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The Partial Information Decomposition (PID) framework has emerged as a powerful tool for analyzing high-order interdependencies in complex network systems. However, its application to dynamic processes remains challenging due to the…
Recent work in dynamic causal inference introduced a class of discrete-time stochastic processes that generalize martingale difference sequences and arrays as follows: the random variates in each sequence have expectation zero given certain…
The characteristic feature of semi-selfsimilar process is the invariance of its finite dimensional distributions by certain dilation for specific scaling factor. Estimating the scale parameter $\lambda$ and the Hurst index of such processes…
This paper presents a machine learning approach to multidimensional item response theory (MIRT), a class of latent factor models that can be used to model and predict student performance from observed assessment data. Inspired by…
Recently, there has been a surge in methodological development for the difference-in-differences (DiD) approach to evaluate causal effects. Standard methods in the literature rely on the parallel trends assumption to identify the average…
This paper explores seasonal and long-memory time series properties by using the seasonal fractional ARIMA model when the seasonal data has one and two seasonal periods and short-memory counterparts. The stationarity and invertibility…
We establish the asymptotic theory in quantile autoregression when the model parameter is specified with respect to moderate deviations from the unit boundary of the form (1 + c / k) with a convergence sequence that diverges at a rate…
Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used for tasks that implicitly reduce to Boolean satisfiability (SAT), yet their reasoning ability on SAT remains unclear. We present a systematic study of LLMs on 2-SAT and 3-SAT, together with…
This paper studies Difference-in-Differences (DiD) setups with repeated cross-sectional data and potential compositional changes across time periods. We begin our analysis by deriving the efficient influence function and the semiparametric…
We consider stochastic approximations of sampling algorithms, such as Stochastic Gradient Langevin Dynamics (SGLD) and the Random Batch Method (RBM) for Interacting Particle Dynamcs (IPD). We observe that the noise introduced by the…
We study the theoretical limits of the $\ell_0$ (quasi) norm based optimization algorithms when employed for solving classical compressed sensing or sparse regression problems. Considering standard contexts with deterministic signals and…
We give a two-dimensional central limit theorem (CLT) for the second-order quadratic variation of the centered Gaussian processes on $[0,T]$. Though the approach we use is well known in the literature, the conditions under which the CLT…
Multidimensional item response theory (MIRT) models have generated increasing interest in the psychometrics literature. Efficient approaches for estimating MIRT models with dichotomous responses have been developed, but constructing an…
Given a functional central limit (fCLT) for an estimator and a parameter transformation, we construct random processes, called functional delta residuals, which asymptotically have the same covariance structure as the limit process of the…
Distributional reinforcement learning (DRL) has achieved empirical success in various domains. One core task in DRL is distributional policy evaluation, which involves estimating the return distribution $\eta^\pi$ for a given policy $\pi$.…
The nonparametric test for change-point detection proposed by Gombay and Horv\'ath is revisited and extended in the broader setting of empirical process theory. The resulting testing procedure for potentially multivariate observations is…
A central limit theorem for the integrated squared error of the directional-linear kernel density estimator is established. The result enables the construction and analysis of two testing procedures based on squared loss: a nonparametric…
Conditional independence testing (CIT) is a common task in machine learning, e.g., for variable selection, and a main component of constraint-based causal discovery. While most current CIT approaches assume that all variables are numerical…
Over the last 30 years, extensive work has been devoted to developing central limit theory for partial sums of subordinated long memory linear time series. A much less studied problem, motivated by questions that are ubiquitous in extreme…
Drees and Rootz\'en [2010] have proven central limit theorems (CLT) for empirical processes of extreme values cluster functionals built from $\beta$-mixing processes. The problem with this family of $\beta$-mixing processes is that it is…