimator that is the maximum likelihood estimator for non-increasing densities. We prove uniform central limit theorems for certain subclasses of bounded variation functions and for H\"older balls of smoothness…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-29 Jakob Söhl

This paper considers the maximum likelihood estimation of factor models of high dimension, where the number of variables (N) is comparable with or even greater than the number of observations (T). An inferential theory is developed. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-31 Jushan Bai , Kunpeng Li

In this work, we revisit the estimation of the model parameters of a Weibull distribution based on iid observations, using the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) method which does not yield closed expressions of the estimators. Among other…

Computation · Statistics 2025-01-22 Buu-Chau Truong , Peter Mphekgwana , Nabendu Pal