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Modeling univariate block maxima by the generalized extreme value distribution constitutes one of the most widely applied approaches in extreme value statistics. It has recently been found that, for an underlying stationary time series,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-01 Axel Bücher , Leandra Zanger

Generating accurate extremes from an observational data set is crucial when seeking to estimate risks associated with the occurrence of future extremes which could be larger than those already observed. Applications range from the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-02 Nicolas Lafon , Philippe Naveau , Ronan Fablet

We prove asymptotic normality of the so-called maximum likelihood estimator of the extreme value index.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Holger Drees , Ana Ferreira , Laurens de Haan

The maximum product of spacings (MPS) is employed in the estimation of the Generalized Extreme Value Distribution (GEV) and the Generalized Pareto Distribution (GPD). Efficient estimators are obtained by the MPS for all $\gamma$. This…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 T. S. T. Wong , W. K. Li

We suggest approximating the distribution of the sum of independent and identically distributed random variables with a Pareto-like tail by combining extreme value approximations for the largest summands with a normal approximation for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-05 Ulrich K. Mueller

In this paper, we study the maximum likelihood estimation of the parameters of the multivariate and matrix variate symmetric Laplace distributions through group actions. The multivariate and matrix variate symmetric Laplace distributions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-31 Pooja Yadav , Tanuja Srivastava

This paper presents likelihood-based inference methods for the family of univariate gamma-normal distributions GN({\alpha}, r, {\mu}, {\sigma}^2 ) that result from summing independent gamma({\alpha}, r) and N({\mu}, {\sigma}^2 ) random…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-03 Massimiliano Bonamente , Dale Zimmerman

In this paper, we consider the problem of parameter estimating for a family of exponential distributions. We develop the improved estimation method, which generalized the James--Stein approach for a wide class of distributions. The proposed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-08 S. B. Kologrivova , E. A. Pchelintsev

Vanilla variational inference finds an optimal approximation to the Bayesian posterior distribution, but even the exact Bayesian posterior is often not meaningful under model misspecification. We propose predictive variational inference…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-31 Jinlin Lai , Antonio Linero , Yuling Yao

The maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is pivotal in statistical inference, yet its application is often hindered by the absence of closed-form solutions for many models. This poses challenges in real-time computation scenarios,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-16 Pedro L. Ramos , Eduardo Ramos , Francisco A. Rodrigues , Francisco Louzada

This paper considers the maximum generalized empirical likelihood (GEL) estimation and inference on parameters identified by high dimensional moment restrictions with weakly dependent data when the dimensions of the moment restrictions and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-28 Jinyuan Chang , Song Xi Chen , Xiaohong Chen

A coupling method is developed for univariate extreme value theory , providing an alternative to the use of the tail empirical/quantile processes. Emphasizing the Peak-over-Threshold approach that approximates the distribution above high…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-09 Benjamin Bobbia , Clément Dombry , Davit Varron

The maximum likelihood degree of a statistical model refers to the number of solutions, where the derivative of the log-likelihood function is zero, over the complex field. This paper examines the maximum likelihood degree of the parameter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-10 Pooja Yadav , Tanuja Srivastava

Restricted maximum likelihood (REML) estimation is a widely accepted and frequently used method for fitting linear mixed models, with its principal advantage being that it produces less biased estimates of the variance components. However,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-15 Luca Maestrini , Francis K. C. Hui , Alan H. Welsh

Profile likelihood intervals of large quantiles in Extreme Value distributions provide a good way to estimate these parameters of interest since they take into account the asymmetry of the likelihood surface in the case of small and…

Applications · Statistics 2010-05-21 A. Bolívar , E. Díaz-Francés , J. Ortega , E. Vilchis

In this paper, we propose a reduced-bias estimator of the EVI for Pareto-type tails (heavy-tailed) distributions. This is derived using the weighted least squares method. It is shown that the estimator is unbiased, consistent and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-12 E. Ocran , R. Minkah , K. Doku-Amponsah

Due to its heavy-tailed and fully parametric form, the multivariate generalized Gaussian distribution (MGGD) has been receiving much attention for modeling extreme events in signal and image processing applications. Considering the…

Applications · Statistics 2017-02-27 F. Pascal , L. Bombrun , J. Y. Tourneret , Y. Berthoumieu

A famous characterization theorem due to C.F. Gauss states that the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the parameter in a location family is the sample mean for all samples of all sample sizes if and only if the family is Gaussian. There…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-13 Mitia Duerinckx , Christophe Ley , Yvik Swan

This paper reviews generalized Pareto copulas (GPC), which turn out to be a key to multivariate extreme value theory. Any GPC can be represented in an easy analytic way using a particular type of norm on $\mathbb{R}^d$, called $D$-norm. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-26 Michael Falk , Simone Padoan , Florian Wisheckel

Maximum likelihood estimators (MLE) and control variate estimators (CVE) have been used in conjunction with known information across sketching algorithms and applications in machine learning. We prove that under certain conditions in an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-05 Keegan Kang , Kerong Wang , Ding Zhang , Rameshwar Pratap , Bhisham Dev Verma , Benedict H. W. Wong
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